Discussion:
High-flight rate Medium vs. New Heavy lift launchers
(too old to reply)
Cris Fitch
2004-01-25 01:21:51 UTC
Permalink
Not long ago it looked like the Medium lift market was
over-subscribed with Proton, Ariane-5, Sea Launch, Atlas-5
and Delta-IV. Now with the retirement of Shuttle and a
new plan for manned exploration coming into being, we've
got to ask ourselves:

1) Launch lots of medium payloads
or
2) Go Heavy

I've got to argue in favor of #1, hoping that the economics
of all these medium lift launchers will reduce the overall
cost of these plans. Standardize the payloads (a la the building
of MIR) and assemble what you need for each mission. Pay
companies for the results (e.g. fuel delivered to the right
orbit).

If one feels it necessary to go for heavy lift, can't we at
least think in terms of "Delta-IV Super Heavy", such that
our flight hardware makes use of the engineering and production
already in use (and that will stay around if the politics of
heavy lift fails)?

Finally, there is the issue of what expertise we lose when we
shut down a heavy lift capability (Saturn V, Energia, Shuttle).
Certainly we don't mind losing the cost of the standing army,
but are we going to lose the facilities for large fuel tanks
or recoverable strap-ons?

- Cris Fitch
San Diego, CA
http://www.orbit6.com/
TKalbfus
2004-01-25 14:43:10 UTC
Permalink
Post by Cris Fitch
Finally, there is the issue of what expertise we lose when we
shut down a heavy lift capability (Saturn V, Energia, Shuttle).
Certainly we don't mind losing the cost of the standing army,
but are we going to lose the facilities for large fuel tanks
or recoverable strap-ons?
- Cris Fitch
San Diego, CA
http://www.orbit6.com/
The Shuttle C has about half the lift capability of the Saturn V Rocket. I
think we could use a single Shuttle C to launch a Lunar Mission, if it has a
nuclear upper stage. Does that count as a medium lift launcher?

Tom
ed kyle
2004-01-25 17:49:24 UTC
Permalink
Post by Cris Fitch
Not long ago it looked like the Medium lift market was
over-subscribed with Proton, Ariane-5, Sea Launch, Atlas-5
and Delta-IV.
Not to mention Zenit 2, H-IIA, and the planned heavy
lift versions of Angara and Long March 5.
Post by Cris Fitch
Now with the retirement of Shuttle and a
new plan for manned exploration coming into being, we've
1) Launch lots of medium payloads
or
2) Go Heavy
I've got to argue in favor of #1, hoping that the economics
of all these medium lift launchers will reduce the overall
cost of these plans.
#1 may be needed for reasons other than economics. If
a surge of launches is required to support a single
mission, launches by more than one provider from more
than one launch site may be essential.

Proton, Angara, and land-launch Zenit are out of the
picture unless a fairly high inclination assembly orbit
is used. The mass penalties make this seem unlikely to
occur unless Russian participation is required for
political reasons.

The problem with this is that Proton has been the driver
of launch cost reduction in recent years. With it out
of the picture, launch prices would rise from current
levels. Since U.S. companies seem incapable of competing
in the commercial launch world market, Arianespace would
then, by default, get to decide how much NASA would have
to pay to launch each lunar mission.
Post by Cris Fitch
If one feels it necessary to go for heavy lift, can't we at
least think in terms of "Delta-IV Super Heavy", such that
our flight hardware makes use of the engineering and production
already in use (and that will stay around if the politics of
heavy lift fails)?
If this work is contracted out to the lowest bidder, we
could very well see heavier-lift versions of existing
launchers offered by several companies. After all,
most of their rockets are currently optimized for GTO
not LEO, missions. LEO mass per launch would surely
rise if it improved the chances of winning launch
contracts.
Post by Cris Fitch
Finally, there is the issue of what expertise we lose when we
shut down a heavy lift capability (Saturn V, Energia, Shuttle).
Certainly we don't mind losing the cost of the standing army,
but are we going to lose the facilities for large fuel tanks
or recoverable strap-ons?
The U.S. will lose Michoud and the SRB production
capacity, but that will be offset by the need to
have a continuous production line for mission hardware,
such as CEV, lunar landers, and the like. Shuttle
orbiter production, by comparison, was shut down a
decade ago.

Don't expect the "standing army" to disappear either.
NASA will still have to assemble, test, and integrate
the spacecraft and payloads for each mission. That
will require something on the scale of the current
ISS hardware checkout effort, except with a much
faster flow rate.

- Ed Kyle
Joe Strout
2004-01-25 20:16:52 UTC
Permalink
Post by ed kyle
The problem with this is that Proton has been the driver
of launch cost reduction in recent years. With it out
of the picture, launch prices would rise from current
levels. Since U.S. companies seem incapable of competing
in the commercial launch world market, Arianespace would
then, by default, get to decide how much NASA would have
to pay to launch each lunar mission.
So you don't believe SpaceX will be able to deliver at their quoted
prices ($6M for Falcon I, $12M for Falcon V)?

Also, I notice you didn't mention SeaLaunch -- I haven't looked at the
numbers recently, but AIUI they're fairly cheap and can launch into
pretty much any orbit you want.

,------------------------------------------------------------------.
| Joseph J. Strout Check out the Mac Web Directory: |
| ***@strout.net http://www.macwebdir.com |
`------------------------------------------------------------------'
Michael Walsh
2004-01-26 01:25:18 UTC
Permalink
Post by Joe Strout
Post by ed kyle
The problem with this is that Proton has been the driver
of launch cost reduction in recent years. With it out
of the picture, launch prices would rise from current
levels. Since U.S. companies seem incapable of competing
in the commercial launch world market, Arianespace would
then, by default, get to decide how much NASA would have
to pay to launch each lunar mission.
So you don't believe SpaceX will be able to deliver at their quoted
prices ($6M for Falcon I, $12M for Falcon V)?
Just entering the discussion.

Proton is a bit bigger than either version of the Falcon. The Falcon
competes with Orbital's launchers and if the Falcon I comes in at
the $6M quoted it should undercut their fixed base launchers.
Aerial launches still have some advantages in orbital flexibility.

The Russian launcher nearest to the Falcon class is Rokot and
I wonder how things will be if they ever run out of old missile
parts.

It remains to be seen whether Space-X can deliver consistently
at the prices they quote or whether they are quoting "loss leader"
prices.

Falcon V, I assume, will require a successful Falcon I.

SpaceX has shown the ability to provide funding in order to
get to its planned launch. Is that the only difference between
them and Microcosm? Microcosm has made a few test flights
but has not yet provided a vehicle. They have been around
for quite a while.

SpaceX needs to provide us with a demonstration. If the
first flight fails I hope they have the will and resources to
continue because many successful vehicles have progressed
past early failures.
Post by Joe Strout
Also, I notice you didn't mention SeaLaunch -- I haven't looked at the
numbers recently, but AIUI they're fairly cheap and can launch into
pretty much any orbit you want.
As far as U.S. companies go we have both ILS and SeaLaunch,
and that in both cases is U.S. with an asterisk.

Mike Walsh
ed kyle
2004-01-26 17:00:22 UTC
Permalink
Post by Joe Strout
Post by ed kyle
The problem with this is that Proton has been the driver
of launch cost reduction in recent years. With it out
of the picture, launch prices would rise from current
levels. Since U.S. companies seem incapable of competing
in the commercial launch world market, Arianespace would
then, by default, get to decide how much NASA would have
to pay to launch each lunar mission.
So you don't believe SpaceX will be able to deliver at their quoted
prices ($6M for Falcon I, $12M for Falcon V)?
SpaceX hasn't proposed a heavy lift vehicle, which is
required for this application.
Post by Joe Strout
Also, I notice you didn't mention SeaLaunch -- I haven't looked at the
numbers recently, but AIUI they're fairly cheap and can launch into
pretty much any orbit you want.
The current Sea Launch Zenit 3SL can only loft something
like 6.5 tons to LEO due to structural limitations, compared
to 20-25 tons for the other launchers. Sea Launch might be
able to adapt a two-stage Zenit for use in a LEO mission,
but such a vehicle would not use an Energia-built third
stage. Energia, a part-owner of Sea Launch, would have
to agree to such an effort, which would result in the
development of a launcher that does not use any Energia
hardware.

- Ed Kyle
Rand Simberg
2004-01-27 00:35:32 UTC
Permalink
On 26 Jan 2004 09:00:22 -0800, in a place far, far away,
Post by ed kyle
SpaceX hasn't proposed a heavy lift vehicle, which is
required for this application.
No, it's not. It's desired, by some, but it's not required.
ed kyle
2004-01-27 07:10:32 UTC
Permalink
Post by Rand Simberg
On 26 Jan 2004 09:00:22 -0800, in a place far, far away,
Post by ed kyle
SpaceX hasn't proposed a heavy lift vehicle, which is
required for this application.
No, it's not. It's desired, by some, but it's not required.
To clarify, I'm talking about an EELV-Heavy class vehicle,
not a Saturn V class heavy lift. Falcon V, a Delta II
class rocket, could not reasonably be used to support a
manned lunar mission. Each mission would require assembling
100-150 tons in low earth orbit (25-38 Falcon V launches
versus 5-6 EELV-Heavy launches).

- Ed Kyle
ed kyle
2004-01-27 19:23:21 UTC
Permalink
Post by Rand Simberg
On 26 Jan 2004 09:00:22 -0800, in a place far, far away,
Post by ed kyle
SpaceX hasn't proposed a heavy lift vehicle, which is
required for this application.
No, it's not. It's desired, by some, but it's not required.
To clarify, I meant heavy lift as in EELV-Heavy class,
not Saturn-V class. I agree that a lunar mission
should be possible using existing, or soon-to-exist,
launch vehicles rather than requiring development of
a big new booster, but Delta II-class Falcon V is just
too small to be useful in a 100-plus-ton-to-LEO type
of mission.

- Ed Kyle
Krzys Kotwicki
2004-01-28 06:03:11 UTC
Permalink
I've only caught this thread at the last minute, so I really don't know if
this has been mentioned yet, it probably has, but why not use the Energia
HLLV or an Americanized derivative, I got a site about it
(www.k26.com/buran/) if ya want to read about it, Energia could easily lift
100t to LEO, sure it would take a bit of work to ramp it up again, but less
than building any new launchers from scratch. How about something along the
lines of what SeaLaunch did with the Zenits, only do it with Energia...
Post by ed kyle
Post by Rand Simberg
On 26 Jan 2004 09:00:22 -0800, in a place far, far away,
Post by ed kyle
SpaceX hasn't proposed a heavy lift vehicle, which is
required for this application.
No, it's not. It's desired, by some, but it's not required.
To clarify, I meant heavy lift as in EELV-Heavy class,
not Saturn-V class. I agree that a lunar mission
should be possible using existing, or soon-to-exist,
launch vehicles rather than requiring development of
a big new booster, but Delta II-class Falcon V is just
too small to be useful in a 100-plus-ton-to-LEO type
of mission.
- Ed Kyle
Gordon D. Pusch
2004-01-29 03:31:31 UTC
Permalink
Post by Krzys Kotwicki
I've only caught this thread at the last minute, so I really don't know
if this has been mentioned yet, it probably has, but why not use the
Energia HLLV or an Americanized derivative,
The "NIH" factor: "Not Invented Here."


-- Gordon D. Pusch

perl -e '$_ = "gdpusch\@NO.xnet.SPAM.com\n"; s/NO\.//; s/SPAM\.//; print;'
ed kyle
2004-01-31 03:25:55 UTC
Permalink
Post by Gordon D. Pusch
Post by Krzys Kotwicki
I've only caught this thread at the last minute, so I really don't know
if this has been mentioned yet, it probably has, but why not use the
Energia HLLV or an Americanized derivative,
The "NIH" factor: "Not Invented Here."
Plus someone would have to pay big time to get that
system up and running again after all of these years,
especially since the assembly high bay collapsed.
Remember, the thing only flew twice, and the last
launch was 16 years ago (1988).

- Ed Kyle
Kim Keller
2004-02-02 04:27:57 UTC
Permalink
Post by Krzys Kotwicki
I've only caught this thread at the last minute, so I really don't know
if this has been mentioned yet, it probably has, but why not use the
Energia HLLV or an Americanized derivative,
Mmmmm, more like the DEA factor - "Doesn't Exist Anymore".

-Kim-
Dholmes
2004-01-25 22:52:50 UTC
Permalink
Post by Cris Fitch
Not long ago it looked like the Medium lift market was
over-subscribed with Proton, Ariane-5, Sea Launch, Atlas-5
and Delta-IV. Now with the retirement of Shuttle and a
new plan for manned exploration coming into being, we've
Yep the market is about to get a lot bigger.

One of the things to remember is all the current rockets are designed for a
mix of LEO and GTO not LTO or Lunar orbit.
Some changes will naturally be made to better suit this new objective.
Post by Cris Fitch
1) Launch lots of medium payloads
or
2) Go Heavy
I've got to argue in favor of #1, hoping that the economics
of all these medium lift launchers will reduce the overall
cost of these plans. Standardize the payloads (a la the building
of MIR) and assemble what you need for each mission. Pay
companies for the results (e.g. fuel delivered to the right
orbit).
I do not see how you can go with medium launch vehicles unless you count a
Delta Heavy as a medium class launch vehicle.
The Delta 5,4 can only place less then 5 tons into LTO. With launch capacity
like this you would need at least 40 launches and maybe as many as 80
launches a year just to maintain a 4 man base. Too much assembly can cause
many of the same problems we see now with ISS.
Post by Cris Fitch
If one feels it necessary to go for heavy lift, can't we at
least think in terms of "Delta-IV Super Heavy", such that
our flight hardware makes use of the engineering and production
already in use (and that will stay around if the politics of
heavy lift fails)?
This has a lot of potential.
Going from just over a 5 meter diameter rocket to an almost six meter
diameter rocket even if only for the central rocket would allow for a lot
more launch capability in a Delta Heavy.
Dual MB-60 second stage could also increase mass to orbit.

Increasing the thrust of the second stage with either a MB-60 or RL-60 and
adding a third stage is IMO a must.
Damon Hill
2004-01-26 02:40:35 UTC
Permalink
Post by Dholmes
Post by Cris Fitch
If one feels it necessary to go for heavy lift, can't we at
least think in terms of "Delta-IV Super Heavy", such that
our flight hardware makes use of the engineering and production
already in use (and that will stay around if the politics of
heavy lift fails)?
This has a lot of potential.
Going from just over a 5 meter diameter rocket to an almost six meter
diameter rocket even if only for the central rocket would allow for a
lot more launch capability in a Delta Heavy.
Dual MB-60 second stage could also increase mass to orbit.
Increasing the thrust of the second stage with either a MB-60 or RL-60
and adding a third stage is IMO a must.
This appears to be Boeing's thinking, since they are proposing stacking
two upper stages, most likely using single MB-60s. Two MB-60s on a
single stage would probably require increasing tank volume to get full
benefit. The Delta 4 payload guide mentions a Star 48B third stage for
planetary missions, but does not give performance figures.

http://boeingmedia.com/images/one.cfm?image_id=8856&release=t

Boeing also appears to be proposing nuclear-thermal propulsion in this
image:

http://boeingmedia.com/images/one.cfm?image_id=8864

I haven't seen Boeing's proposed solar-thermal stage mentioned, perhaps
its thrust is too low despite excellent Isp.

Getting significantly more out of the Delta 4 Heavy configuration with
existing launch facilities might mean something more radical as
converting the two strap-ons to LOX/kero and using RD-180 or a new
1 megapound kero engine being developed on the latter's technology,
and adapting the core stage to altitude ignition, as with Titan 3/4.

Benefits to unmanned planetary exploration with these improvements, too.
I wonder how much would be needed to launch that long-duration heavy
rover to Mars?

--Damon
Thomas Lee Elifritz
2004-01-26 13:34:57 UTC
Permalink
January 26, 2004
Post by Damon Hill
This appears to be Boeing's thinking, since they are proposing stacking
two upper stages, most likely using single MB-60s. Two MB-60s on a
single stage would probably require increasing tank volume to get full
benefit. The Delta 4 payload guide mentions a Star 48B third stage for
planetary missions, but does not give performance figures.
http://boeingmedia.com/images/one.cfm?image_id=8856&release=t
Getting significantly more out of the Delta 4 Heavy configuration with
existing launch facilities might mean something more radical as
converting the two strap-ons to LOX/kero and using RD-180 or a new
1 megapound kero engine being developed on the latter's technology,
and adapting the core stage to altitude ignition, as with Titan 3/4.
Actually, it would be very difficult to get much payload mass
improvement out of the existing Delta IV Heavy at all, without adding
additional CBCs, or drastically modifying the vehicle as you point
out. The CBCs have a fixed thrust to mass ratio. The multiple upper
stages will basically be the payload.

Thomas Lee Elifritz
http://elifritz.members.atlantic.net/rocket.htm
ed kyle
2004-01-27 05:24:16 UTC
Permalink
Post by Damon Hill
Post by Dholmes
Increasing the thrust of the second stage with either a MB-60 or RL-60
and adding a third stage is IMO a must.
This appears to be Boeing's thinking, since they are proposing stacking
two upper stages, most likely using single MB-60s. Two MB-60s on a
single stage would probably require increasing tank volume to get full
benefit. The Delta 4 payload guide mentions a Star 48B third stage for
planetary missions, but does not give performance figures.
http://boeingmedia.com/images/one.cfm?image_id=8856&release=t
Interesting. Note that a fully fueled Delta IV 5-meter
diameter second stage weighs nearly 31 metric tons (less
than 4 tons empty), several tons in excess of what
Delta IV-Heavy is reported to be capable of boosting to
low earth orbit. The logical approach would be to upgrade
Delta IV-Heavy enough to be able to put 31 tons into LEO
so that these stages could be orbited fully fueled. This
two-stage plus CEV stack, which appears capable of
translunar insertion, would then require three Delta IV-
Heavy launches.

One or two more launches would apparently be needed to
assemble a lunar lander and its insertion stage, perhaps
sent separately from the CEV.

- Ed Kyle
Post by Damon Hill
Boeing also appears to be proposing nuclear-thermal propulsion in this
http://boeingmedia.com/images/one.cfm?image_id=8864
I haven't seen Boeing's proposed solar-thermal stage mentioned, perhaps
its thrust is too low despite excellent Isp.
Getting significantly more out of the Delta 4 Heavy configuration with
existing launch facilities might mean something more radical as
converting the two strap-ons to LOX/kero and using RD-180 or a new
1 megapound kero engine being developed on the latter's technology,
and adapting the core stage to altitude ignition, as with Titan 3/4.
Benefits to unmanned planetary exploration with these improvements, too.
I wonder how much would be needed to launch that long-duration heavy
rover to Mars?
--Damon
Kim Keller
2004-02-02 04:34:49 UTC
Permalink
Post by ed kyle
Interesting. Note that a fully fueled Delta IV 5-meter
diameter second stage weighs nearly 31 metric tons (less
than 4 tons empty), several tons in excess of what
Delta IV-Heavy is reported to be capable of boosting to
low earth orbit. The logical approach would be to upgrade
Delta IV-Heavy enough to be able to put 31 tons into LEO
so that these stages could be orbited fully fueled. This
two-stage plus CEV stack, which appears capable of
translunar insertion, would then require three Delta IV-
Heavy launches.
Trouble is, Delta IV isn't exactly suited to salvo launch operations. For
that matter, neither is Atlas V. Both would require additional facilities to
make such a mission achievable. From the look of budget numbers, there won't
be enough money to take that approach.

Using just existing facilities would lead to some components having to wait
in orbit for quite some time before the mission package is assembled. Now,
that may not be a huge challenge but it does complicate things, particularly
if cryogenic fuels are used.

