XGID=-a-B-bDCBaB-bB-----babbb--:1:-1:1:62:0:0:0:0:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X | | O O O O O | +---+
| X | | O O O O | | 2 |
| | | | +---+
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| X | | X |
| O X X X | | X O X |
| O X O X X | | X O X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 113 O: 141 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 62
Making the 4pt leaves more shots, but it makes X's board almost as strong
as O's. O's hitting rolls (except 55) mostly leave the game about even.
The alternatives 10/8 10/4 or 7/1* 3/1 leave fewer immediate shots, but
leave X with more cleanup issues.
1. Rollout¹ 10/4 6/4 eq:+0.262
Player: 65.81% (G:15.32% B:0.99%)
Opponent: 34.19% (G:9.01% B:0.21%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (+0.254..+0.270) - [100.0%]
2. Rollout¹ 10/8 10/4 eq:+0.163 (-0.099)
Player: 63.81% (G:11.63% B:0.41%)
Opponent: 36.19% (G:9.64% B:0.21%)
Confidence: ±0.009 (+0.154..+0.172) - [0.0%]
3. Rollout¹ 7/1* 3/1 eq:+0.162 (-0.100)
Player: 63.14% (G:13.57% B:0.35%)
Opponent: 36.86% (G:10.85% B:0.27%)
Confidence: ±0.009 (+0.153..+0.171) -
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release
-------
Variant
-------
XGID=-a-B-bDCBaB-bB-----cbbb---:1:-1:1:62:0:0:0:0:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X | | O O O O | +---+
| X | | O O O O | | 2 |
| | | O | +---+
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| X | | X |
| O X X X | | X O X |
| O X O X X | | X O X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 113 O: 148 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 62
1. Rollout¹ 10/8 10/4 eq:+0.076
Player: 61.11% (G:9.75% B:0.22%)
Opponent: 38.89% (G:9.87% B:0.20%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (+0.068..+0.084) - [78.7%]
2. Rollout¹ 10/4 6/4 eq:+0.071 (-0.004)
Player: 60.09% (G:11.96% B:0.44%)
Opponent: 39.91% (G:10.10% B:0.25%)
Confidence: ±0.007 (+0.064..+0.079) - [21.3%]
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release
---
Tim Chow