Post by YellowPost by Ian JacksonPost by MMLast night Channel 4 News ran an hour-long debate on Brexit. Towards
the end of the programme it was revealed that the largest poll ever
carried out on the Brexit issue found a significant swing towards
Remain on 54% against Leave on 46%.
Nigel Farage got quite ratty, claiming it was all a stitch-up etc etc.
Worth watching. The applause any Remain comment received was far
greater than for Leave after its defenders had spoken.
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/remain-would-win-new-brexit-ref
erendum-by-eight-points-major-new-poll-shows-a3981436.html
http://youtu.be/YKCrKtOsPNg
Nigel Farage was rather subdued - and really only came to life to
condemn Theresa May for not really trying to get a proper Brexit.
Those two MPs were a disgrace. The Conservative chap's main point was
that we should plough on, and respect the result of the now out-of-date
referendum, regardless of how misinformed the electorate were. The
Labour guy was little better, and it was rather difficult to understand
what his real opinions were.
But it will be an hour well-spent to watch it again.
I thought the show was well worth a watch, not just because of the poll
but because as Farage said at the end, he was the only non-audience
member who was there to fight on the side of Brexit while all the others
were *all* remain voters.
Gauke was wholeheartedly for honouring the Brexit result, even though
he voted Remain. With Barry Gardiner, it was difficult to work out
what Labour's stance is currently. Farage got ratty, because he felt
it was a stitch-up. But it wasn't. The mood in the audience reflected
the mood in the country when that poll of 20,000 was conducted to
establish the turnaround in Remain's favour. You just don't want to
believe that a swing from Brexit towards Remain is fact now.
Post by YellowYet the C4 presenter was quite taken aback when this was drawn to his
attention
Yes, because what Farage claimed was absolutely not true. A number of
'Leave' audience members stated quite clearly that they hadn't changed
their mind. Farage's problem is that many leavers *have* changed their
mind. Look at the Sunderland finding, for example.
Post by YellowAnd that is how it has been for the last 18 months. Drip.... drip....
drip....
Yes, and it is having an effect. More people across the nation are now
moving towards Remain, as this trend has been accelerating over the
past few months. There is nothing to stop that trend now. There just
isn't enough time left before March. So while technically we'll have
to leave on March 29 as that is what Article 50 and the Act in
Parliament require, there will be so many caveats, backstops and
'arrangements' that we will not to all intents and purposes have
actually left.
And then there's the transition period...!
Post by YellowSo an interesting programme just from that point of view.
But as for the presentation of the voting data - how interesting was
that too and thank god for the commentary from the polling guy who put a
different spin on almost every chart the show presented, including
noting that some of the questions were loaded.
You're so desperate to play down that turnaround, aren't you? Even now
you still don't believe the facts, preferring the spin instead. Oh,
and note how the Brexiters sole line of defensive argument is to warn
of civil unrest. So will that insurgence happen if the terms of our
departure still keep us in a customs union? Still need us to listen to
the ECJ? Still don't impart that magical 'sovereignty' you've been
blabbing on about?
Post by YellowBut what was the most interesting was that the presentation of the data
that remain would win another vote.
First, they did not present the number of don't knows, and only told us
the split between those who had an opinion on the day of the survey. And
second, as the poll guy said, they did not weight the information for
the likelihood of people actually turning out to vote and simply assumed
that everyone would.
You know the Brexit movement is sinking fast, don't you! Hence your
clutching at straws.
Post by YellowTo be clear - if the poll result had been as presented then fair enough,
but it wasn't and this took the show from an useful look at people's
opinions to a piece of propaganda on behalf of remain as it seemed
someone had made the deliberate decision to mislead.
The poll result was 54% Remain v. 45% Leave, and thusly was It
presented. At what point did you fail to grasp these figures? Was it
at the point when your inner voice said "Oh, dear. Those figures don't
look good, so I'd better believe the spin instead!"
Post by YellowI thought the EU women was good, and I would liked to have had a whole
show listening to her.
These types of political shows on British TV are so micromanaged,
there is little point to them apart from providing entertainment. Only
one hour to debate such an important issue? In Germany, debates like
this tend to be open-ended so that speakers aren't constrained by the
clock.
MM