-Kim-
ed kyle
2004-02-05 03:54:35 UTC
Permalink
Post by Kim Keller
Post by ed kyle
Interesting. Note that a fully fueled Delta IV 5-meter
diameter second stage weighs nearly 31 metric tons (less
than 4 tons empty), several tons in excess of what
Delta IV-Heavy is reported to be capable of boosting to
low earth orbit. The logical approach would be to upgrade
Delta IV-Heavy enough to be able to put 31 tons into LEO
so that these stages could be orbited fully fueled. This
two-stage plus CEV stack, which appears capable of
translunar insertion, would then require three Delta IV-
Heavy launches.
Trouble is, Delta IV isn't exactly suited to salvo launch operations. For
that matter, neither is Atlas V. Both would require additional facilities to
make such a mission achievable. From the look of budget numbers, there won't
be enough money to take that approach.
If the money isn't there, then the U.S. is not going to the
Moon. Any lunar mission is going to require new launch
facilities, whether it be via EELV or not. The most efficient
way to salvo launch is to assemble vehicles (ideally with
payloads) off-pad in an assembly building, then scoot 'em and
shoot 'em off of one or two pads. An extra one or two VIF
bays could turn SLC 41 into a salvo launcher. NASA, of course,
will have an unused assembly building with a pair of launch
pads after 2010. The old Air Force Titan ITL complex and
Pad 40 will be available after this year or next, as will
SLC 36A and B. If NASA doesn't build a new pad somewhere,
Cape Canaveral/KSC will be left with only four or so active
launch pads in a few years, less than half of today's number.
Post by Kim Keller
Using just existing facilities would lead to some components having to wait
in orbit for quite some time before the mission package is assembled. Now,
that may not be a huge challenge but it does complicate things, particularly
if cryogenic fuels are used.
A lunar surface rendezvous approach could offer some relief.
Sending some mass directly to the lunar landing site ahead
of the manned mission would reduce the LEO-rendezvous mass
requirements and reduce launch window restraints.

- Ed Kyle
Kim Keller
2004-02-07 06:28:15 UTC
Permalink
Post by ed kyle
If the money isn't there, then the U.S. is not going to the
Moon.
You may very well be right. Bush did what makes himself look good, not what
insures the project will survive future administrations.
Post by ed kyle
Any lunar mission is going to require new launch
facilities, whether it be via EELV or not.
More than likely.
Post by ed kyle
The most efficient
way to salvo launch is to assemble vehicles (ideally with
payloads) off-pad in an assembly building, then scoot 'em and
shoot 'em off of one or two pads. An extra one or two VIF
bays could turn SLC 41 into a salvo launcher.
We priced that option this past summer. Even that ain't cheap.
Post by ed kyle
NASA, of course,
will have an unused assembly building with a pair of launch
pads after 2010.
Yeah. That's why I think there'll be a push to develop Shuttle-C or
something similar.
Post by ed kyle
The old Air Force Titan ITL complex and
Pad 40 will be available after this year or next, as will
SLC 36A and B.
We looked at modifying SLC-40, too - there are a lot of "landmines" that
would drive up the cost and stretch out construction schedules. Bottom line
was it would cost a lot of money to turn -40 into something usable.

As for -36, a line was drawn on the CCAFS map with the words, "No Heavy
Rockets South Of This Line" above it. That line was a bit north of -36.
Post by ed kyle
If NASA doesn't build a new pad somewhere,
Cape Canaveral/KSC will be left with only four or so active
launch pads in a few years, less than half of today's number.
Just how many do we need?

-Kim-
ed kyle
2004-02-07 18:39:20 UTC
Permalink
Post by Kim Keller
Post by ed kyle
If NASA doesn't build a new pad somewhere,
Cape Canaveral/KSC will be left with only four or so active
launch pads in a few years, less than half of today's number.
Just how many do we need?
-Kim-
That is a really good question. The answer is "it depends".
It depends more than anything on how many launch vehicle
types there are, because none of the launch vehicles are
flying anywhere near their maximum launch rates. The Cape
and KSC combined have flown less than 20 launches per year
during recent years. In theory, two "universal" pads could
have supported that total, but nine pads were used during
that time.

- Ed Kyle
Cris Fitch
2004-02-08 01:08:27 UTC
Permalink
Post by Kim Keller
Post by ed kyle
NASA, of course,
will have an unused assembly building with a pair of launch
pads after 2010.
Yeah. That's why I think there'll be a push to develop Shuttle-C or
something similar.
Talking with my brother this afternoon, the question came up as
to where the main costs were in the STS. Answer - the standing army.
If you end up with an expendable unmanned heavy lifter and not a
rebuildable manned orbiter, can you reduce the army at all? If
we're talking about a shuttle-derived vehicle, we're still talking
about the solids and the external tank. That's about $100 mil/launch.
If the core resembles a Delta-4, that's maybe another $100 mil
if we're lucky. Could we do $200 mil/launch for 6 launches per
year, with maybe 75 metric tons to LEO for each launch?

- Cris Fitch
San Diego, CA
http://www.orbit6.com/
Rand Simberg
2004-02-07 15:34:12 UTC
Permalink
On Sat, 07 Feb 2004 06:28:15 GMT, in a place far, far away, "Kim
Post by Kim Keller
Post by ed kyle
If the money isn't there, then the U.S. is not going to the
Moon.
You may very well be right. Bush did what makes himself look good, not what
insures the project will survive future administrations.
Just assuming for the sake of argument that you're right (though
there's little reason to think so), just what should he have done
instead?
Paul Rezzo
2004-02-11 20:10:24 UTC
Permalink
Post by Rand Simberg
On Sat, 07 Feb 2004 06:28:15 GMT, in a place far, far away, "Kim
Just assuming for the sake of argument that you're right (though
there's little reason to think so), just what should he have done
instead?
As a suggestion how about,

Letting the world know what countries GOD has told him to attack in
2004 as per GOD's instructions to attack iraq.

or

Maybe announce that America will now honour treaties that it signs

or

Perhaps announcing that the US will stop using banned weapons of
destruction

or

Perhaps building the basic infrastructure in countries in which they
have destroyed the basic infrastructure.

or

Perhaps digging graves for the estiamted 50,000 dead babies to be born
in iraq as a result of US weapons in the next 5 years.

or

Perhaps ceasing their concentration camps in cuba

or

maybe announce an end to torture and deaths of prisoners

or

maybe conforming with the geneva convention

or

perhaps showing us that the US arent cowards and attacking a country
that has a military

or

even a program to stop their US enabled narcotics flooding the world

or

maybe an anoouncemnent that no more terrorising of aid agencies will
be performed by the US military

or

announce an end to carpet bombing of civilians

or

putting an end to their deatch squads assinating civilians that dont
comform to the US sick regime.

or

announce that the US will stop destroying the planets environment.

or even god forbid, allowing other countries to develop Space programs

How's that for a start.
Terrell Miller
2004-02-12 00:28:40 UTC
Permalink
Post by Paul Rezzo
Post by Rand Simberg
Just assuming for the sake of argument that you're right (though
there's little reason to think so), just what should he have done
instead?
Letting the world know what countries GOD has told him to attack in
2004 as per GOD's instructions to attack iraq.
hell, where's the fun in that?
Post by Paul Rezzo
Maybe announce that America will now honour treaties that it signs
hell, where's the fun in that?
Post by Paul Rezzo
Perhaps announcing that the US will stop using banned weapons of
destruction
such as...?
Post by Paul Rezzo
Perhaps building the basic infrastructure in countries in which they
have destroyed the basic infrastructure.
does the word "Halliburton" mean anything at all to you sparky?
Post by Paul Rezzo
Perhaps digging graves for the estiamted 50,000 dead babies to be born
in iraq as a result of US weapons in the next 5 years.
here's another estimate: you pulled your estimate frmo a very smelly part of
your anatomy
Post by Paul Rezzo
Perhaps ceasing their concentration camps in cuba
how 'bout spring training camps there instead? ;)
Post by Paul Rezzo
maybe announce an end to torture and deaths of prisoners
hell, where's the fun in that?
Post by Paul Rezzo
maybe conforming with the geneva convention
hell, where's the fun in that?
Post by Paul Rezzo
perhaps showing us that the US arent cowards and attacking a country
that has a military
you never saw Black Hawk Down. We've already done that.
Post by Paul Rezzo
even a program to stop their US enabled narcotics flooding the world
hell, where's the fun in that?
Post by Paul Rezzo
maybe an anoouncemnent that no more terrorising of aid agencies will
be performed by the US military
hell, where's the fun in that?
Post by Paul Rezzo
announce an end to carpet bombing of civilians
hell, where's the fun in that?
Post by Paul Rezzo
putting an end to their deatch squads assinating civilians that dont
comform to the US sick regime.
hell, where's the fun in that?
Post by Paul Rezzo
announce that the US will stop destroying the planets environment.
hell, where's the fun in that?
Post by Paul Rezzo
or even god forbid, allowing other countries to develop Space programs
like our famous lapdogs the Chinese, f'rinstance?
Post by Paul Rezzo
How's that for a start.
I'm too lazy to go back and count, but I bet your used all 26 letters, so a
gold star for you!
--
Terrell Miller
***@bellsouth.net

"It's one thing to burn down the shit house and another thing entirely to
install plumbing"
-PJ O'Rourke
Paul Rezzo
2004-02-12 21:39:12 UTC
Permalink
Post by Terrell Miller
Post by Paul Rezzo
Post by Rand Simberg
Just assuming for the sake of argument that you're right (though
there's little reason to think so), just what should he have done
instead?
Letting the world know what countries GOD has told him to attack in
2004 as per GOD's instructions to attack iraq.
hell, where's the fun in that?
Might make a good reality show, your GOD could be interviewed on TV.
His horns would be a ratings grabber
Post by Terrell Miller
Post by Paul Rezzo
Maybe announce that America will now honour treaties that it signs
hell, where's the fun in that?
I know, that's why their is hysterical laughter whenever the US
mentions the word treaty or agreemnent.
Post by Terrell Miller
Post by Paul Rezzo
Perhaps announcing that the US will stop using banned weapons of
destruction
such as...?
here's one. Depleted uranium, banned by UN convention. The convention
states, these weapons "are a crime against humanity". The fact that
they offer no significant military advantage seems to be what gets
people upset,every other country has stopped using them, the US has
increased production. THat and the fact that the effect of them is to
make the area contaminated thereby affecting civilians. In the case of
Iraq, the regions largest water table is centralised around Iraq and
testing has shown it to be increasingly contaminated by these weapons.
Post by Terrell Miller
Post by Paul Rezzo
Perhaps building the basic infrastructure in countries in which they
have destroyed the basic infrastructure.
does the word "Halliburton" mean anything at all to you sparky?
Sorry building infrastructure for the US military air conditioners
doesnt count. My concern would be the electricity and water plants
that the US destroyed but has yet to rebuild. Another would be that in
cases where locals have restored this infrastructure without US
permission, the US has arrested them and then destroyed the repaired
infrastructure.
Post by Terrell Miller
Post by Paul Rezzo
Perhaps digging graves for the estiamted 50,000 dead babies to be born
in iraq as a result of US weapons in the next 5 years.
here's another estimate: you pulled your estimate frmo a very smelly part of
your anatomy
Actually, a search from Google reveals it to be based from the UN.
Although that was old and prefixed with, "assuming the US ceases
immediately the contamination regime", the US hasnt ceased. Are you
saying that radioactivity is good for unborn babies, well in that case
america should have no fear of "dirty bombs" as it will only make you
stronger.

Of course insignificant to the 500,000 iraqis killed as a result of
your blockade.
Post by Terrell Miller
Post by Paul Rezzo
Perhaps ceasing their concentration camps in cuba
how 'bout spring training camps there instead? ;)
I dont think so. Based on the reports, medical and psych, the
prisoners are in no shape aft erbeing tortured for so long.
Post by Terrell Miller
Post by Paul Rezzo
maybe announce an end to torture and deaths of prisoners
hell, where's the fun in that?
True..My favourite was the one who had his hands tied and was
electrocuted, the US eventual ruling was he accidently killed himself.
Medical examination showed he had been subjected to "electricty
discharges" over a period of 5 days. Some people just cant kill
themselves efficiently.
Post by Terrell Miller
Post by Paul Rezzo
maybe conforming with the geneva convention
hell, where's the fun in that?
True...Hypocrisy is the main trait of the US.
Post by Terrell Miller
Post by Paul Rezzo
perhaps showing us that the US arent cowards and attacking a country
that has a military
you never saw Black Hawk Down. We've already done that.
How sad for you. BTW: The movie was total crap, it took an australian
to convince the director what it was really like in a war zone and
turn it into a good movie. The fact that you associate this with war,
just confirms your degenerate nature.
Post by Terrell Miller
Post by Paul Rezzo
even a program to stop their US enabled narcotics flooding the world
hell, where's the fun in that?
True...It targets civilians so even more fun. Of course, all that
money is going into terrorists infrastructure so the fun is yet to
begin on the front.
Post by Terrell Miller
Post by Paul Rezzo
maybe an anoouncemnent that no more terrorising of aid agencies will
be performed by the US military
hell, where's the fun in that?
the fun, is watching the next disaster befall the US and them cry for
help from the aid agencies, you just watch the help and money pour in,
NOT.
Post by Terrell Miller
Post by Paul Rezzo
announce an end to carpet bombing of civilians
hell, where's the fun in that?
Oh what a pathetic cancer your nation is.
Post by Terrell Miller
Post by Paul Rezzo
putting an end to their deatch squads assinating civilians that dont
comform to the US sick regime.
hell, where's the fun in that?
The fun is in the fact that their still killing more americans than
your assisinating.
Post by Terrell Miller
Post by Paul Rezzo
announce that the US will stop destroying the planets environment.
hell, where's the fun in that?
Oh the fun will come as your products are no longer welcome in other
countries. Eg: GM food.
Post by Terrell Miller
Post by Paul Rezzo
or even god forbid, allowing other countries to develop Space programs
like our famous lapdogs the Chinese, f'rinstance?
The Chinese arent anyones lapdogs, and they would wipe the floor with
american forces at will. They have a real and disciplined military.
Additionally they dont need US permission for anything, as they have
been saying for years that the US are cowards, its only now that we
can all see it for ourselves.
Post by Terrell Miller
Post by Paul Rezzo
How's that for a start.
I'm too lazy to go back and count, but I bet your used all 26 letters, so a
gold star for you!
Actually, I didnt use the letter Z so I guess you must be american
based on your lack of education.
George William Herbert
2004-02-13 09:14:31 UTC
Permalink
Post by Paul Rezzo
Post by Terrell Miller
Post by Paul Rezzo
Perhaps announcing that the US will stop using banned weapons of
destruction
such as...?
here's one. Depleted uranium, banned by UN convention.
Please name the convention.

I happen to, in my limited spare time, study real WMD
issues and international law related to them, war crimes,
and the like, and to the best of my and everyone else who
actually studies the field's knowledge there is no such
ban in existence.

Name the convention, date signed, signatory nations, etc.
and prove me wrong, if you can. As a quick encouragement,
all the relevant treaty documents are in fact on line
on the web, so you can even google for them.

What you will discover is that you've fallen for anti-nuclear
and anti-US anti-War activist myths and propaganda.
The statement is simply not true.
Post by Paul Rezzo
The convention
states, these weapons "are a crime against humanity".
Nice try.
Post by Paul Rezzo
The fact that they offer no significant military advantage
This is not true. They offer three significant military
advantages: One, Uranium self-sharpens during penetration.
Two, Uranium (or, Staballoy, as it's not pure DU used in
penetrators) is moderately denser than the tungsten alloys
used by other nations. Three, the pyrophoric effects are
a major kill mechanism enhancer after penetrations through
armor packages.

If it were just a cost issue, the US would have abandoned
it decades ago. The raw materials cost for the penetrators
is trivial compared to the sabot, machining, propellant,
and casing costs. Tungsten is more expensive but the
cost difference is down in the noise of total round cost.
We're still using it because it kills tanks more reliably.
Post by Paul Rezzo
seems to be what gets
people upset,every other country has stopped using them,
This is not true. Europe has largely moved away from them,
in no small part due to having their firing ranges closer
to civilization than in the US or other places around the
world. The Russians, Israelis, Pakistani, Indian, and
Chinese militaries still use DU rounds as well as the US
(not sure about Japan).
Post by Paul Rezzo
the US has
increased production. THat and the fact that the effect of them is to
make the area contaminated thereby affecting civilians. In the case of
Iraq, the regions largest water table is centralised around Iraq and
testing has shown it to be increasingly contaminated by these weapons.
Please show us that you have a slight clue about the level
of 'contamination' by working out for us how many tons of
uranium are in the typical first meter of topsoil over a
square kilometer of land in Iraq, due to purely natural
abundance.

Facts are often a painful thing to encounter, but knowing
them and realizing that you've been lied to by dialectic
hugging zealouts is an important first step to recovery.


-george william herbert
***@retro.com
Greg D. Moore (Strider)
2004-02-13 15:03:11 UTC
Permalink
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
the US has
increased production. THat and the fact that the effect of them is to
make the area contaminated thereby affecting civilians. In the case of
Iraq, the regions largest water table is centralised around Iraq and
testing has shown it to be increasingly contaminated by these weapons.
Please show us that you have a slight clue about the level
of 'contamination' by working out for us how many tons of
uranium are in the typical first meter of topsoil over a
square kilometer of land in Iraq, due to purely natural
abundance.
I can't speak for battlefield conditions, but this past week the local
newspaper did have an article on a now closed production plant in the area
that apparently has caused gross contamination of the soil. (something like
up to 75% of weight in 1st meter of topsoil was depleted uranium.)

http://www.timesunion.com though I can't seem to find the article online at
this time.
Post by George William Herbert
Facts are often a painful thing to encounter, but knowing
them and realizing that you've been lied to by dialectic
hugging zealouts is an important first step to recovery.
-george william herbert
Reed Snellenberger
2004-02-13 17:09:39 UTC
Permalink
Post by Greg D. Moore (Strider)
Post by George William Herbert
Please show us that you have a slight clue about the level
of 'contamination' by working out for us how many tons of
uranium are in the typical first meter of topsoil over a
square kilometer of land in Iraq, due to purely natural
abundance.
I can't speak for battlefield conditions, but this past week the local
newspaper did have an article on a now closed production plant in the
area that apparently has caused gross contamination of the soil.
(something like up to 75% of weight in 1st meter of topsoil was
depleted uranium.)
http://www.timesunion.com though I can't seem to find the article
online at this time.
A "now closed production plant"? (the Colonie superfund site)

I suppose this might be marginally relevant, assuming that all the DU
targets in Iraq had been located within a 20 acre site and that we'd been
shooting at them continuously for 20 years (approximate size & duration
of the site's use as a DU processing plant).

By this logic, you'd have to conclude that battlefields must be heavily
contaminated with uranium, simply because uranium mines have high
concentrations of uranium.
--
Reed
Greg D. Moore (Strider)
2004-02-14 02:11:05 UTC
Permalink
Post by Reed Snellenberger
Post by Greg D. Moore (Strider)
Post by George William Herbert
Please show us that you have a slight clue about the level
of 'contamination' by working out for us how many tons of
uranium are in the typical first meter of topsoil over a
square kilometer of land in Iraq, due to purely natural
abundance.
I can't speak for battlefield conditions, but this past week the local
newspaper did have an article on a now closed production plant in the
area that apparently has caused gross contamination of the soil.
(something like up to 75% of weight in 1st meter of topsoil was
depleted uranium.)
http://www.timesunion.com though I can't seem to find the article
online at this time.
A "now closed production plant"? (the Colonie superfund site)
That's the one.
Post by Reed Snellenberger
I suppose this might be marginally relevant, assuming that all the DU
targets in Iraq had been located within a 20 acre site and that we'd been
shooting at them continuously for 20 years (approximate size & duration
of the site's use as a DU processing plant).
You're reading far too much into what I wrote. I in fact specifically said
that I can't speak for battlefield conditions.

I was simply giving an example of one area that is contaminated as a result
of DU.
Reed Snellenberger
2004-02-14 04:31:04 UTC
Permalink
Post by Greg D. Moore (Strider)
Post by Reed Snellenberger
Post by Greg D. Moore (Strider)
Post by George William Herbert
Please show us that you have a slight clue about the level
of 'contamination' by working out for us how many tons of
uranium are in the typical first meter of topsoil over a
square kilometer of land in Iraq, due to purely natural
abundance.
I can't speak for battlefield conditions, but this past week the
local newspaper did have an article on a now closed production
plant in the area that apparently has caused gross contamination of
the soil. (something like up to 75% of weight in 1st meter of
topsoil was depleted uranium.)
http://www.timesunion.com though I can't seem to find the article
online at this time.
A "now closed production plant"? (the Colonie superfund site)
That's the one.
Post by Reed Snellenberger
I suppose this might be marginally relevant, assuming that all the DU
targets in Iraq had been located within a 20 acre site and that we'd
been shooting at them continuously for 20 years (approximate size &
duration of the site's use as a DU processing plant).
You're reading far too much into what I wrote. I in fact specifically
said that I can't speak for battlefield conditions.
I was simply giving an example of one area that is contaminated as a
result of DU.
Sure... I was just pointing out that, in a statistical sense, it is
probably so far outside the "sample population" of areas that may be
contaminated by DU munitions that it likely couldn't be used to infer
anything useful.
--
Reed
David M. Palmer
2004-02-14 17:54:10 UTC
Permalink
Post by Greg D. Moore (Strider)
I can't speak for battlefield conditions, but this past week the local
newspaper did have an article on a now closed production plant in the area
that apparently has caused gross contamination of the soil. (something like
up to 75% of weight in 1st meter of topsoil was depleted uranium.)
Wow, 75%, really? That's fantastic. 75% by weight. Imagine that.
Post by Greg D. Moore (Strider)
http://www.timesunion.com though I can't seem to find the
article online at this time.
And a totally reliable source. Not just "I think I read it somewhere",
but "it was in this newspaper, but I can't find it again".

75%.

Unbelievable.
--
David M. Palmer ***@email.com (formerly @clark.net, @ematic.com)
Greg D. Moore (Strider)
2004-02-15 04:53:40 UTC
Permalink
Post by David M. Palmer
Post by Greg D. Moore (Strider)
I can't speak for battlefield conditions, but this past week the local
newspaper did have an article on a now closed production plant in the area
that apparently has caused gross contamination of the soil. (something like
up to 75% of weight in 1st meter of topsoil was depleted uranium.)
Wow, 75%, really? That's fantastic. 75% by weight. Imagine that.
Yes, it was surprisingly high. That's why I noted it.
Post by David M. Palmer
Post by Greg D. Moore (Strider)
http://www.timesunion.com though I can't seem to find the
article online at this time.
And a totally reliable source. Not just "I think I read it somewhere",
but "it was in this newspaper, but I can't find it again".
Hey, I can't help it if their search engine sucks, and I'm not about to call
the recycling company and ask them to return my newspapers to pelase you.
Post by David M. Palmer
75%.
Unbelievable.
--
David M. Palmer
2004-02-15 07:34:45 UTC
Permalink
Post by Greg D. Moore (Strider)
Post by David M. Palmer
Post by Greg D. Moore (Strider)
I can't speak for battlefield conditions, but this past week the local
newspaper did have an article on a now closed production plant in the
area
Post by David M. Palmer
Post by Greg D. Moore (Strider)
that apparently has caused gross contamination of the soil. (something
like
Post by David M. Palmer
Post by Greg D. Moore (Strider)
up to 75% of weight in 1st meter of topsoil was depleted uranium.)
Wow, 75%, really? That's fantastic. 75% by weight. Imagine that.
Yes, it was surprisingly high. That's why I noted it.
Maybe that's why you noted it, but why did you _believe_ it?

That's not contaminated topsoil, that's impure depleted uranium.

Even if DU has a price of a buck a pound, that's like $10,000 per cubic
meter. You'd think that someone would have offered to clean it up for
free.
Post by Greg D. Moore (Strider)
Post by David M. Palmer
Post by Greg D. Moore (Strider)
http://www.timesunion.com though I can't seem to find the
article online at this time.
And a totally reliable source. Not just "I think I read it somewhere",
but "it was in this newspaper, but I can't find it again".
Hey, I can't help it if their search engine sucks, and I'm not about to call
the recycling company and ask them to return my newspapers to pelase you.
If the newpaper actually said that, not only is it not worth getting
back from the recycler, it wasn't worth buying in the first place.
--
David M. Palmer ***@email.com (formerly @clark.net, @ematic.com)
Alex Terrell
2004-02-13 17:59:40 UTC
Permalink
Post by George William Herbert
Post by George William Herbert
This is not true. They offer three significant military
advantages: One, Uranium self-sharpens during penetration.
Two, Uranium (or, Staballoy, as it's not pure DU used in
penetrators) is moderately denser than the tungsten alloys
used by other nations. Three, the pyrophoric effects are
a major kill mechanism enhancer after penetrations through
armor packages.
I do think the US and others could be more responsible and reserve
depleted Uranium for serious battles, and not just automatically use
it. Tungsten would have been quite adequate for Iraqi armour. And
Iraqi tank crew without tanks were no real threat anyway.

I also think there's a case for "semi bio-degradable" munitions. By
that I mean munitions that last 30 years when stored in a warehouse,
but that are no longer a threat after a few years in the ground.

That would be in our interest, since in these days we tend to have to
clear up our mess after the war is won.
Greg D. Moore (Strider)
2004-02-14 02:12:49 UTC
Permalink
Post by Alex Terrell
I do think the US and others could be more responsible and reserve
depleted Uranium for serious battles, and not just automatically use
it. Tungsten would have been quite adequate for Iraqi armour. And
Iraqi tank crew without tanks were no real threat anyway.
I'll stick with the Powell Doctrine. Basically hit them with overwhelming
force. Don't ever allow them to become a threat.
Post by Alex Terrell
I also think there's a case for "semi bio-degradable" munitions. By
that I mean munitions that last 30 years when stored in a warehouse,
but that are no longer a threat after a few years in the ground.
Actually there's been work on that for mines. Probably the greatest
on-going military threat to civilians around the world is the indiscriminate
use of anti-personal mines.
Post by Alex Terrell
That would be in our interest, since in these days we tend to have to
clear up our mess after the war is won.
SpaceSavant
2004-02-14 01:05:27 UTC
Permalink
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
Post by Terrell Miller
Post by Paul Rezzo
Perhaps announcing that the US will stop using banned weapons of
destruction
such as...?
here's one. Depleted uranium, banned by UN convention.
Please name the convention.
I happen to, in my limited spare time, study real WMD
issues and international law related to them, war crimes,
and the like, and to the best of my and everyone else who
actually studies the field's knowledge there is no such
ban in existence.
I did a quick check in google and found many references. I think you
need more spare time to study it. Here is a reference that states it
in simplified terms,
http://www.webcom.com/hrin/parker/du2000.html
Post by George William Herbert
Name the convention, date signed, signatory nations, etc.
and prove me wrong, if you can. As a quick encouragement,
all the relevant treaty documents are in fact on line
on the web, so you can even google for them.
You claim to study it yet be totally oblivious to the ways in which
weapons can be banned. Perhaps less rhetoric and more study is in
order. Did you even try and google it?? I'm assuming though that this
is what the original poster menat by convention, IE: Human rights and
Humanitarian law.
Post by George William Herbert
What you will discover is that you've fallen for anti-nuclear
and anti-US anti-War activist myths and propaganda.
The statement is simply not true.
I believe you have fallen for something. Perhaps look up the words
delusion.
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
The convention
states, these weapons "are a crime against humanity".
Nice try.
It does appear to be the substance of humanatarian law, does the US
operate under a different set of pinciples than the rest of the world.
Trick quesiton of course since they do.
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
The fact that they offer no significant military advantage
This is not true. They offer three significant military
advantages: One, Uranium self-sharpens during penetration.
Two, Uranium (or, Staballoy, as it's not pure DU used in
penetrators) is moderately denser than the tungsten alloys
used by other nations. Three, the pyrophoric effects are
a major kill mechanism enhancer after penetrations through
armor packages.
Sorry...But you dont generally find these things in human bodies
especailly in civilians to which the US widely uses them.
Post by George William Herbert
If it were just a cost issue, the US would have abandoned
it decades ago. The raw materials cost for the penetrators
is trivial compared to the sabot, machining, propellant,
and casing costs. Tungsten is more expensive but the
cost difference is down in the noise of total round cost.
We're still using it because it kills tanks more reliably.
Tell that to the parents of stillborn children if you have the guts to
visit them.
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
seems to be what gets
people upset,every other country has stopped using them,
This is not true. Europe has largely moved away from them,
in no small part due to having their firing ranges closer
to civilization than in the US or other places around the
world. The Russians, Israelis, Pakistani, Indian, and
Chinese militaries still use DU rounds as well as the US
(not sure about Japan).
You appear quite naive about their policies. A quick search of
Germany, France and the UK statements on the issues, shows you are
totally incorrect. You will also note the reports in the UN archives
on the issue which states that only the US continues "to endorse the
use" of these weapons.
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
the US has
increased production. THat and the fact that the effect of them is to
make the area contaminated thereby affecting civilians. In the case of
Iraq, the regions largest water table is centralised around Iraq and
testing has shown it to be increasingly contaminated by these weapons.
Please show us that you have a slight clue about the level
of 'contamination' by working out for us how many tons of
uranium are in the typical first meter of topsoil over a
square kilometer of land in Iraq, due to purely natural
abundance.
UNICEF, Redcross and some UN nuclear agency wwith a really long
acryonym all claimed that, and I only looked for about 30 minutes in
google.
Post by George William Herbert
Facts are often a painful thing to encounter, but knowing
them and realizing that you've been lied to by dialectic
hugging zealouts is an important first step to recovery.
That's what it takes to be american
Post by George William Herbert
-george william herbert
Greg D. Moore (Strider)
2004-02-14 02:18:01 UTC
Permalink
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
Post by Terrell Miller
Post by Paul Rezzo
Perhaps announcing that the US will stop using banned weapons of
destruction
such as...?
here's one. Depleted uranium, banned by UN convention.
Please name the convention.
I happen to, in my limited spare time, study real WMD
issues and international law related to them, war crimes,
and the like, and to the best of my and everyone else who
actually studies the field's knowledge there is no such
ban in existence.
I did a quick check in google and found many references. I think you
need more spare time to study it. Here is a reference that states it
in simplified terms,
http://www.webcom.com/hrin/parker/du2000.html
Again, as George said, "name the convention."

Note that the author herself doesn't mention any convention.

Honestly, her argument is somewhat suspect as it could include lead used in
weaponry, which no one has called a banned weapon.
Michael Walsh
2004-02-14 19:47:41 UTC
Permalink
Post by Greg D. Moore (Strider)
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
Post by Terrell Miller
Post by Paul Rezzo
Perhaps announcing that the US will stop using banned weapons of
destruction
such as...?
here's one. Depleted uranium, banned by UN convention.
Please name the convention.
I happen to, in my limited spare time, study real WMD
issues and international law related to them, war crimes,
and the like, and to the best of my and everyone else who
actually studies the field's knowledge there is no such
ban in existence.
I did a quick check in google and found many references. I think you
need more spare time to study it. Here is a reference that states it
in simplified terms,
http://www.webcom.com/hrin/parker/du2000.html
Again, as George said, "name the convention."
Note that the author herself doesn't mention any convention.
Honestly, her argument is somewhat suspect as it could include lead used in
weaponry, which no one has called a banned weapon.
I am a bit curious. How would old tungsten rounds hanging around on an
old battlefield affect things? Most heavy metals really aren't that desirable
environmentally. And just how much worse is depleted Uranium than an
equivalent amount of lead?

The whole argument seems to based on linking the Uranium to
nuclear radiation. The stories about widespread effects of depleted
Uranium on populations are so far fetched that they are completely
unbelievable.

Mike Walsh
George William Herbert
2004-02-14 09:32:29 UTC
Permalink
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
Post by Terrell Miller
Post by Paul Rezzo
Perhaps announcing that the US will stop using banned weapons of
destruction
such as...?
here's one. Depleted uranium, banned by UN convention.
Please name the convention.
I happen to, in my limited spare time, study real WMD
issues and international law related to them, war crimes,
and the like, and to the best of my and everyone else who
actually studies the field's knowledge there is no such
ban in existence.
I did a quick check in google and found many references. I think you
need more spare time to study it. Here is a reference that states it
in simplified terms,
http://www.webcom.com/hrin/parker/du2000.html
No.

One: No treaty is specifically listed.

Two: Treaties are not between individuals, they are between nations.
Individuals have no standing to interpret, or reinterpret, or assert
reinterpretations of treaties as international law or convention.
No treaty signatory nation for any law of war treaty, nor for that
matter more generally any nation on the face of the earth, has asserted
any interpretation of any existing treaty which would render in any
way Depleted Uranium's use to be forbidden or illegal.

Three: The logical path asserted for that argument claims
that DU being a toxic substance which will continue to
contaminate the battlefield, it must be illegal, is known
to be logically fallacious. Almost *every* substance used
in warfare is a toxic substance which will contaminate
the battlefield. Bullets are lead, though that is changing.
No one has, however, argued that lead bullets are or might
become illegal under any international treaty. Some nations
are moving to tungsten to save money on cleaning up old rifle
ranges at army bases. That's all. Explosives are generally
toxic. Rocket propellants are toxic. The residue from the
detonation of explosives and firing of rockets often
includes toxic chemicals. Broadening even further,
unexploded ordnance poses even greater health and
safety risks.

The *only* substance which anti-nuclear zealouts have pressed
this claim over is Depleted Uranium, despite the fact that
on a pure mass / toxicity basis it is not the largest
contributor to battlefield toxicity.

If it's applied rationally to all substances, then it is
obviously absurd and will be rejected out of hand by
any nation, who will not unilaterally disarm completely
in order to prevent possible battlefield toxicity
problems in the future.

In expanding the question to all battlefield toxics it
is shown to be a ridiculous claim.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Name the convention, date signed, signatory nations, etc.
and prove me wrong, if you can. As a quick encouragement,
all the relevant treaty documents are in fact on line
on the web, so you can even google for them.
You claim to study it yet be totally oblivious to the ways in which
weapons can be banned. Perhaps less rhetoric and more study is in
order. Did you even try and google it??
Four: Not all wisdom or documents on earth are on the Web.

Five: I have been studying this problem, and the relevant treaties,
for years and years. Googling it yesterday would have contributed
nothing to what I have read over the last several years, including
regular websearches and literature searches.
Post by SpaceSavant
I'm assuming though that this
is what the original poster menat by convention, IE: Human rights and
Humanitarian law.
Six: The original poster is not in a position to be interpreting or
asserting interpretations of humanitarian international law, as they
are not a nation.

Seven: Neither you, nor the original poster, have specified the
particulars of a violation of humanitarian international law
which you believe some nation state might chose to assert if
they wanted to.

The question I asked was very specific: please find the
treaty text which you feel you can make a case that the
use of DU violates, and provide it. Neither you, nor the
original poster, nor the author of the referenced web page
you included, have done so.

The conclusion is reasonably, at this time, that neither you,
nor the original poster, nor the author of the referenced
web page you included know of such a treaty or convention.

I assert that is because it does not exist.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
What you will discover is that you've fallen for anti-nuclear
and anti-US anti-War activist myths and propaganda.
The statement is simply not true.
I believe you have fallen for something. Perhaps look up the words
delusion.
It's very simple. Find the treaty or convention. Post the reference
and appropriate excerpt of the treaty or convention.

This is not rocket science.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
The convention
states, these weapons "are a crime against humanity".
Nice try.
It does appear to be the substance of humanatarian law, does the US
operate under a different set of pinciples than the rest of the world.
Trick quesiton of course since they do.
Nonsequiteur. It's very simple. Find the treaty or convention.
Post the reference and appropriate excerpt of the treaty or
convention.

If you can't do that, then acknowledge that no such treaty
or convention exists.

If you *want* to ban the use of DU in warfare, that's fine.
It's logically unreasonable compared to other toxic threats
from warfare, however, the same can be said of proper military
use of marked minefields and those are banned now.
So go for it, though I disagree with you.

The mechanism to make such changes in allowed weapons
is that activists get actual nation-states to get together
and write new treaties.

Activists who feel that the use of dialectic is a valid
replacement for the processes of international treatymaking
are deluding themselves. Convince at least one nation that
it's actually something they want to bother trying to ban,
and then convince other nations to go along with it.
That's how it's done.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
The fact that they offer no significant military advantage
This is not true. They offer three significant military
advantages: One, Uranium self-sharpens during penetration.
Two, Uranium (or, Staballoy, as it's not pure DU used in
penetrators) is moderately denser than the tungsten alloys
used by other nations. Three, the pyrophoric effects are
a major kill mechanism enhancer after penetrations through
armor packages.
Sorry...But you dont generally find these things in human bodies
especailly in civilians to which the US widely uses them.
Could you please restate that claim in a manner that
contains some parseable english? I have no idea whatsoever
what you were trying to say.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
If it were just a cost issue, the US would have abandoned
it decades ago. The raw materials cost for the penetrators
is trivial compared to the sabot, machining, propellant,
and casing costs. Tungsten is more expensive but the
cost difference is down in the noise of total round cost.
We're still using it because it kills tanks more reliably.
Tell that to the parents of stillborn children if you have the guts to
visit them.
A number of ill people examined in southern Iraq by
Medecins Sans Frontieres showed that a large majority
of people who 'seemed' to have DU poisoning had no
noticably elevated blood uranium levels, and though
some people did, they were not significantly less
healthy than average in those regions.

The US has a large medical history database of what
Uranium toxicity does to people; before its hazards
were fully recognized, miners and prospectors and
uranium processing workers often got relatively
high levels of personal contamination.

Unfortunately for those who claim that we've caused
ridiculous numbers of deaths or deformities, the US
Uranium workers got higher levels of contamination in
their bloodstream and showed less effects and of different
types of effect than is claimed by activists.

The logical conclusion is that something else is causing
those health problems in Iraqi and other peoples.

That is not to say that uranium is good for you.
It's a heavy metal, and toxic, and even DU is
detectably radioactive. Its much more of a chemical
toxicity hazard (roughly 3 times worse biologically
than lead, on a weight basis) than it is a radioactivity
health hazard. But it's much less toxic than Dioxin,
mercury, cadmium, botulism toxin, etc.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
seems to be what gets
people upset,every other country has stopped using them,
This is not true. Europe has largely moved away from them,
in no small part due to having their firing ranges closer
to civilization than in the US or other places around the
world. The Russians, Israelis, Pakistani, Indian, and
Chinese militaries still use DU rounds as well as the US
(not sure about Japan).
You appear quite naive about their policies. A quick search of
Germany, France and the UK statements on the issues, shows you are
totally incorrect.
Germany, France, and the UK maintain war stockpiles of DU
penetrator tank ammunition.

When they dispose of those, come back and we'll talk again.
Post by SpaceSavant
You will also note the reports in the UN archives
on the issue which states that only the US continues "to endorse the
use" of these weapons.
It doesn't matter who endorses it. The fact is that far more
nations still use DU penetrators than have abandoned it.
The US does not stand alone as the only DU user, and there is
no sign that Israel, Russia, China, or the others are going
to give up using it, though they aren't making a big deal
about it.

Possibly the people who protest this issue have issues
with the United States and its behaviour, and only
secondarily with Depleted Uranium itself. But that is
only my opinion.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
the US has
increased production. THat and the fact that the effect of them is to
make the area contaminated thereby affecting civilians. In the case of
Iraq, the regions largest water table is centralised around Iraq and
testing has shown it to be increasingly contaminated by these weapons.
Please show us that you have a slight clue about the level
of 'contamination' by working out for us how many tons of
uranium are in the typical first meter of topsoil over a
square kilometer of land in Iraq, due to purely natural
abundance.
UNICEF, Redcross and some UN nuclear agency wwith a really long
acryonym all claimed that, and I only looked for about 30 minutes in
google.
I repeat myself: please show that you have a slight clue.
Look up the crustal abundance. Tell us how many tons of uranium
are in the top meter of soil over a square kilometer.

This is a simple question. It takes a little research
(hint: one google search with "uranium crustal abundance"
will do it) and a little math.

The answer will clearly suprise you, based on your statements
here so far. The answer is, however, extremely important.

Uranium is a moderately rare element. But it is not that
uncommon. There is a lot of it out there, statistically
speaking.


-george william herbert
***@retro.com
SpaceSavant
2004-02-14 20:30:28 UTC
Permalink
Post by George William Herbert
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
Post by Terrell Miller
Post by Paul Rezzo
Perhaps announcing that the US will stop using banned weapons of
destruction
such as...?
here's one. Depleted uranium, banned by UN convention.
Please name the convention.
I happen to, in my limited spare time, study real WMD
issues and international law related to them, war crimes,
and the like, and to the best of my and everyone else who
actually studies the field's knowledge there is no such
ban in existence.
I did a quick check in google and found many references. I think you
need more spare time to study it. Here is a reference that states it
in simplified terms,
http://www.webcom.com/hrin/parker/du2000.html
No.
I guess since I responded I need to continue, although I find it
strange to be discussing this in this newsgroup and especially under
this thread!
Post by George William Herbert
One: No treaty is specifically listed.
Two: Treaties are not between individuals, they are between nations.
Individuals have no standing to interpret, or reinterpret, or assert
reinterpretations of treaties as international law or convention.
No treaty signatory nation for any law of war treaty, nor for that
matter more generally any nation on the face of the earth, has asserted
any interpretation of any existing treaty which would render in any
way Depleted Uranium's use to be forbidden or illegal.
I seemed to interpret what I read differently, although legalise
always send shivers down my spine. Based on the short read I had,
anything nasty and of "human effect" can be listed by the UN. THe
treaty itself is not renegotiated everytime someone deploys a new
variation of weapon which makes sense given how long these things tend
to take.

I find your interpretation strangely lawyerish. Either way, given the
things I read on the UN site, their is no doubt about its effect. I
stopped reading when I got to 50,000 leukemia babies in Kosovo.
Post by George William Herbert
Three: The logical path asserted for that argument claims
that DU being a toxic substance which will continue to
contaminate the battlefield, it must be illegal, is known
to be logically fallacious. Almost *every* substance used
in warfare is a toxic substance which will contaminate
the battlefield. Bullets are lead, though that is changing.
No one has, however, argued that lead bullets are or might
become illegal under any international treaty. Some nations
are moving to tungsten to save money on cleaning up old rifle
ranges at army bases. That's all. Explosives are generally
toxic. Rocket propellants are toxic. The residue from the
detonation of explosives and firing of rockets often
includes toxic chemicals. Broadening even further,
unexploded ordnance poses even greater health and
safety risks.
I'm not sure of the relevance of lead and tungsten to DU.
Post by George William Herbert
The *only* substance which anti-nuclear zealouts have pressed
this claim over is Depleted Uranium, despite the fact that
on a pure mass / toxicity basis it is not the largest
contributor to battlefield toxicity.
Is the WHO and UN anti-nuclear. Their is much materials on their site
condeming it's effects. An honest question, I really dont know their
stances.
Post by George William Herbert
If it's applied rationally to all substances, then it is
obviously absurd and will be rejected out of hand by
any nation, who will not unilaterally disarm completely
in order to prevent possible battlefield toxicity
problems in the future.
Dont know what that means, again sounds very lawyerish.
Post by George William Herbert
In expanding the question to all battlefield toxics it
is shown to be a ridiculous claim.
Only you have expanded to include battlefield toxics unless their was
another posting I missed.
Post by George William Herbert
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Name the convention, date signed, signatory nations, etc.
and prove me wrong, if you can. As a quick encouragement,
all the relevant treaty documents are in fact on line
on the web, so you can even google for them.
Yes I'm aware of it. Although I question the thoroughness of your
research of them. The UN site in particular is far too depressing for
me to go back.
Post by George William Herbert
Post by SpaceSavant
You claim to study it yet be totally oblivious to the ways in which
weapons can be banned. Perhaps less rhetoric and more study is in
order. Did you even try and google it??
Four: Not all wisdom or documents on earth are on the Web.
Aint that the truth, if only more people would realise it. However, I
think you would agree that the one thing bureaucracy such as the UN
excel at is publishing documents.

I would also question whether their is any wisdom at all on the
internet. But that comes down to a debate on definition of wisdom.
Post by George William Herbert
Five: I have been studying this problem, and the relevant treaties,
for years and years. Googling it yesterday would have contributed
nothing to what I have read over the last several years, including
regular websearches and literature searches.
True, however, I reacted to what I pertook to be a flippant response.
I can see that was a mistake. You have offered me arguments, you
offered the original poster none.
Post by George William Herbert
Post by SpaceSavant
I'm assuming though that this
is what the original poster menat by convention, IE: Human rights and
Humanitarian law.
Six: The original poster is not in a position to be interpreting or
asserting interpretations of humanitarian international law, as they
are not a nation.
Agreed. But isnt that what your doing when you say you "study" it.
Post by George William Herbert
Seven: Neither you, nor the original poster, have specified the
particulars of a violation of humanitarian international law
which you believe some nation state might chose to assert if
they wanted to.
As stated I responded to your lack of arguments. I stated the length
of time I looked and what I found.
Post by George William Herbert
The question I asked was very specific: please find the
treaty text which you feel you can make a case that the
use of DU violates, and provide it. Neither you, nor the
original poster, nor the author of the referenced web page
you included, have done so.
She may not have but I did, I said Human rights and Humanitarian law.
I believe you should take that argument up with the original poster
Post by George William Herbert
The conclusion is reasonably, at this time, that neither you,
nor the original poster, nor the author of the referenced
web page you included know of such a treaty or convention.
I stated human rights and humantarian law based on 30 mintues
research. So respectfully go piss in someones elses pocket.
Post by George William Herbert
I assert that is because it does not exist.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
What you will discover is that you've fallen for anti-nuclear
and anti-US anti-War activist myths and propaganda.
The statement is simply not true.
I believe you have fallen for something. Perhaps look up the words
delusion.
It's very simple. Find the treaty or convention. Post the reference
and appropriate excerpt of the treaty or convention.
Why. I responded to your flippant response, take it up with the
original author. I aint your whipping boy, sonny.
Post by George William Herbert
This is not rocket science.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
The convention
states, these weapons "are a crime against humanity".
Nice try.
It does appear to be the substance of humanatarian law, does the US
operate under a different set of pinciples than the rest of the world.
Trick quesiton of course since they do.
Nonsequiteur. It's very simple. Find the treaty or convention.
Post the reference and appropriate excerpt of the treaty or
convention.
As above
Post by George William Herbert
If you can't do that, then acknowledge that no such treaty
or convention exists.
No, I will not acknowledge something I do not know the answer too. But
I will acknowledge that DU appears to be vile weapon based on those
reports on the WHO and UN sites. The fact you deny those reports
doesnt make them go away.
Post by George William Herbert
If you *want* to ban the use of DU in warfare, that's fine.
It's logically unreasonable compared to other toxic threats
from warfare, however, the same can be said of proper military
use of marked minefields and those are banned now.
So go for it, though I disagree with you.
Yes, but the US continues to deploy them. What treaty bans them. Note:
I said "I assume" what the original poster meant. He may have meant
whatever treaty that bans minefields. Although, I wasnt aware that
minefields are banned.
Post by George William Herbert
The mechanism to make such changes in allowed weapons
is that activists get actual nation-states to get together
and write new treaties.
Activists who feel that the use of dialectic is a valid
replacement for the processes of international treatymaking
are deluding themselves. Convince at least one nation that
it's actually something they want to bother trying to ban,
and then convince other nations to go along with it.
That's how it's done.
This I will kick back on. Their are several reports listing many
nations requesting a ban on these weapons that I found before writting
my response. If you have studied this for so long why do you not know
this?
Post by George William Herbert
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
The fact that they offer no significant military advantage
This is not true. They offer three significant military
advantages: One, Uranium self-sharpens during penetration.
Two, Uranium (or, Staballoy, as it's not pure DU used in
penetrators) is moderately denser than the tungsten alloys
used by other nations. Three, the pyrophoric effects are
a major kill mechanism enhancer after penetrations through
armor packages.
Sorry...But you dont generally find these things in human bodies
especailly in civilians to which the US widely uses them.
Could you please restate that claim in a manner that
contains some parseable english? I have no idea whatsoever
what you were trying to say.
Well pardon me for not speaking my second language as well as you.
Post by George William Herbert
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
If it were just a cost issue, the US would have abandoned
it decades ago. The raw materials cost for the penetrators
is trivial compared to the sabot, machining, propellant,
and casing costs. Tungsten is more expensive but the
cost difference is down in the noise of total round cost.
We're still using it because it kills tanks more reliably.
Tell that to the parents of stillborn children if you have the guts to
visit them.
A number of ill people examined in southern Iraq by
Medecins Sans Frontieres showed that a large majority
of people who 'seemed' to have DU poisoning had no
noticably elevated blood uranium levels, and though
some people did, they were not significantly less
healthy than average in those regions.
The US has a large medical history database of what
Uranium toxicity does to people; before its hazards
were fully recognized, miners and prospectors and
uranium processing workers often got relatively
high levels of personal contamination.
Unfortunately for those who claim that we've caused
ridiculous numbers of deaths or deformities, the US
Uranium workers got higher levels of contamination in
their bloodstream and showed less effects and of different
types of effect than is claimed by activists.
Oh please dont the use the US said so argument. I'm involved with a
american company who regularly battles dealing with tree huggers,
environmentalists, anticarcos and just plain greedy politicians, we
are involved in everything from Nuclear facilities to medical
equipment. I know EXACTLEY how easy it can be to manipulate such data
and the irrelevance of statements such as yours. And this is not
something I study in my spare time, but get paid significant amounts
of money to be involved in.

Their are multiple reports on the WHO and UN sites listing the effects
which is what made me stop. I now state that you have not even read
the WHO reports in addition to the UN reports. I will place UN and WHO
teams who are experts above that piece of dribble.
Post by George William Herbert
The logical conclusion is that something else is causing
those health problems in Iraqi and other peoples.
That is not to say that uranium is good for you.
It's a heavy metal, and toxic, and even DU is
detectably radioactive. Its much more of a chemical
toxicity hazard (roughly 3 times worse biologically
than lead, on a weight basis) than it is a radioactivity
health hazard. But it's much less toxic than Dioxin,
mercury, cadmium, botulism toxin, etc.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
seems to be what gets
people upset,every other country has stopped using them,
This is not true. Europe has largely moved away from them,
in no small part due to having their firing ranges closer
to civilization than in the US or other places around the
world. The Russians, Israelis, Pakistani, Indian, and
Chinese militaries still use DU rounds as well as the US
(not sure about Japan).
You appear quite naive about their policies. A quick search of
Germany, France and the UK statements on the issues, shows you are
totally incorrect.
Germany, France, and the UK maintain war stockpiles of DU
penetrator tank ammunition.
Do you know the difference between a stockpile and active use.
Post by George William Herbert
When they dispose of those, come back and we'll talk again.
No you appear far to defensive and ignorant for me to respond further.
Take it up with the original poster.
Post by George William Herbert
Post by SpaceSavant
You will also note the reports in the UN archives
on the issue which states that only the US continues "to endorse the
use" of these weapons.
It doesn't matter who endorses it. The fact is that far more
nations still use DU penetrators than have abandoned it.
The US does not stand alone as the only DU user, and there is
no sign that Israel, Russia, China, or the others are going
to give up using it, though they aren't making a big deal
about it.
Again you appear ignorant of the submission that Russia has made to
the UN. Another piece of "selective" stuying.
Post by George William Herbert
Possibly the people who protest this issue have issues
with the United States and its behaviour, and only
secondarily with Depleted Uranium itself. But that is
only my opinion.
It does seem to be the way of the times. However the UN and the WHO
are organisations you are a individual. And as you stated previously
individuals are " not in a position to be interpreting or
asserting interpretations of humanitarian international law, as they
are not a nation". I see you consider yourself better and much more
than a indivudal.
Post by George William Herbert
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
the US has
increased production. THat and the fact that the effect of them is to
make the area contaminated thereby affecting civilians. In the case of
Iraq, the regions largest water table is centralised around Iraq and
testing has shown it to be increasingly contaminated by these weapons.
Please show us that you have a slight clue about the level
of 'contamination' by working out for us how many tons of
uranium are in the typical first meter of topsoil over a
square kilometer of land in Iraq, due to purely natural
abundance.
UNICEF, Redcross and some UN nuclear agency wwith a really long
acryonym all claimed that, and I only looked for about 30 minutes in
google.
I repeat myself: please show that you have a slight clue.
Look up the crustal abundance. Tell us how many tons of uranium
are in the top meter of soil over a square kilometer.
No I will not pretend to be a chemist or whatever speciality it is. I
will rely on the UN and WHO reports. The reports for Iraq I found
state nothing about crust, only water tables in iraq.
Post by George William Herbert
This is a simple question. It takes a little research
(hint: one google search with "uranium crustal abundance"
will do it) and a little math.
Not really, I'm far to busy to get in a pissing match with someone
with your attitude. Life is too short. Take it up with the original
poster.
Post by George William Herbert
The answer will clearly suprise you, based on your statements
here so far. The answer is, however, extremely important.
Uranium is a moderately rare element. But it is not that
uncommon. There is a lot of it out there, statistically
speaking.
Please take your pompous and bitter dumps elsewhere. Why dont you
direct your questions to the orignal poster rather than lumbering me
with them.

I will not reply more to your pathetic attempts at entanglement. I'll
leave you and her to see who can piss further.
Post by George William Herbert
-george william herbert
George William Herbert
2004-02-14 22:48:22 UTC
Permalink
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
[...]
I guess since I responded I need to continue, although I find it
strange to be discussing this in this newsgroup and especially under
this thread!
Subject changed to be more appropriate.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
One: No treaty is specifically listed.
Two: Treaties are not between individuals, they are between nations.
Individuals have no standing to interpret, or reinterpret, or assert
reinterpretations of treaties as international law or convention.
No treaty signatory nation for any law of war treaty, nor for that
matter more generally any nation on the face of the earth, has asserted
any interpretation of any existing treaty which would render in any
way Depleted Uranium's use to be forbidden or illegal.
I seemed to interpret what I read differently, although legalise
always send shivers down my spine. Based on the short read I had,
anything nasty and of "human effect" can be listed by the UN. THe
treaty itself is not renegotiated everytime someone deploys a new
variation of weapon which makes sense given how long these things tend
to take.
I find your interpretation strangely lawyerish.
We are discussing international law. Lawyerish is the nature
of the beast.

If you would like to see DU banned from warfare
because you think it's toxic to people, that's fine.
But that's different than it being illegal to use
in warfare. And that's also different from stepping
back and rationally considering the toxic and environmental
effects of warfare as a whole, and looking to solve those
effects starting with the ones that are actually and
demonstrably the worst ones.

My argument on the moral side is this: DU is not good
for people. The medical evidence is clear on that.
It's about three times as chemically toxic as lead,
etc etc. Given the choice between living somewhere
free of nearby environmental DU and somewhere with some,
I would chose to live without, all other things equal.
But DU is not the most toxic thing left over on a
battlefield. Trying to solve those more toxic
things first is morally a higher priority.
Those who jump straight to wanting to ban DU
are using bad science and anti-nuclear fear
to try and attack it, rather than focusing on
actually maximally reducing toxic effects on
battlefields.

To the extent that they make those attacks in
order to cause political activism against the US
military and our military actions, and not to
in fact make a good faith effort to improve the
health and safety of people living in areas that
become battlefields, they are in fact immoral.
They are exploiting other people's suffering and
lying by using bad science in order to promote
their political anti-US agenda.
Post by SpaceSavant
Either way, given the
things I read on the UN site, their is no doubt about its effect. I
stopped reading when I got to 50,000 leukemia babies in Kosovo.
There is considerable doubt about its effect.

Uranium is a heavy metal. It is more toxic than lead,
but less toxic than mercury.

Its toxicity is *very well studied*. Lots of people got
very heavy doses of it in the US and other countries before
it was understood how toxic heavy metals are. Their health
problems were studied in depth. Their health problems are
very like health problems people get from exposure to lead
and other heavy metals.

A lot of the health problems ascribed to DU on battlefields
are not health problems which were seen in people who had
uranium poisoning in the US in the 50s and 60s. It is unlikely
that the nature and effects of uranium poisoning changed
over the last 40-50 years.

A lot of the specific people on battlefields who have had
illnesses which were blamed on DU were tested and found to
not have elevated uranium levels in their blood.

Some of those illnesses which do not correspond, in people who
don't have elevated uranium levels, are certainly not due to
uranium poisoning.

It is perfectly reasonable to conclude that there are other
things at work in at least very many cases.

I fully support further research and remediation of uranium
in areas where people live, based on known and demonstrated
toxic effects. But it is being blamed for a large quantity
of medical effects that it is clearly not responsible for.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Three: The logical path asserted for that argument claims
that DU being a toxic substance which will continue to
contaminate the battlefield, it must be illegal, is known
to be logically fallacious. Almost *every* substance used
in warfare is a toxic substance which will contaminate
the battlefield. Bullets are lead, though that is changing.
No one has, however, argued that lead bullets are or might
become illegal under any international treaty. Some nations
are moving to tungsten to save money on cleaning up old rifle
ranges at army bases. That's all. Explosives are generally
toxic. Rocket propellants are toxic. The residue from the
detonation of explosives and firing of rockets often
includes toxic chemicals. Broadening even further,
unexploded ordnance poses even greater health and
safety risks.
I'm not sure of the relevance of lead and tungsten to DU.
Lead and tungsten are also toxic (lead significantly,
tungsten not particularly badly). Lead and tungsten
are used in warfare. As are explosives, rocket propellants,
etc etc.

That's the point. If you really care about people being
made ill on old battlefields, and want to reduce that,
you need to look beyond one political movement's propaganda
and work on the toxics that are causing the most damage.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
The *only* substance which anti-nuclear zealouts have pressed
this claim over is Depleted Uranium, despite the fact that
on a pure mass / toxicity basis it is not the largest
contributor to battlefield toxicity.
Is the WHO and UN anti-nuclear. Their is much materials on their site
condeming it's effects. An honest question, I really dont know their
stances.
There are a large number of scientifically questionable statements
by a lot of people blaming uranium for a lot of things it doesn't do.
Some of those people work for the UN and WHO.

That does not change that uranium is toxic, and is out there,
and is not good for people. The question isn't whether it's toxic.
The question is whether it's responsible for all the things people
are saying it is or not. If it is, then sure, let's stop using it.
If it isn't, and is less of a lingering health threat than all
the other things, then let's work on cleaning up all the other
things first.

Focusing on DU if it is not the largest health threat,
for political purposes, is wrong and exploitive of the
victims of battlefield toxicity.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
If it's applied rationally to all substances, then it is
obviously absurd and will be rejected out of hand by
any nation, who will not unilaterally disarm completely
in order to prevent possible battlefield toxicity
problems in the future.
Dont know what that means, again sounds very lawyerish.
Again:
If you take the logic that using weapons that leave toxic
environmental effects behind are illegal and accept it
as valid, then it should apply to all weapons that leave
toxic environmental effects. And more so to the weapons
that leave the most toxic environmental effects.

Which are not depleted uranium weapons.

Nations and militaries know that. If that theory were
to become accepted international law, then they would all
have to completely disarm, as nearly no weapons system
on the face of the earth is significantly cleaner than
DU weapons are.

They aren't going to do that.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
In expanding the question to all battlefield toxics it
is shown to be a ridiculous claim.
Only you have expanded to include battlefield toxics unless their was
another posting I missed.
That's the point and the problem. If you don't expand to include
other battlefield toxics, and compare the risk of DU to those,
you're not solving the real problem, you're exploiting all
battlefield toxics victims in order to promote an anti-US military
political agenda.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Name the convention, date signed, signatory nations, etc.
and prove me wrong, if you can. As a quick encouragement,
all the relevant treaty documents are in fact on line
on the web, so you can even google for them.
Yes I'm aware of it. Although I question the thoroughness of your
research of them. The UN site in particular is far too depressing for
me to go back.
This is not an easy problem. Turning your back on actually understanding
it, and sticking with opinions which are demonstrably scientifically
false and you got from clearly biased anti-American sources,
is not helping anything.

Education *is* the answer. Battles do leave lingering health
effects in addition to their immediate effects on those wounded
and killed. The greater question, of whether in today's world
we need to look to reduce those effects or not, is an important
one to look at. And I support doing that.

I do not support focusing in on DU due to other political
agendas which are hidden.
Post by SpaceSavant
[......]
Post by George William Herbert
If you can't do that, then acknowledge that no such treaty
or convention exists.
No, I will not acknowledge something I do not know the answer too. But
I will acknowledge that DU appears to be vile weapon based on those
reports on the WHO and UN sites. The fact you deny those reports
doesnt make them go away.
Those reports are grossly exaggerated.

Uranium is toxic. That's not in debate.
There is plenty of medical research and case
history here in the US. We know that.

Other things are toxic, too. They aren't banned as being
vile weapons. And that's a problem.

Uranium is being blamed for things in people who,
often, test out at not having elevated levels of
uranium in their blood. And that's a problem.
It's some other agent causing their health effects,
and the anti-DU zealouts sweep those results under
the rug rather than actually work to identify that
other agent and remove it.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
If you *want* to ban the use of DU in warfare, that's fine.
It's logically unreasonable compared to other toxic threats
from warfare, however, the same can be said of proper military
use of marked minefields and those are banned now.
So go for it, though I disagree with you.
I said "I assume" what the original poster meant. He may have meant
whatever treaty that bans minefields. Although, I wasnt aware that
minefields are banned.
I respectfully submit that if you aren't aware of the 1990s
campaign to ban landmines and the subsequent treaties,
you probably aren't educating yourself enough on the larger
questions of the laws and issues of warfare and human rights.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
The mechanism to make such changes in allowed weapons
is that activists get actual nation-states to get together
and write new treaties.
Activists who feel that the use of dialectic is a valid
replacement for the processes of international treatymaking
are deluding themselves. Convince at least one nation that
it's actually something they want to bother trying to ban,
and then convince other nations to go along with it.
That's how it's done.
This I will kick back on. Their are several reports listing many
nations requesting a ban on these weapons that I found before writting
my response. If you have studied this for so long why do you not know
this?
I didn't say it wasn't happening. I said that it was wrong
to try and play a game and pretend that activist legal position
statements would would be what made the change.

One activist saying that it's illegal under existing laws does
not make it so. Nor would many many activists saying so.

Nor, for that matter, would lots of nations doing so.

A lot of nations agreeing to a new, DU weapon banning treaty,
would. And that could happen. Though I don't support it,
because I feel it's anti US politics rather than true
concern to reduce the battlefield toxics problem by
focusing on the worst parts.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
The fact that they offer no significant military advantage
This is not true. They offer three significant military
advantages: One, Uranium self-sharpens during penetration.
Two, Uranium (or, Staballoy, as it's not pure DU used in
penetrators) is moderately denser than the tungsten alloys
used by other nations. Three, the pyrophoric effects are
a major kill mechanism enhancer after penetrations through
armor packages.
Sorry...But you dont generally find these things in human bodies
especailly in civilians to which the US widely uses them.
Could you please restate that claim in a manner that
contains some parseable english? I have no idea whatsoever
what you were trying to say.
Well pardon me for not speaking my second language as well as you.
You still have not restated what you meant.
Please explain it.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
If it were just a cost issue, the US would have abandoned
it decades ago. The raw materials cost for the penetrators
is trivial compared to the sabot, machining, propellant,
and casing costs. Tungsten is more expensive but the
cost difference is down in the noise of total round cost.
We're still using it because it kills tanks more reliably.
Tell that to the parents of stillborn children if you have the guts to
visit them.
A number of ill people examined in southern Iraq by
Medecins Sans Frontieres showed that a large majority
of people who 'seemed' to have DU poisoning had no
noticably elevated blood uranium levels, and though
some people did, they were not significantly less
healthy than average in those regions.
The US has a large medical history database of what
Uranium toxicity does to people; before its hazards
were fully recognized, miners and prospectors and
uranium processing workers often got relatively
high levels of personal contamination.
Unfortunately for those who claim that we've caused
ridiculous numbers of deaths or deformities, the US
Uranium workers got higher levels of contamination in
their bloodstream and showed less effects and of different
types of effect than is claimed by activists.
Oh please dont the use the US said so argument.
This is not the US government.

This is the body of medical literature in the US.

It's been studied to death. The studies are all in
any good University library. Go read some.
Post by SpaceSavant
I'm involved with a
american company who regularly battles dealing with tree huggers,
environmentalists, anticarcos and just plain greedy politicians, we
are involved in everything from Nuclear facilities to medical
equipment. I know EXACTLEY how easy it can be to manipulate such data
and the irrelevance of statements such as yours. And this is not
something I study in my spare time, but get paid significant amounts
of money to be involved in.
This is not a conspiracy theory. There are not little men
in trenchcoats in the corners here.

The health effects studies were done by many independent
researchers. There was no reason for them to hide any
identified health effects. The Government has been open
and accepting of the results. It's well and widely known.

You are suggesting that, despite the fact that Uranium's
health effects were clearly identified and openly and
widely studied, there was some sort of conspiracy to hide
some of those effects so that forty years later we could
use DU weapons and hide the health effects?

Uranium wasn't even in use in penetrators at the time that
the studies were done. There was no military reason to
bother to hide any effects.

Similar studies on animals, and in some cases on uranium
miners and processing workers, have been carried out in
other nations. All of which agree with the US results,
as far as I have been able to tell.
Post by SpaceSavant
Their are multiple reports on the WHO and UN sites listing the effects
which is what made me stop. I now state that you have not even read
the WHO reports in addition to the UN reports. I will place UN and WHO
teams who are experts above that piece of dribble.
Post by George William Herbert
Germany, France, and the UK maintain war stockpiles of DU
penetrator tank ammunition.
Do you know the difference between a stockpile and active use.
They have not banned it. When they ban it, and take it out
of stockpile, you'll have a point.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
When they dispose of those, come back and we'll talk again.
No you appear far to defensive and ignorant for me to respond further.
Take it up with the original poster.
You're defending his statements. And you admit not having
done research beyond some very high level stuff focused on
the activist groups statements which want it banned.

Spend some time reading old medical journal articles on it.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Post by SpaceSavant
You will also note the reports in the UN archives
on the issue which states that only the US continues "to endorse the
use" of these weapons.
It doesn't matter who endorses it. The fact is that far more
nations still use DU penetrators than have abandoned it.
The US does not stand alone as the only DU user, and there is
no sign that Israel, Russia, China, or the others are going
to give up using it, though they aren't making a big deal
about it.
Again you appear ignorant of the submission that Russia has made to
the UN. Another piece of "selective" stuying.
Russia is still using it.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Possibly the people who protest this issue have issues
with the United States and its behaviour, and only
secondarily with Depleted Uranium itself. But that is
only my opinion.
It does seem to be the way of the times. However the UN and the WHO
are organisations you are a individual. And as you stated previously
individuals are " not in a position to be interpreting or
asserting interpretations of humanitarian international law, as they
are not a nation". I see you consider yourself better and much more
than a indivudal.
I am not asserting a change in international law. You, and the
original poster, and the referred to information source, are.

And the UN and WHO don't make international law. They carry it out.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
the US has
increased production. THat and the fact that the effect of them is to
make the area contaminated thereby affecting civilians. In the case of
Iraq, the regions largest water table is centralised around Iraq and
testing has shown it to be increasingly contaminated by these weapons.
Please show us that you have a slight clue about the level
of 'contamination' by working out for us how many tons of
uranium are in the typical first meter of topsoil over a
square kilometer of land in Iraq, due to purely natural
abundance.
UNICEF, Redcross and some UN nuclear agency wwith a really long
acryonym all claimed that, and I only looked for about 30 minutes in
google.
I repeat myself: please show that you have a slight clue.
Look up the crustal abundance. Tell us how many tons of uranium
are in the top meter of soil over a square kilometer.
No I will not pretend to be a chemist or whatever speciality it is. I
will rely on the UN and WHO reports. The reports for Iraq I found
state nothing about crust, only water tables in iraq.
As you are apparently too lazy to educate yourself:
The crustal abundance of Uranium is 2.7 parts per million.

That level is fairly constant (within a factor of roughly two)
across all rock types around the world, though there are Uranium
ore bodies with much higher abundance.

2.7 parts per million means that in a one meter cube of rock,
weighing about three tons, there are about ten grams of Uranium.

In the top ten meters of soil and rock under a house which
is ten by twenty meters, there are about 20 kilograms of uranium.

If you take a 5 kilogram DU penetrator and vaporize it and mix
it with topsoil across a hundred meter square, one meter deep
layer out in a field, the quantity of uranium present in that
soil goes from about 80 kilograms to 85 kilograms.

And DU is *less* radioactive than natural environmental uranium.
Just as chemically toxic, but less radioactive by about a
factor of two.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
This is a simple question. It takes a little research
(hint: one google search with "uranium crustal abundance"
will do it) and a little math.
Not really, I'm far to busy to get in a pissing match with someone
with your attitude. Life is too short. Take it up with the original
poster.
Profound ignorance on your part will not help the world's problems.
I do not pretend to be entirely correct and infallably educated
on all matters that concern me. But in this matter, I have done
my homework, and you have not.

Read some and think critically about what you read.
It's usually time well spent.


-george william herbert
***@retro.com
Chris Manteuffel
2004-02-15 19:25:52 UTC
Permalink
Post by SpaceSavant
I find your interpretation strangely lawyerish. Either way, given the
things I read on the UN site, their is no doubt about its effect. I
stopped reading when I got to 50,000 leukemia babies in Kosovo.
The lies you are spreading are only hurting the health of people in
Kosovo. If you want to help the health of people in Kosovo, please
stop spreading them, and start focusing on the real health problems in
Kosovo.

You claim to have read the WHO and UN documents on Kosovo DU
containmination. How about from:

http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs257/en/ The WHO factsheet
on DU

"A recent United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) report [which I
cite below] giving field measurements taken around selected impact
sites in Kosovo (Federal Republic of Yugoslavia) indicates that
contamination by DU in the environment was localized to a few tens of
metres around impact sites. Contamination by DU dusts of local
vegetation and water supplies was found to be extremely low. Thus, the
probability of significant exposure to local populations was
considered to be very low. "

I repeat: "Thus, the probabilty of significant exposure to local
populations was considered to be very low." In other words, 'very few
people got a lot of DU exposure.'

"Recommendations
*Where justified and possible, clean-up operations in impact zones
should be undertaken if there are substantial numbers of radioactive
projectiles remaining and where qualified experts deem contamination
levels to be unacceptable. If high concentrations of DU dust or metal
fragments are present, then areas may need to be cordoned off until
removal can be accomplished. Such impact sites are likely to contain a
variety of hazardous materials, in particular unexploded ordnance. Due
consideration needs to be given to all hazards, and the potential
hazard from DU kept in perspective."

Please notice that the WHO, the organization you claim makes you
depressed to read about it, says, "the potential hazard from DU [must
be] kept in perspective." In other words, 'it isn't a big deal, and
there are more important health hazards to deal with first'.

Also, the Report of the World Health Organization on Depleted Uranium
in Kosovo (http://www.who.int/ionizing_radiation/pub_meet/en/Report_WHO_depleted_uranium_Eng.pdf)

* There are 84 impact sites in Kosovo. People who were within 100m of
the impact site at the time of the attack likely got a radiation dose
equal to half of the yearly allowable dose for workers exposed to
radiation. "The exposure of civilians to dust and smoke at the time of
attack is less likely." Meaning: people around the immediate impact
area at the time of attack (likely to be soliders) get less radiation
from that then someone working at a reactor can have and still be
safe.

30 US soldiers had depleted uranium slugs remain in their bodies after
friendly fire attacks in the Gulf War (that couldn't be removed by
surgery). They have been studied by the VA, which has found no unusual
health problems as of 2000. If you pick up a chunk of depleted uranium
and hold it *in the same position* for *several weeks* you *might* get
a dose still less then that allowable for workers exposed to
radiation. "The effect of such exposure would be localized and the
delievered dose would not be sufficient to cause any determinisitc
effect." Meaning: fragments of penetrator aren't dangerous.

"The normal amounts of uranium taken up in plants would not be
expected to be dangerous to humans, birds, or other animals." Remember
that there are 1.4 metric tons of natural uranium in every square
kilometer of soil to a depth of 30 cm, and that DU is 60% less
radioactive than natural uranium, so any soil contamination from even
two or three attacks would be very minor. (If you have attacks going
on at the same spot for a decade, that is a different story, but for
one or two attacks it simply isn't going to be noticeable in the
background natrual uranium.)

"Epidemiological studies provide consistent and convinving evidence of
excess lung cancer, but not of leukemia, related to alpha particle
exposure among uranium miners (IARC 1988, NAS 1999). However, this
effect is attributed to be related to exposure to gaseous decay
products (radon). The risk of lung cancer appears to be proportional
to the radiation dose recieved. Indeed, among nuclear workers involved
in uranium processing (whose exposure to alpha particles from uranium
are less than those of miners), no consistent excess of lung cancer
has been found (NCRP 1978; NRC 1988; NIH 1994; Cardis & Richardson
2000; IARC 2001)."

The WHO interviewed health proffessionals working in Albanian parts of
Kosovo: "They observed that a similar number of cases of leukemia have
been referred every year [for the last four years]." They interviewed
doctors working in Serbian parts of Kosovo and they said that cancer
rates varied wildly (4 in 1999, 39 in 2000) except none of them were
leukemia. In other words, whereever you read about 50,000 excess
leukemia babies in Kosovo was a lie according to the WHO. The WHO had
no way to examine birth defects, because there was no systematic
reporting procedure in place.

"Almost all Albanian health personnel interviewed held the view that
reports on the potential risks of depleted uranium were politically
motivated and fuelled by those who were against the NATO intervention.
Ethnic Serbs seemed to be of the opposite opinion."

The NGO Medicines du Monde-Greece held a conference on soldiers who
had been in the Balkans. "At the conference, no substantiated evidence
was reported of any health problem in the Balkans that may be linked
to depleted uranium." So there is no evidence that any KFOR soldiers
deployed to Kosovo were hurt by Uranium.

Read the conclusions of the WHO report on Kosovo, it's on page 28 and
29 of the English .pdf file cited above. I'm not going to copy it here
(as its a full page) but its excellent reading that essentially boils
down to: there are no known health risks from DU in Kosovo.

Also read the UNEP Report on DU in Kosovo:
http://www.usembassy.it/pdf/other/uranium.pdf

Widespread contamination: "Assessment of risk: The corresponding
radiological and chemical risks from all points of view are
insignificant."

Localized contamination: "Assessment of risk: the amount of DU at the
contamination points is too low to cause any radiological or chemical
problems at present or in the future. The corresponding risks are
insignificant. The only risk of any significance related to
contamination points would be from the possibility that someone came
into direct physical contact with the contamination point and thereby
contaminated their hands or directly ingested contaiminated soil.
However, even if gram-quantities of soil are ingested, the resulting
exposure is insignificant with regard to the radiation from ingested
uranium (<10 microSieverts). On the other hand, such exposure might be
significant from the heavy metal toxcitiy point of view, meaning that
the intake of uranium could be higher than health standards."

Even if you were to wear a DU fragment as a necklace for weeks on end,
you wouldn't exceed the radiation-worker safety limit for the
localized area in direct contact with the DU- you would exceed the
civillian limit but not the radiation worker safety level.

Water table contamination: "Nevertheless, the radiation doses will be
very low but the resulting uranium concentration might exceed WHO
health standards for drinking water. However, this very much depends
on local circumstances and the chemical and physical properties of DU,
the soil, and groundwater. There are too many uncertainites to predict
the fate of the penetrators and even more uncertainy in predicting any
possible water contaimination in the future." In other words, if you
make the most dangerous assumptions, you might get unacceptable levels
of contaimination, but not likely. There was no observed groundwater
contamination in Kosovo by the UNEP team.

"There are no risks of any significant increased uptake of DU in
plants at present or in the future... there is no risk of inhalation
of possibly contaminated dust from penetrators."

"No contamination of houses, vehicles, etc. was found."

They sampled milk and other agricultural products and found no
evidence of DU contamination. Read pages 36-40 of the English .pdf
file.

The WHO report said that there are *real* health problems in Kosovo,
that all this worrying over depleted uranium is ignoring: the
population of the town of Mitrovica, for example, has a blood-lead
level "many times" higher then the norm. Kosovo also has high smoking
rates and very high (for Europe) rates of communicable disease. All of
these should be the focus of health professionals in Kosovo, the WHO
believes that people should keep a lookout for DU dangers in the
future, but worry about these other problems now. In other words, the
concern over DU is hurting the health of the Kosovars. Any money spent
on monitoring the DU concerns is money not spent treating real health
problems, in the WHO's opinion; that is why the specifically reject
major monitoring programs, recommending that other health problems be
treated instead.

Please, stop hurting people's health in Kosovo by spreading
unsubstaniated rumors and lies. The focus should be on the real health
problems in Kosovo, not some imaginary bogeyman that real scientists
in the area have been unable to find.

Chris Manteuffel
Jack Hume
2004-02-14 23:45:10 UTC
Permalink
I pity you, reviewing http://www.un.org/

shows that your comments on how treatys work is total bullshit,
shows your comments on what other countries are doing to be outright
lies
shows your comments on the actual substance to be pure fantasy

I bet you did study, sat in a dark room and convinced yourself and
then promised not to review any actual data from the experts in the
field or the people who adminstrate treaties.

Even the data on the State Department site contradicts your
interpretation of treaty obligations.

What a sad man, ponticate about something you know nothing about,
refuse to acknowledge anything which might contradict you and then
attack who questions you.

I note that your company is RETRO, a review of
http://www.dictionary.com/ (yes I know its what of those factual
references you refuse to acknowledge) shows for the word retro,

Retro:
"As is often the case in retro fashion, historical accuracy is
somewhat beside the point"

"Backward"

"Contrary to a usual or natural course or direction"

A very appropriate name for your company it appears.

Jack
Post by George William Herbert
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
Post by Terrell Miller
Post by Paul Rezzo
Perhaps announcing that the US will stop using banned weapons of
destruction
such as...?
here's one. Depleted uranium, banned by UN convention.
Please name the convention.
I happen to, in my limited spare time, study real WMD
issues and international law related to them, war crimes,
and the like, and to the best of my and everyone else who
actually studies the field's knowledge there is no such
ban in existence.
I did a quick check in google and found many references. I think you
need more spare time to study it. Here is a reference that states it
in simplified terms,
http://www.webcom.com/hrin/parker/du2000.html
No.
One: No treaty is specifically listed.
Two: Treaties are not between individuals, they are between nations.
Individuals have no standing to interpret, or reinterpret, or assert
reinterpretations of treaties as international law or convention.
No treaty signatory nation for any law of war treaty, nor for that
matter more generally any nation on the face of the earth, has asserted
any interpretation of any existing treaty which would render in any
way Depleted Uranium's use to be forbidden or illegal.
Three: The logical path asserted for that argument claims
that DU being a toxic substance which will continue to
contaminate the battlefield, it must be illegal, is known
to be logically fallacious. Almost *every* substance used
in warfare is a toxic substance which will contaminate
the battlefield. Bullets are lead, though that is changing.
No one has, however, argued that lead bullets are or might
become illegal under any international treaty. Some nations
are moving to tungsten to save money on cleaning up old rifle
ranges at army bases. That's all. Explosives are generally
toxic. Rocket propellants are toxic. The residue from the
detonation of explosives and firing of rockets often
includes toxic chemicals. Broadening even further,
unexploded ordnance poses even greater health and
safety risks.
The *only* substance which anti-nuclear zealouts have pressed
this claim over is Depleted Uranium, despite the fact that
on a pure mass / toxicity basis it is not the largest
contributor to battlefield toxicity.
If it's applied rationally to all substances, then it is
obviously absurd and will be rejected out of hand by
any nation, who will not unilaterally disarm completely
in order to prevent possible battlefield toxicity
problems in the future.
In expanding the question to all battlefield toxics it
is shown to be a ridiculous claim.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Name the convention, date signed, signatory nations, etc.
and prove me wrong, if you can. As a quick encouragement,
all the relevant treaty documents are in fact on line
on the web, so you can even google for them.
You claim to study it yet be totally oblivious to the ways in which
weapons can be banned. Perhaps less rhetoric and more study is in
order. Did you even try and google it??
Four: Not all wisdom or documents on earth are on the Web.
Five: I have been studying this problem, and the relevant treaties,
for years and years. Googling it yesterday would have contributed
nothing to what I have read over the last several years, including
regular websearches and literature searches.
Post by SpaceSavant
I'm assuming though that this
is what the original poster menat by convention, IE: Human rights and
Humanitarian law.
Six: The original poster is not in a position to be interpreting or
asserting interpretations of humanitarian international law, as they
are not a nation.
Seven: Neither you, nor the original poster, have specified the
particulars of a violation of humanitarian international law
which you believe some nation state might chose to assert if
they wanted to.
The question I asked was very specific: please find the
treaty text which you feel you can make a case that the
use of DU violates, and provide it. Neither you, nor the
original poster, nor the author of the referenced web page
you included, have done so.
The conclusion is reasonably, at this time, that neither you,
nor the original poster, nor the author of the referenced
web page you included know of such a treaty or convention.
I assert that is because it does not exist.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
What you will discover is that you've fallen for anti-nuclear
and anti-US anti-War activist myths and propaganda.
The statement is simply not true.
I believe you have fallen for something. Perhaps look up the words
delusion.
It's very simple. Find the treaty or convention. Post the reference
and appropriate excerpt of the treaty or convention.
This is not rocket science.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
The convention
states, these weapons "are a crime against humanity".
Nice try.
It does appear to be the substance of humanatarian law, does the US
operate under a different set of pinciples than the rest of the world.
Trick quesiton of course since they do.
Nonsequiteur. It's very simple. Find the treaty or convention.
Post the reference and appropriate excerpt of the treaty or
convention.
If you can't do that, then acknowledge that no such treaty
or convention exists.
If you *want* to ban the use of DU in warfare, that's fine.
It's logically unreasonable compared to other toxic threats
from warfare, however, the same can be said of proper military
use of marked minefields and those are banned now.
So go for it, though I disagree with you.
The mechanism to make such changes in allowed weapons
is that activists get actual nation-states to get together
and write new treaties.
Activists who feel that the use of dialectic is a valid
replacement for the processes of international treatymaking
are deluding themselves. Convince at least one nation that
it's actually something they want to bother trying to ban,
and then convince other nations to go along with it.
That's how it's done.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
The fact that they offer no significant military advantage
This is not true. They offer three significant military
advantages: One, Uranium self-sharpens during penetration.
Two, Uranium (or, Staballoy, as it's not pure DU used in
penetrators) is moderately denser than the tungsten alloys
used by other nations. Three, the pyrophoric effects are
a major kill mechanism enhancer after penetrations through
armor packages.
Sorry...But you dont generally find these things in human bodies
especailly in civilians to which the US widely uses them.
Could you please restate that claim in a manner that
contains some parseable english? I have no idea whatsoever
what you were trying to say.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
If it were just a cost issue, the US would have abandoned
it decades ago. The raw materials cost for the penetrators
is trivial compared to the sabot, machining, propellant,
and casing costs. Tungsten is more expensive but the
cost difference is down in the noise of total round cost.
We're still using it because it kills tanks more reliably.
Tell that to the parents of stillborn children if you have the guts to
visit them.
A number of ill people examined in southern Iraq by
Medecins Sans Frontieres showed that a large majority
of people who 'seemed' to have DU poisoning had no
noticably elevated blood uranium levels, and though
some people did, they were not significantly less
healthy than average in those regions.
The US has a large medical history database of what
Uranium toxicity does to people; before its hazards
were fully recognized, miners and prospectors and
uranium processing workers often got relatively
high levels of personal contamination.
Unfortunately for those who claim that we've caused
ridiculous numbers of deaths or deformities, the US
Uranium workers got higher levels of contamination in
their bloodstream and showed less effects and of different
types of effect than is claimed by activists.
The logical conclusion is that something else is causing
those health problems in Iraqi and other peoples.
That is not to say that uranium is good for you.
It's a heavy metal, and toxic, and even DU is
detectably radioactive. Its much more of a chemical
toxicity hazard (roughly 3 times worse biologically
than lead, on a weight basis) than it is a radioactivity
health hazard. But it's much less toxic than Dioxin,
mercury, cadmium, botulism toxin, etc.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
seems to be what gets
people upset,every other country has stopped using them,
This is not true. Europe has largely moved away from them,
in no small part due to having their firing ranges closer
to civilization than in the US or other places around the
world. The Russians, Israelis, Pakistani, Indian, and
Chinese militaries still use DU rounds as well as the US
(not sure about Japan).
You appear quite naive about their policies. A quick search of
Germany, France and the UK statements on the issues, shows you are
totally incorrect.
Germany, France, and the UK maintain war stockpiles of DU
penetrator tank ammunition.
When they dispose of those, come back and we'll talk again.
Post by SpaceSavant
You will also note the reports in the UN archives
on the issue which states that only the US continues "to endorse the
use" of these weapons.
It doesn't matter who endorses it. The fact is that far more
nations still use DU penetrators than have abandoned it.
The US does not stand alone as the only DU user, and there is
no sign that Israel, Russia, China, or the others are going
to give up using it, though they aren't making a big deal
about it.
Possibly the people who protest this issue have issues
with the United States and its behaviour, and only
secondarily with Depleted Uranium itself. But that is
only my opinion.
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
the US has
increased production. THat and the fact that the effect of them is to
make the area contaminated thereby affecting civilians. In the case of
Iraq, the regions largest water table is centralised around Iraq and
testing has shown it to be increasingly contaminated by these weapons.
Please show us that you have a slight clue about the level
of 'contamination' by working out for us how many tons of
uranium are in the typical first meter of topsoil over a
square kilometer of land in Iraq, due to purely natural
abundance.
UNICEF, Redcross and some UN nuclear agency wwith a really long
acryonym all claimed that, and I only looked for about 30 minutes in
google.
I repeat myself: please show that you have a slight clue.
Look up the crustal abundance. Tell us how many tons of uranium
are in the top meter of soil over a square kilometer.
This is a simple question. It takes a little research
(hint: one google search with "uranium crustal abundance"
will do it) and a little math.
The answer will clearly suprise you, based on your statements
here so far. The answer is, however, extremely important.
Uranium is a moderately rare element. But it is not that
uncommon. There is a lot of it out there, statistically
speaking.
-george william herbert
P Woodlock
2004-02-15 07:07:11 UTC
Permalink
Invented gibberish removed.
Post by George William Herbert
Post by SpaceSavant
Sorry...But you dont generally find these things in human bodies
especailly in civilians to which the US widely uses them.
Could you please restate that claim in a manner that
contains some parseable english? I have no idea whatsoever
what you were trying to say.
Seems straight forward to me. Humans are not made of tungsten.
Churches, apartments and crowds of people are not made of tungsten yet
warrant the use of DU ammunition by the US.

Please give a reference to any armour operation that would warrant DU
ammunition.

Botton line, just because you invent a interpretation of how treaties
work doesnt mean that the world will suddenly stop the currently
accepted norms. Just because you ignore the information provided to
you doesnt make it go away. The least you could do is at least put
some factual information in your rant.

People can see for themselves following the previously posted links
that you are in dire need of medication. Just about every aspect of
you ravings are disproven given even basic research.
Andrew Gray
2004-02-15 13:59:16 UTC
Permalink
Post by P Woodlock
Botton line, just because you invent a interpretation of how treaties
work doesnt mean that the world will suddenly stop the currently
accepted norms. Just because you ignore the information provided to
you doesnt make it go away. The least you could do is at least put
some factual information in your rant.
People can see for themselves following the previously posted links
that you are in dire need of medication. Just about every aspect of
you ravings are disproven given even basic research.
Can you keep this up? It's enlivening a dull weekend... I haven't seen
an attempt so misinformed *and* futile for weeks... :-)

(it's always nice to see "factual" being subjective, too...)
--
-Andrew Gray
***@bigfoot.com
George William Herbert
2004-02-15 20:26:21 UTC
Permalink
Side note for other s.s.policy readers: "P Woodlock", "SpaceSavant",
"Jack Hume", and "Paul Rezzo" are the same account at asiaonline.net
in Australia. Header analysis starts about halfway down through this
posting. Keep this in mind if you see further trolls from the netblock
210.215.230
Post by P Woodlock
Post by George William Herbert
Post by SpaceSavant
Sorry...But you dont generally find these things in human bodies
especailly in civilians to which the US widely uses them.
Could you please restate that claim in a manner that
contains some parseable english? I have no idea whatsoever
what you were trying to say.
Seems straight forward to me. Humans are not made of tungsten.
Churches, apartments and crowds of people are not made of tungsten yet
warrant the use of DU ammunition by the US.
I was about to say "You couldn't possibly be that ignorant..."
but on reflection, I guess you are.

Modern (post-WW2) kinetic penetrating ammunition is made of two substances
(in various alloys, but two basic elements used): either Tungsten,
or Depleted Uranium. This is true for Tank guns, lighter ground
cannons, aircraft cannons, even to some extent small arms like
machineguns or rifles, though machinegun/rifle armor piercing ammo
has either used tungsten or just steel and not used DU.

So the alternative to using Uranium is to use Tungsten.

Things that are targets are either going to get hit by a lot
of DU or a lot of Tungsten. Tungsten is less toxic, but not
perfectly safe. Tungsten is what's used by the European
countries that are moving away from DU penetrators, etc.
Post by P Woodlock
Please give a reference to any armour operation that would warrant DU
ammunition.
Anything that requires or possibly requires any ability to penetrate
armor, such as shooting at tanks or other armored vehicles, or bunkers
or other fortifications.
Post by P Woodlock
Botton line, just because you invent a interpretation of how treaties
work doesnt mean that the world will suddenly stop the currently
accepted norms. Just because you ignore the information provided to
you doesnt make it go away. The least you could do is at least put
some factual information in your rant.
People can see for themselves following the previously posted links
that you are in dire need of medication. Just about every aspect of
you ravings are disproven given even basic research.
Please read Chris Manteuffel's post. I was too busy over the last
few days to pull together that level of annotated and referenced
summary report. He apparently wasn't, and for that I thank him.

Though I was too busy over the last few days to do that,
I have been studying the situation for years, and what I was
summarizing earlier accurately represents what various organizations
including the WHO actually say, as Chris' posting documented and
provided references for.

Unfortunately, it is the anti-DU zealouts who are not following
links, doing their homework, and doing even basic research.
The WHO's position is *not* that DU is a major health hazard.
They have gone out into Kosovo and Iraq and done the studies
on the ground, and their conclusion is that it's a very limited
and relatively minor hazard. There are hazards to a few people
right near impact sites, but as even they point out there are
often equally large or larger unexploded ordnance and explosives
toxicity risks at those same sites.

In continuing to parrot the unscientific anti-DU zealout party
line you are actively doing harm to the serious efforts to
improve the health of people in Kosovo and Iraq. You are
exploiting their suffering for political purposes.
That is either ignorant or actively evil. If you are
merely ignorant it is your DUTY to do enough research
to stop spreading lies now that we've pointed it out.
If you do not, then you cross the line into actively evil.

And as an aside, you're not hiding your identity
shifts very well. Google's header information provides
enough to verify that we are, in fact, arguing with one
single person not several accounts. You're dialing in
to the same dialup pool at asiaonline.net in Australia
over and over again. You *are* the original poster who
started the DU is against God thread, despite your repeated
protestations in the last two identities that you aren't
the original poster.

NNTP-Posting-Host: 210.215.230.236
NNTP-Posting-Host: 210.215.230.239
NNTP-Posting-Host: 210.215.230.149
NNTP-Posting-Host: 210.215.230.100
NNTP-Posting-Host: 210.215.230.229

Full headers follow.

In all the time you wasted trying to fake several
accounts you could easily have researched this problem
as we pointed out and now not be shown to be a lying
trolling fool.

You might as well go get another ISP. Nobody's going to
take anything posted to this group from that region of
asiaonline.net seriously anymore unless you give up trying
to hide your identity and fess up.

From: ***@hotmail.com (Paul Rezzo)
Newsgroups: sci.space.policy
Subject: Re: High-flight rate Medium vs. New Heavy lift launchers
Date: 11 Feb 2004 12:10:24 -0800
Organization: http://groups.google.com
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From: ***@hotmail.com (Paul Rezzo)
Newsgroups: sci.space.policy
Subject: Re: High-flight rate Medium vs. New Heavy lift launchers
Date: 12 Feb 2004 13:39:12 -0800
Organization: http://groups.google.com
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From: ***@netscape.net (SpaceSavant)
Newsgroups: sci.space.policy
Subject: Re: High-flight rate Medium vs. New Heavy lift launchers
Date: 13 Feb 2004 17:05:27 -0800
Organization: http://groups.google.com
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From: ***@mail.com (Jack Hume)
Newsgroups: sci.space.policy
Subject: Re: High-flight rate Medium vs. New Heavy lift launchers
Date: 14 Feb 2004 15:45:10 -0800
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From: ***@yahoo.com (P Woodlock)
Newsgroups: sci.space.policy
Subject: Re: High-flight rate Medium vs. New Heavy lift launchers
Date: 14 Feb 2004 23:07:11 -0800
Organization: http://groups.google.com
Lines: 29
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-george william herbert
***@retro.com
Andrew Gray
2004-02-15 22:20:24 UTC
Permalink
Post by George William Herbert
Modern (post-WW2) kinetic penetrating ammunition is made of two substances
(in various alloys, but two basic elements used): either Tungsten,
or Depleted Uranium. This is true for Tank guns, lighter ground
cannons, aircraft cannons, even to some extent small arms like
machineguns or rifles, though machinegun/rifle armor piercing ammo
has either used tungsten or just steel and not used DU.
So the alternative to using Uranium is to use Tungsten.
And, indeed, vice-versa - the alternative to tungsten is uranium. The
factor that finally hammered the nail in the already well-closed coffin
of any possible WWII German atomic bomb project was the release (on,
IIRC, Speer's orders) of the national uranium stocks - for the
production of penetrating ammunition.

[On a historical note - they had a large pre-war stockpile which was
intended for machine tools, and a small level of imports from
Spain/Portugal. When it became important to produce tungsten-cored
penetrators, the stockpile depleted fast, and the imports were nowhere
near sufficient. W got priority for machine tools, as it couldn't be
easily substituted, and in ~43 they began to use U in penetrators
instead, to eke out the W supply.]
--
-Andrew Gray
***@bigfoot.com
SpaceSavant
2004-02-16 04:09:35 UTC
Permalink
Post by George William Herbert
Side note for other s.s.policy readers: "P Woodlock", "SpaceSavant",
"Jack Hume", and "Paul Rezzo" are the same account at asiaonline.net
in Australia. Header analysis starts about halfway down through this
posting. Keep this in mind if you see further trolls from the netblock
210.215.230
Actually, no I'm only one person. And my emails are written from the
conference hotel so again unless this hotel masquerades unders the
name asiaonline.net which it doesnt, your wrong their too.

How sad you have to invent diversions to cover your own inadequacies.
Paul Blay
2004-02-16 10:03:47 UTC
Permalink
"SpaceSavant" wrote ...
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Side note for other s.s.policy readers: "P Woodlock", "SpaceSavant",
"Jack Hume", and "Paul Rezzo" are the same account at asiaonline.net
in Australia. Header analysis starts about halfway down through this
posting. Keep this in mind if you see further trolls from the netblock
210.215.230
Actually, no I'm only one person.
Nobody doubted that.

How many people you are pretending to be online was the question.
SpaceSavant
2004-02-16 23:37:20 UTC
Permalink
Post by Paul Blay
"SpaceSavant" wrote ...
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Side note for other s.s.policy readers: "P Woodlock", "SpaceSavant",
"Jack Hume", and "Paul Rezzo" are the same account at asiaonline.net
in Australia. Header analysis starts about halfway down through this
posting. Keep this in mind if you see further trolls from the netblock
210.215.230
Actually, no I'm only one person.
Nobody doubted that.
How many people you are pretending to be online was the question.
Only 1 actually, me.

Your attempts to indicate otherwise dont detract from George's
mentally challenged behaviour. I think his comments speak for
themselves and his mental state.

Their certainly generating some humour around here. Given the topic
and the opening statements from the US delegation about how informed
the population is in general, his emails in particular have frequently
generated grimaces from them.

Michael Walsh
2004-02-16 00:44:53 UTC
Permalink
Post by P Woodlock
Invented gibberish removed.
Post by George William Herbert
Post by SpaceSavant
Sorry...But you dont generally find these things in human bodies
especailly in civilians to which the US widely uses them.
Could you please restate that claim in a manner that
contains some parseable english? I have no idea whatsoever
what you were trying to say.
Seems straight forward to me. Humans are not made of tungsten.
Churches, apartments and crowds of people are not made of tungsten yet
warrant the use of DU ammunition by the US.
Please give a reference to any armour operation that would warrant DU
ammunition.
Botton line, just because you invent a interpretation of how treaties
work doesnt mean that the world will suddenly stop the currently
accepted norms. Just because you ignore the information provided to
you doesnt make it go away. The least you could do is at least put
some factual information in your rant.
People can see for themselves following the previously posted links
that you are in dire need of medication. Just about every aspect of
you ravings are disproven given even basic research.
Actually the reverse seems to be true of your claims that are
completely unsubstaniated by an online search.

George Herbert has proven his credibility over a long period of
years in these newsgroups.

Mike Walsh
Alex Terrell
2004-02-14 21:38:39 UTC
Permalink
Post by SpaceSavant
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
Post by Terrell Miller
Post by Paul Rezzo
Perhaps announcing that the US will stop using banned weapons of
destruction
such as...?
here's one. Depleted uranium, banned by UN convention.
Please name the convention.
I happen to, in my limited spare time, study real WMD
issues and international law related to them, war crimes,
and the like, and to the best of my and everyone else who
actually studies the field's knowledge there is no such
ban in existence.
I did a quick check in google and found many references. I think you
need more spare time to study it. Here is a reference that states it
in simplified terms,
http://www.webcom.com/hrin/parker/du2000.html
The four points are the authors opinion. Following through:

(1) Weapons may only be used in the legal field of battle, defined as
legal military targets of the enemy in the war. Weapons may not have
an adverse effect off the legal field of battle. (The "territorial"
test).

Therefore, propoganda is an illegal weapon.

(2) Weapons can only be used for the duration of an armed conflict. A
weapon that is used or continues to act after the war is over violates
this criterion. (The "temporal" test).

That means land mines are "naturally" illegal, and not because they're
banned by some conventions. That means any armanents are illegal,
because they effect the environment.

(3) Weapons may not be unduly inhumane. (The "humaneness" test).

Guns are therefore illegal in war. Bows and Arrows are even more
illegal, as they don't normally kill instantly.

(4) Weapons may not have an unduly negative effect on the natural
environment. (The "environmental" test).

I have trouble in thiking of weapons which don't have an undue effect
on the environment.
Reginald Corey
2004-02-14 01:27:37 UTC
Permalink
Post by George William Herbert
Post by Paul Rezzo
Post by Terrell Miller
Post by Paul Rezzo
Perhaps announcing that the US will stop using banned weapons of
destruction
such as...?
here's one. Depleted uranium, banned by UN convention.
Please name the convention.
I happen to, in my limited spare time, study real WMD
issues and international law related to them, war crimes,
and the like, and to the best of my and everyone else who
actually studies the field's knowledge there is no such
ban in existence.
Name the convention, date signed, signatory nations, etc.
and prove me wrong, if you can. As a quick encouragement,
all the relevant treaty documents are in fact on line
on the web, so you can even google for them.
What you will discover is that you've fallen for anti-nuclear
and anti-US anti-War activist myths and propaganda.
The statement is simply not true.
Post by Paul Rezzo
The convention
states, these weapons "are a crime against humanity".
Nice try.
Post by Paul Rezzo
The fact that they offer no significant military advantage
This is not true. They offer three significant military
advantages: One, Uranium self-sharpens during penetration.
Two, Uranium (or, Staballoy, as it's not pure DU used in
penetrators) is moderately denser than the tungsten alloys
used by other nations. Three, the pyrophoric effects are
a major kill mechanism enhancer after penetrations through
armor packages.
If it were just a cost issue, the US would have abandoned
it decades ago. The raw materials cost for the penetrators
is trivial compared to the sabot, machining, propellant,
and casing costs. Tungsten is more expensive but the
cost difference is down in the noise of total round cost.
We're still using it because it kills tanks more reliably.
Post by Paul Rezzo
seems to be what gets
people upset,every other country has stopped using them,
This is not true. Europe has largely moved away from them,
in no small part due to having their firing ranges closer
to civilization than in the US or other places around the
world. The Russians, Israelis, Pakistani, Indian, and
Chinese militaries still use DU rounds as well as the US
(not sure about Japan).
Post by Paul Rezzo
the US has
increased production. THat and the fact that the effect of them is to
make the area contaminated thereby affecting civilians. In the case of
Iraq, the regions largest water table is centralised around Iraq and
testing has shown it to be increasingly contaminated by these weapons.
Please show us that you have a slight clue about the level
of 'contamination' by working out for us how many tons of
uranium are in the typical first meter of topsoil over a
square kilometer of land in Iraq, due to purely natural
abundance.
Facts are often a painful thing to encounter, but knowing
them and realizing that you've been lied to by dialectic
hugging zealouts is an important first step to recovery.
-george william herbert
That's it, all you've got to comment on!!!

From that list you choose only one and take a cowards approach by
arguing letter of the law over spirit.

What about the other charges.

What a pitifil and sick race you represent.

Me I'll never forget the images on TV of the children after the US
stopped the insulin supply in Iraq, and the hottific deaths they
suffered and you revel in it.

The press is right. Your country sir is a sub-human and degenerate
race.
Greg D. Moore (Strider)
2004-02-14 02:20:11 UTC
Permalink
Post by Reginald Corey
That's it, all you've got to comment on!!!
From that list you choose only one and take a cowards approach by
arguing letter of the law over spirit.
What about the other charges.
What a pitifil and sick race you represent.
Sucks to be part of the human race I guess.
Post by Reginald Corey
Me I'll never forget the images on TV of the children after the US
stopped the insulin supply in Iraq, and the hottific deaths they
suffered and you revel in it.
I doubt George revelled in it any more than I did.
Post by Reginald Corey
The press is right. Your country sir is a sub-human and degenerate
race.
Sub-human and degenerate race, my, what a way with language you have.

BTW, isn't your country still standing firm on having joined the US in
actions in Iraq. If we're really so sub-human (and apparently a different
race) then tell me why your Prime Ministers have twice now joined us in
actions in Iraq?
Alex Terrell
2004-02-12 21:24:45 UTC
Permalink
Post by Paul Rezzo
Post by Rand Simberg
On Sat, 07 Feb 2004 06:28:15 GMT, in a place far, far away, "Kim
Just assuming for the sake of argument that you're right (though
there's little reason to think so), just what should he have done
instead?
As a suggestion how about,
snip hysterical propoganda
Post by Paul Rezzo
How's that for a start.
Wow, I'm happy to criticise America, but you sure have been brain
washed. There's a grain of truth half your statements, but you
obviously made up your mind a long time ago.

Personally, I like Churchill's (?) summary: You can normally rely on
America to do the right thing.....

.... after it's explored all the other options.

I guess Bush can't do much about US cuisine?
Kim Keller
2004-02-11 12:25:24 UTC
Permalink
Post by Rand Simberg
Just assuming for the sake of argument that you're right (though
there's little reason to think so), just what should he have done
instead?
I don't know. I just personally feel that his plan is nothing more than a
bit of eyewash to help his re-electibility.

-Kim-
Rand Simberg
2004-02-12 03:53:36 UTC
Permalink
On Wed, 11 Feb 2004 12:25:24 GMT, in a place far, far away, "Kim
Post by Kim Keller
Post by Rand Simberg
Just assuming for the sake of argument that you're right (though
there's little reason to think so), just what should he have done
instead?
I don't know. I just personally feel that his plan is nothing more than a
bit of eyewash to help his re-electibility.
Then we'll give your criticism, and "feelings" all the respect they're
due.
Rand Simberg
2004-02-12 06:35:44 UTC
Permalink
On Thu, 12 Feb 2004 03:53:36 GMT, in a place far, far away,
Post by Rand Simberg
On Wed, 11 Feb 2004 12:25:24 GMT, in a place far, far away, "Kim
Post by Kim Keller
Post by Rand Simberg
Just assuming for the sake of argument that you're right (though
there's little reason to think so), just what should he have done
instead?
I don't know. I just personally feel that his plan is nothing more than a
bit of eyewash to help his re-electibility.
Then we'll give your criticism, and "feelings" all the respect they're
due.
Just as a follow-up, here's a pertinent Fox News column I just
published:

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,111160,00.html
Kim Keller
2004-02-12 12:16:56 UTC
Permalink
Post by Rand Simberg
Just as a follow-up, here's a pertinent Fox News column I just
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,111160,00.html
I'm sure we'll give your opinions, criticism, and feelings all the respect
they're due.

The simple fact that you've established a public pulpit for your opinions
does nothing to make them any more relevant, or even fact-based, than anyone
else's opinions, so please shelve your feelings of intellectual superiority.
Particularly since you chose to align yourself with Fox.

-Kim-
Paul Blay
2004-02-12 12:34:18 UTC
Permalink
*waving goodbye to .moderated*
Post by Kim Keller
Post by Rand Simberg
Just as a follow-up, here's a pertinent Fox News column I just
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,111160,00.html
I'm sure we'll give your opinions, criticism, and feelings all the respect
they're due.
The simple fact that you've established a public pulpit for your opinions
does nothing to make them any more relevant, or even fact-based, than anyone
else's opinions, so please shelve your feelings of intellectual superiority.
Particularly since you chose to align yourself with Fox.
Hey! (Some) Fox columnists have principles too.

http://www.cjonline.com/stories/021204/pag_oreilly.shtml
Rand Simberg
2004-02-12 14:19:07 UTC
Permalink
On Thu, 12 Feb 2004 04:16:56 -0800 (PST), in a place far, far away,
Post by Kim Keller
I'm sure we'll give your opinions, criticism, and feelings all the respect
they're due.
I expect no more, or less.
Post by Kim Keller
The simple fact that you've established a public pulpit for your opinions
does nothing to make them any more relevant, or even fact-based, than anyone
else's opinions, so please shelve your feelings of intellectual superiority.
It has nothing to do with intellect.
Post by Kim Keller
Particularly since you chose to align yourself with Fox.
Pointless and baseless ad hominem noted.
George William Herbert
2004-02-13 09:18:58 UTC
Permalink
Post by Rand Simberg
Post by Kim Keller
I'm sure we'll give your opinions, criticism, and feelings all the respect
they're due.
I expect no more, or less.
Post by Kim Keller
The simple fact that you've established a public pulpit for your opinions
does nothing to make them any more relevant, or even fact-based, than anyone
else's opinions, so please shelve your feelings of intellectual superiority.
It has nothing to do with intellect.
Post by Kim Keller
Particularly since you chose to align yourself with Fox.
Pointless and baseless ad hominem noted.
Now, children.


-george william herbert
***@retro.com
The Ruzicka Family
2004-02-12 14:38:28 UTC
Permalink
Post by Kim Keller
The simple fact that you've established a public pulpit for your opinions
does nothing to make them any more relevant, or even fact-based, than anyone
else's opinions, so please shelve your feelings of intellectual superiority.
Particularly since you chose to align yourself with Fox.
-Kim-
LOL The "fair and balanced" news! Aligning oneself with Fox already
portrays a right-wing slant.
Gregg Germain
2004-02-12 15:12:34 UTC
Permalink
The Ruzicka Family <***@pcisys.net> wrote:
:> The simple fact that you've established a public pulpit for your opinions
:> does nothing to make them any more relevant, or even fact-based, than
: anyone
:> else's opinions, so please shelve your feelings of intellectual
: superiority.
:> Particularly since you chose to align yourself with Fox.
:>
:> -Kim-
:>
: LOL The "fair and balanced" news! Aligning oneself with Fox already
: portrays a right-wing slant.


Are you implying that a right wing slant is bad?

Do you imagine that all who contribute to Fox News carry a right
wing slant? Would this be true of Mara Liasson and Susan Estridge,
for example?




--- Gregg
"Improvise, adapt, overcome."
***@head-cfa.harvard.edu
Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics
Phone: (617) 496-1558
Thomas Lee Elifritz
2004-02-12 15:38:43 UTC
Permalink
February 12, 2004
Post by Gregg Germain
: LOL The "fair and balanced" news! Aligning oneself with Fox already
: portrays a right-wing slant.
Are you implying that a right wing slant is bad?
Yes
Post by Gregg Germain
Do you imagine that all who contribute to Fox News carry a right
wing slant?
No, it's real, easily detectable. The others are deep cover operatives.
Post by Gregg Germain
Would this be true of Mara Liasson and Susan Estridge,
It's definitely true for Rand SimBorg, rabid reactionary crackpot.

Thomas Lee Elifritz
http://elifritz.members.atlantic.net
Tom Merkle
2004-02-12 23:21:52 UTC
Permalink
Post by Cris Fitch
Post by Kim Keller
The simple fact that you've established a public pulpit for your opinions
does nothing to make them any more relevant, or even fact-based, than
anyone
Post by Kim Keller
else's opinions, so please shelve your feelings of intellectual
superiority.
Post by Kim Keller
Particularly since you chose to align yourself with Fox.
-Kim-
LOL The "fair and balanced" news! Aligning oneself with Fox already
portrays a right-wing slant.
Fox can't help it that liberals see any middle position as
'conservative,' which I suppose it is compared to the left wing slant
that CNN, ABC, NBC, CBS, and MSNBC have been spewing for years. Many
studies have documented this bias on political coverage, especially
with regard to word choice and segment selection. Did you know that
CNN, ABC, and Newsweek ALL had the exact same information for TWO
WEEKS prior to the story Drudge 'broke' on Monica Lewinski? I
certainly didn't see a delay in Bob Packwood, Anita Hill coverage or
this trumped up Bush Nat'l Guard issue.

Tom Merkle
LooseChanj
2004-02-13 02:14:52 UTC
Permalink
Post by Tom Merkle
Fox can't help it that liberals see any middle position as
'conservative,' which I suppose it is compared to the left wing slant
that CNN, ABC, NBC, CBS, and MSNBC have been spewing for years.
And most conservatives see that middle position as 'liberal'. If one
considers oneself liberal, and someone says something one doesn't agree with,
why must one immediately[1] label that person "conservative"? I, for one, am
tired of getting blasted as either because my opinions are not so monolithic
as most people.
Post by Tom Merkle
Many
studies have documented this bias on political coverage, especially
with regard to word choice and segment selection.
Real actual studies on a subjective topic? Can you please cite at least one,
I'd love to see such a beast.

[1] I just learned to spell that word today. F**king *FINALLY*.
--
This is a siggy | To E-mail, do note | Just because something
It's properly formatted | who you mean to reply-to | is possible, doesn't
No person, none, care | and it will reach me | mean it can happen
Josh Gigantino
2004-02-13 03:39:53 UTC
Permalink
Post by Cris Fitch
Post by The Ruzicka Family
Post by Kim Keller
The simple fact that you've established a public pulpit for your opinions
does nothing to make them any more relevant, or even fact-based, than
anyone
Post by The Ruzicka Family
Post by Kim Keller
else's opinions, so please shelve your feelings of intellectual
superiority.
Post by The Ruzicka Family
Post by Kim Keller
Particularly since you chose to align yourself with Fox.
-Kim-
LOL The "fair and balanced" news! Aligning oneself with Fox already
portrays a right-wing slant.
Fox can't help it that liberals see any middle position as
'conservative,' which I suppose it is compared to the left wing slant
that CNN, ABC, NBC, CBS, and MSNBC have been spewing for years. Many
studies have documented this bias on political coverage, especially
with regard to word choice and segment selection. Did you know that
CNN, ABC, and Newsweek ALL had the exact same information for TWO
WEEKS prior to the story Drudge 'broke' on Monica Lewinski? I
certainly didn't see a delay in Bob Packwood, Anita Hill coverage or
this trumped up Bush Nat'l Guard issue.
it seems to be part of the general divisiveness in the nation these
days. Take my grandfather, for instance. He thinks that anything that
isn't Fox News is "liberal" - and refuses to recognize that all the
major news outlets get stories and info from each other. If confronted
with something truly left wing, like say commondreams.org or Pacifica
radio, he starts spouting anti-Communist rhetoric. All major media are
both biased and delibrately manipulative - just like the politicians
and business interests they serve. Television especially makes the
divides beween people wider, it is structurally hard to show more than
2 sides to a topic on TV.

Tom, I asked a couple days ago in another thread - why do you think
that Meridiani has life waiting right under Opportunity's nose?

josh
Post by Cris Fitch
Tom Merkle
Pat Flannery
2004-02-13 05:34:09 UTC
Permalink
Post by Tom Merkle
Did you know that
CNN, ABC, and Newsweek ALL had the exact same information for TWO
WEEKS prior to the story Drudge 'broke' on Monica Lewinski?
Boy, I remember how well that whole thing went for the Republicans; not
only did the impeachment proceedings make them look like a bunch of
completely clueless jerks, but Clinton stiffed them when they wanted him
to resign, and they ended up with both Henry Hyde and Robert Livingstone
in deep doo-doo in the wildly entertaining "infidelity of the week"
scandals.
And now there is a rumor about Kerry and an intern; I wonder how _this_
will all play out?
With their "friends" being the human equivalent of sharks in a feeding
frenzy, they never need to worry about the Democrats being the the
primary threat to their success. That threat shall always be residing in
their own right wing.

Pat
Rand Simberg
2004-02-13 05:37:08 UTC
Permalink
On Thu, 12 Feb 2004 21:34:09 -0800 (PST), in a place far, far away,
Post by Pat Flannery
And now there is a rumor about Kerry and an intern; I wonder how _this_
will all play out?
That's more likely coming from a Democrat camp. If it were
Republicans, they'd have waited until October, not now, when the
primary's still at least theoretically in play.

If I had to put money on it, I'd say this has Lehane's fingerprints on
it.
Pat Flannery
2004-02-13 06:17:26 UTC
Permalink
Post by Rand Simberg
Post by Pat Flannery
And now there is a rumor about Kerry and an intern; I wonder how _this_
will all play out?
That's more likely coming from a Democrat camp. If it were
Republicans, they'd have waited until October, not now, when the
primary's still at least theoretically in play.
If I had to put money on it, I'd say this has Lehane's fingerprints on
it.
That's what Rush thinks; but I'd put my money of Matt Drudge being
unable to keep his mouth shut for more than one minute after hearing a
rumor. If Lehane's involved in this, it's very puzzling- as he was
Clark's press secretary, and Clark is expected to endorse Kerry later today.

Pat
Rand Simberg
2004-02-13 06:28:05 UTC
Permalink
On Thu, 12 Feb 2004 22:17:26 -0800 (PST), in a place far, far away,
Post by Pat Flannery
Post by Rand Simberg
That's more likely coming from a Democrat camp. If it were
Republicans, they'd have waited until October, not now, when the
primary's still at least theoretically in play.
If I had to put money on it, I'd say this has Lehane's fingerprints on
it.
That's what Rush thinks
I wouldn't know...
Post by Pat Flannery
but I'd put my money of Matt Drudge being
unable to keep his mouth shut for more than one minute after hearing a
rumor. If Lehane's involved in this, it's very puzzling- as he was
Clark's press secretary, and Clark is expected to endorse Kerry later today.
Clark was the one who said that Kerry might have an intern problem a
few days ago.

Here's something interesting. It was scooped by a blogger a few days
ago.

http://www.watchblog.com/thirdparty/archives/000780.html

It turns out that this isn't just any blogger. It was on a blog run
by this guy:

http://www.camworld.com/about/

Who works for this guy:

http://www.usatoday.com/tech/webguide/internetlife/2003-12-09-clarkblog_x.htm

Mysteriouser and mysteriouser, eh?
Scott Lowther
2004-02-13 15:43:43 UTC
Permalink
Post by Rand Simberg
Post by Pat Flannery
but I'd put my money of Matt Drudge being
unable to keep his mouth shut for more than one minute after hearing a
rumor. If Lehane's involved in this, it's very puzzling- as he was
Clark's press secretary, and Clark is expected to endorse Kerry later today.
Clark was the one who said that Kerry might have an intern problem a
few days ago.
And Clark is Clinton's boy.

Well, let's see.... who benefits if Kerry implodes in October? That
would be Bush. Who benefits if Kerry implodes now? Hmmm.... can you
say... "Hillary?"

Clark both endorsing and back-stabbing Kerry has all the hallmarks of a
Clinton candidacy. The LAST think Hillary wants is a successful Democrat
in '04...
--
Scott Lowther, Engineer
Remove the obvious (capitalized) anti-spam
gibberish from the reply-to e-mail address
Pat Flannery
2004-02-13 22:23:28 UTC
Permalink
Post by Rand Simberg
Clark was the one who said that Kerry might have an intern problem a
few days ago.
Here's something interesting. It was scooped by a blogger a few days
ago.
http://www.watchblog.com/thirdparty/archives/000780.html
It turns out that this isn't just any blogger. It was on a blog run
http://www.camworld.com/about/
http://www.usatoday.com/tech/webguide/internetlife/2003-12-09-clarkblog_x.htm
Mysteriouser and mysteriouser, eh?
Okay...two questions:
1.) How exactly is Rupert Murdoch involved?
2.) How exactly are the Bene Gesserit Sisterhood involved?

Pat
Andrew Gray
2004-02-14 00:46:30 UTC
Permalink
Post by Pat Flannery
1.) How exactly is Rupert Murdoch involved?
The article about it on the front page of the Times was calm, rational,
dismissive, well-written, and didn't attempt to make a bad joke. In
this, it's possibly a first for the Murdoch stable here of recent years,
so he must be caught up in it somewhere... ;-)
--
-Andrew Gray
***@bigfoot.com
Rand Simberg
2004-02-14 03:28:56 UTC
Permalink
On Fri, 13 Feb 2004 14:23:28 -0800 (PST), in a place far, far away,
Post by Pat Flannery
Post by Rand Simberg
http://www.watchblog.com/thirdparty/archives/000780.html
It turns out that this isn't just any blogger. It was on a blog run
http://www.camworld.com/about/
http://www.usatoday.com/tech/webguide/internetlife/2003-12-09-clarkblog_x.htm
Mysteriouser and mysteriouser, eh?
1.) How exactly is Rupert Murdoch involved?
I don't know, I haven't gotten my daily fax of Fox talking points yet,
for all of us mind-numbed Rupert minions.

But it turns out that the blog that spilled it wasn't run by the Clark
guy--he was just the owner of the server.
Jim Kingdon
2004-02-12 18:54:17 UTC
Permalink
Post by Rand Simberg
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,111160,00.html
Wow. Lots of stuff here. I'lll start with the link to
http://www.space-access.org/updates/sau102.html - as usual, anything
put out by the Space Access Society is worth reading.

What I've found interesting about the reaction to the Bush space
policy is mainly that people actually have noticed. I don't remember
as much public discussion of SEI in the 80's (although of course this
could be selective memory).

You're right that a lot of the reaction has been knee-jerk anti-Bush.
This morning on the radio there was a whole thing about how it must
have to do with the militarization of space. Well, I'm sure the
commentator disagrees with the administration about the militarization
of space, but I don't see the connection to NASA or to the exploration
program. What hasn't been based on random observations about the Bush
administration has often been based on random observations about NASA
and/or space, again divorced from what is actually being proposed.
Kathy Rages
2004-02-13 00:28:50 UTC
Permalink
Post by Rand Simberg
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,111160,00.html
Nitpick: Dwayne Day was on the Columbia AIB, not Challenger.
--
Kathy Rages
Rand Simberg
2004-02-13 03:24:23 UTC
Permalink
On Thu, 12 Feb 2004 16:28:50 -0800 (PST), in a place far, far away,
Post by Kathy Rages
Post by Rand Simberg
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,111160,00.html
Nitpick: Dwayne Day was on the Columbia AIB, not Challenger.
Gaaahhhh!

Thanks. I'll see if I can get it fixed.
McLean1382
2004-02-13 03:56:28 UTC
Permalink
Post by Kim Keller
Post by ed kyle
The most efficient
way to salvo launch is to assemble vehicles (ideally with
payloads) off-pad in an assembly building, then scoot 'em and
shoot 'em off of one or two pads. An extra one or two VIF
bays could turn SLC 41 into a salvo launcher.
We priced that option this past summer. Even that ain't cheap.
Can you tell us approximately how much?

Will McLean
Kim Keller
2004-02-13 05:02:25 UTC
Permalink
Post by McLean1382
Can you tell us approximately how much?
Alas, no. But there were a significant amount of zeros...

-Kim-
Tom Abbott
2004-02-08 01:18:22 UTC
Permalink
Post by ed kyle
Post by Kim Keller
Post by ed kyle
Interesting. Note that a fully fueled Delta IV 5-meter
diameter second stage weighs nearly 31 metric tons (less
than 4 tons empty), several tons in excess of what
Delta IV-Heavy is reported to be capable of boosting to
low earth orbit. The logical approach would be to upgrade
Delta IV-Heavy enough to be able to put 31 tons into LEO
so that these stages could be orbited fully fueled. This
two-stage plus CEV stack, which appears capable of
translunar insertion, would then require three Delta IV-
Heavy launches.
Trouble is, Delta IV isn't exactly suited to salvo launch operations. For
that matter, neither is Atlas V. Both would require additional facilities to
make such a mission achievable. From the look of budget numbers, there won't
be enough money to take that approach.
If the money isn't there, then the U.S. is not going to the
Moon. Any lunar mission is going to require new launch
facilities, whether it be via EELV or not.
I have to disagree with you here. NASA will not need new
launch facilities if it uses the Shuttle-C heavy-lift
vehicle for Moon and Mars programs. Shuttle-C can use the
existing space shuttle launch facilities and work force.

[snip]


TA
Kim Keller
2004-02-11 12:26:17 UTC
Permalink
Post by Tom Abbott
I have to disagree with you here. NASA will not need new
launch facilities if it uses the Shuttle-C heavy-lift
vehicle for Moon and Mars programs. Shuttle-C can use the
existing space shuttle launch facilities and work force.
Question is, can we *afford* the present workforce?

-Kim-
Magnus Redin
2004-02-12 00:13:58 UTC
Permalink
Hi!
Post by Kim Keller
Question is, can we *afford* the present workforce?
You are perhaps the most qualified person on this group to answer that
question.

What is the rough number of employees for different parts
of the shuttle system?

Needed for a fairly simple shuttle-c:
External tank handling equipment and staff.
SRB handling and staff.
Stacking equipment and staff.
Vab, crawler, launchpad and misc building maintainance
and support staff.

New staff for a fairly simple shuttle-c:
RS-68 engine specialists.
Boat tail specilists, inertial system and avionics.
( TLI stage specialists are needed in any choice of
launchers. )

Made redundant:
Shuttle orbiter specialists, OMS, RCS, thermal protection,
enviromental systems, shuttle arm, ET-orbiter separation
system, landing gear, etc, etc.
Emergency airfield staff, orbiter landing staff, orbiter handling
equipment, orbiter transport 747:s.

How much of the total manpower is used for the orbiter?
75% or is it more?

Best regards,
--
Titta gärna på http://www.lysator.liu.se/~redin och kommentera min
politiska sida.
Magnus Redin, Klockaregården 6, 586 44 LINKöPING, SWEDEN
Phone: Sweden (0)70 5160046
Kim Keller
2004-02-13 05:11:35 UTC
Permalink
Post by Magnus Redin
What is the rough number of employees for different parts
of the shuttle system?
I can only speak to the situation at KSC, where roughly 7000 people work on
Shuttle in some way, shape or form.
Post by Magnus Redin
External tank handling equipment and staff.
SRB handling and staff.
Stacking equipment and staff.
Vab, crawler, launchpad and misc building maintainance
and support staff.
Hmmm, maybe 300? Depends on how many shifts of operations you want to run;
I'm thinking two shifts. I'm also adding some engineers into that, but not
typical administrative overhead.
Post by Magnus Redin
RS-68 engine specialists.
Boat tail specilists, inertial system and avionics.
( TLI stage specialists are needed in any choice of
launchers. )
100-150, including engineers.
Post by Magnus Redin
Shuttle orbiter specialists, OMS, RCS, thermal protection,
enviromental systems, shuttle arm, ET-orbiter separation
system, landing gear, etc, etc.
Emergency airfield staff, orbiter landing staff, orbiter handling
equipment, orbiter transport 747:s.
How much of the total manpower is used for the orbiter?
75% or is it more?
Much less. Maybe 17% - perhaps 1000?

There would be a need for logistics people, schedulers, trainers, and other
misc. footsoldiers.
Bear in mind these numbers are for the launch site only.

-Kim-
ed kyle
2004-02-13 22:51:19 UTC
Permalink
Post by Kim Keller
Post by Magnus Redin
What is the rough number of employees for different parts
of the shuttle system?
I can only speak to the situation at KSC, where roughly 7000 people work on
Shuttle in some way, shape or form.
Here is another way to look at it. NASA's shuttle budget
is roughly $3.2 billion per year (6 flights). Roughly
$1.31 billion of that cost is attributed to the cost of
processing and upgrading the orbiters and their SSMEs.
Purchase, refurbishment, processing, and upgrade of ET
and SRB elements accounts for about $1.1 billion. Mission
and launch operations costs account for the remainder.

Taking away the orbiter costs leaves $1.92 billion. The
orbiter will have to be replaced with something roughly
the size of an EELV Medium, which costs on the order of
$0.1 billion each to build and launch. Additional cost
reductions in the "Mission and Launch Operations" category
(perhaps $0.3-0.4 billion) would also be likely, since the
new vehicle would not require human spaceflight support.

This hints at a potential non-orbiter, non-SSME shuttle-
derived vehicle (SDV) annual program cost on the order of
$2.2 billion for a program that could handle as many as
6 launches per year. Such a program would produce lower
costs than an EELV-based effort only if a 75 ton to LEO
class SDV were flown at least five times per year every
year. Note that this does not include the SDV development
costs, which would add $3-4 billion to the initial program
costs.

- Ed Kyle.
Alex Terrell
2004-02-14 21:48:04 UTC
Permalink
Post by ed kyle
Post by Kim Keller
Post by Magnus Redin
What is the rough number of employees for different parts
of the shuttle system?
I can only speak to the situation at KSC, where roughly 7000 people work on
Shuttle in some way, shape or form.
Here is another way to look at it. NASA's shuttle budget
is roughly $3.2 billion per year (6 flights). Roughly
$1.31 billion of that cost is attributed to the cost of
processing and upgrading the orbiters and their SSMEs.
Purchase, refurbishment, processing, and upgrade of ET
and SRB elements accounts for about $1.1 billion. Mission
and launch operations costs account for the remainder.
Taking away the orbiter costs leaves $1.92 billion. The
orbiter will have to be replaced with something roughly
the size of an EELV Medium, which costs on the order of
$0.1 billion each to build and launch. Additional cost
reductions in the "Mission and Launch Operations" category
(perhaps $0.3-0.4 billion) would also be likely, since the
new vehicle would not require human spaceflight support.
This hints at a potential non-orbiter, non-SSME shuttle-
derived vehicle (SDV) annual program cost on the order of
$2.2 billion for a program that could handle as many as
6 launches per year. Such a program would produce lower
costs than an EELV-based effort only if a 75 ton to LEO
class SDV were flown at least five times per year every
year. Note that this does not include the SDV development
costs, which would add $3-4 billion to the initial program
costs.
- Ed Kyle.
I think there'd be scope to shave a little more off the ET / SRB bill,
but that brings the cost to about $1.8bn, or $300 million for 75 tons,
exlcuding development costs.

Giving the whole operation to a private sector could reduce this, but
I guess we're still talking $250 million per launch, plus development
amortisation. Each launch is the equivelant of 3 Delta IV heavy
launches.

What is the marginal cost for 18 Delta IV launches per year, given a
competitive bid situation?

Even with an active moon program, is there this level of demand?
Alex Terrell
2004-02-05 23:11:57 UTC
Permalink
Post by Kim Keller
Post by ed kyle
Interesting. Note that a fully fueled Delta IV 5-meter
diameter second stage weighs nearly 31 metric tons (less
than 4 tons empty), several tons in excess of what
Delta IV-Heavy is reported to be capable of boosting to
low earth orbit. The logical approach would be to upgrade
Delta IV-Heavy enough to be able to put 31 tons into LEO
so that these stages could be orbited fully fueled. This
two-stage plus CEV stack, which appears capable of
translunar insertion, would then require three Delta IV-
Heavy launches.
Trouble is, Delta IV isn't exactly suited to salvo launch operations. For
that matter, neither is Atlas V. Both would require additional facilities to
make such a mission achievable. From the look of budget numbers, there won't
be enough money to take that approach.
Using just existing facilities would lead to some components having to wait
in orbit for quite some time before the mission package is assembled. Now,
that may not be a huge challenge but it does complicate things, particularly
if cryogenic fuels are used.
-Kim-
Any idea how much time?

I was thinking that the current "Heavies" can lift about 25 tons to
LEO. Two of these could put about 10 tons on the moon. One would put
up an upper stage (20-25 tons) which would dock with the Lander (10
tons) plus cargo(10 tons).
Kim Keller
2004-02-07 06:29:15 UTC
Permalink
Post by Alex Terrell
Any idea how much time?
Probably a month, given no expansion of today's facilities.

-Kim-
Alex Terrell
2004-02-07 21:40:28 UTC
Permalink
Post by Kim Keller
Post by Alex Terrell
Any idea how much time?
Probably a month, given no expansion of today's facilities.
-Kim-
I think some process reengineering might be cheaper than new facilities.
Tom Abbott
2004-02-08 01:19:33 UTC
Permalink
Post by Alex Terrell
Post by Kim Keller
Post by ed kyle
Interesting. Note that a fully fueled Delta IV 5-meter
diameter second stage weighs nearly 31 metric tons (less
than 4 tons empty), several tons in excess of what
Delta IV-Heavy is reported to be capable of boosting to
low earth orbit. The logical approach would be to upgrade
Delta IV-Heavy enough to be able to put 31 tons into LEO
so that these stages could be orbited fully fueled. This
two-stage plus CEV stack, which appears capable of
translunar insertion, would then require three Delta IV-
Heavy launches.
Trouble is, Delta IV isn't exactly suited to salvo launch operations. For
that matter, neither is Atlas V. Both would require additional facilities to
make such a mission achievable. From the look of budget numbers, there won't
be enough money to take that approach.
Using just existing facilities would lead to some components having to wait
in orbit for quite some time before the mission package is assembled. Now,
that may not be a huge challenge but it does complicate things, particularly
if cryogenic fuels are used.
-Kim-
Any idea how much time?
I was thinking that the current "Heavies" can lift about 25 tons to
LEO. Two of these could put about 10 tons on the moon. One would put
up an upper stage (20-25 tons) which would dock with the Lander (10
tons) plus cargo(10 tons).
I guess that makes the space shuttle a heavy-lift vehicle
since it can put 30 tons in LEO. Right?


TA
Cris Fitch
2004-01-28 06:22:51 UTC
Permalink
Post by Dholmes
Going from just over a 5 meter diameter rocket to an almost six meter
diameter rocket even if only for the central rocket would allow for a lot
more launch capability in a Delta Heavy.
Dual MB-60 second stage could also increase mass to orbit.
If we do get sucked into the path of building heavier launchers,
then perhaps the question is, how to do so in the most cost-effective
manner. Is it easy to increase the diameter of the Delta IV or
Atlas 5 to a 6 meter diameter (Atlas/Delta 6 anyone)? Or would
it be more efficient to just strap on solids?

It has also been said that the first stage is the cheapest, so
perhaps the real debate should be on how much we incrementally
launch to LEO each time. High-flight rate is important to the
economics, and the assumption is that we want to make this step
on a *permanent* basis this time, vs. the transitory nature of
Apollo.

Seems to me there is still an awful lot of unused capacity in the
medium lift marketplace - and development costs for the EELVs that
haven't been amortized.
McLean1382
2004-01-29 02:42:15 UTC
Permalink
Post by Cris Fitch
Is it easy to increase the diameter of the Delta IV or
Atlas 5 to a 6 meter diameter (Atlas/Delta 6 anyone)? Or would
it be more efficient to just strap on solids?
Better still, strap on more cores. A modified central core with as many as six
cores as strap ons. This would require some modification of the central core
and to the launch facilities, but you could mostly take advantage of the
existing production lines.

Will McLean
Phil Paisley
2004-02-07 02:12:42 UTC
Permalink
Post by Cris Fitch
If we do get sucked into the path of building heavier launchers,
then perhaps the question is, how to do so in the most cost-effective
manner. Is it easy to increase the diameter of the Delta IV or
Atlas 5 to a 6 meter diameter (Atlas/Delta 6 anyone)? Or would
it be more efficient to just strap on solids?
It has also been said that the first stage is the cheapest, so
perhaps the real debate should be on how much we incrementally
launch to LEO each time. High-flight rate is important to the
economics, and the assumption is that we want to make this step
on a *permanent* basis this time, vs. the transitory nature of
Apollo.
Seems to me there is still an awful lot of unused capacity in the
medium lift marketplace - and development costs for the EELVs that
haven't been amortized.
Apart from higher energy upper stages, which seem to be part of the
Delta IVs future at least, isn't there a way to tweak the specific
impulse of the RS-68 even a little bit? I believe the H-1 and the F-1
were both incrementally upgraded over the course of their lives with
considerable payoffs in lofting capacity.

Any ideas, insights?

Phil
Paul F. Dietz
2004-02-07 14:17:07 UTC
Permalink
Post by Phil Paisley
Apart from higher energy upper stages, which seem to be part of the
Delta IVs future at least, isn't there a way to tweak the specific
impulse of the RS-68 even a little bit? I believe the H-1 and the F-1
were both incrementally upgraded over the course of their lives with
considerable payoffs in lofting capacity.
You could use FLOX :). But I doubt that works well in a hot-oxidizer
staged combustion cycle.

Maybe gelled metalized RP-1 for the fuel? Adds about 5% to the Isp.

Paul
Tom Abbott
2004-02-08 01:22:42 UTC
Permalink
Post by Cris Fitch
Post by Dholmes
Going from just over a 5 meter diameter rocket to an almost six meter
diameter rocket even if only for the central rocket would allow for a lot
more launch capability in a Delta Heavy.
Dual MB-60 second stage could also increase mass to orbit.
If we do get sucked into the path of building heavier launchers,
then perhaps the question is, how to do so in the most cost-effective
manner.
Every official commission that has ever studied the
problem of Moon and Mars missions has said a heavy-lift
cargo launcher was *essential*. And the bigger, the better.
So my guess is we will take that path.

The most cost-effective manner to build a heavy-lift
vehicle is to convert the space shuttle launch system into
an unmanned cargo launcher.

[snip]


TA
Ruediger Klaehn
2004-01-26 15:40:53 UTC
Permalink
Post by Cris Fitch
Not long ago it looked like the Medium lift market was
over-subscribed with Proton, Ariane-5, Sea Launch, Atlas-5
and Delta-IV. Now with the retirement of Shuttle and a
new plan for manned exploration coming into being, we've
1) Launch lots of medium payloads
or
2) Go Heavy
Option 2 would be a dream come true for whoever gets to build the heavy lift
vehicle. The barrier of entry for such a beast is very large, so you do not
have to fear competition that much. If you had a standard payload size of,
say, 5 metric tons, you would have many competitors from the start, and
even completely new launch methods such as space tethers, space elevators,
TSTO or SSTO space transports could enter the market at comparatively low
cost.

Given that, it would be a mistake to let the provider of the launch vehicle
design the payloads. That way boeing might have just enough "unexpected"
weight growth that their own vehicle is the only possible launch option...
McLean1382
2004-01-27 00:26:50 UTC
Permalink
Post by Cris Fitch
Finally, there is the issue of what expertise we lose when we
shut down a heavy lift capability (Saturn V, Energia, Shuttle).
Certainly we don't mind losing the cost of the standing army,
but are we going to lose the facilities for large fuel tanks
or recoverable strap-ons?
- Cris Fitch
San Diego, CA
http://www.orbit6.com/
It might be worthwhile to mothball the tooling for the big shuttle tanks. The
case for the big solids is less clear, since one alternative is using Atlas V
cores as boosters.

When the need develops for a very large launcher, one option might be an
in-line launcher with three RS-68 engines beneath a shuttle derived tank, and
Atlas V cores strapped on as needed. Wih six of them, you should be able to get
a pretty impressive payload.

Will McLean
Gordon D. Pusch
2004-01-27 00:11:30 UTC
Permalink
Post by Cris Fitch
Not long ago it looked like the Medium lift market was
over-subscribed with Proton, Ariane-5, Sea Launch, Atlas-5
and Delta-IV. Now with the retirement of Shuttle and a
new plan for manned exploration coming into being, we've
1) Launch lots of medium payloads
or
2) Go Heavy
I've got to argue in favor of #1, hoping that the economics
of all these medium lift launchers will reduce the overall
cost of these plans. Standardize the payloads (a la the building
of MIR) and assemble what you need for each mission. Pay
companies for the results (e.g. fuel delivered to the right
orbit).
Sadly, I expect the current administration to go for (2.) if re-elected.
IMO, this whole "Based on Moon and Mars" scam is merely a civilian cover
to develop heavy-lift vehicles to implement Rumsfeld's "Vision for 2020"
wet dream, which makes even Reagan's "Star Wars" program look cheap and
impotent by comparison: It calls for the total militarization of space,
denial of access to LEO, and the ability to attack targets on the ground
from orbit. But read the documents, and come to your own conclusions:

<http://www.commondreams.org/views03/1113-03.htm>,
<http://www.fas.org/news/usa/2001/usa-010508zds.htm>
<http://www.gsinstitute.org/resources/extras/vision_2020.pdf>
<http://www.defenselink.mil/pubs/space20010111.html>
<http://www.defenselink.mil/pubs/space20010111.pdf>


-- Gordon D. Pusch

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