Garrett Wollman
2018-07-30 16:47:33 UTC
A few decades ago, Asimov titled one of his F&SF essays "What Truck?"
The introduction was about having an engaging conversation with a
fellow writer (IIRC it was Lester del Rey) while walking the streets
of Manhattan. Asimov is obliviously nattering away while crossing the
street, and almost gets hit by a truck. His interlocutor asks if he
didn't see the truck, and Asimov responds, "What truck?" The actual
content of the essay is about SF authors at the turn of the 20th
century, writing about voyages to the moon and other planets,
who completely failed to pick up on the idea of rockets -- they come
up with all sorts of fanciful, physically impractical modes of
propulsion, but they either don't think of rockets or they dismiss
them out of some misunderstanding of physics.
I was thinking of this the other day because of Julian May's _Saga of
Pliocene Exile_. Here we have a very well educated author (she wrote
thousands of encyclopedia articles on scientific subjects) in the
early 1980s, and she comes up with rejuvenation therapy, the subspace
translator, and the cerebroenergetic enhancer, but pamphlets,
periodicals, and computer printouts are delivered on fixed-function
"plaques", one per document, from a vending machine, which must be
returned to the vendor in order to display something else. The notion
of a flexible e-reader, downloading content from a communications
network, seems to have totally escaped her, despite getting *so*
close. (Her notion of human-computer interaction seems also very much
stuck in the early 1980s -- even the supposedly obsolete computers
smuggled through the Pliocene time-gate have an interaction style
suited better for 1978 than 2008, never mind 2038.)
What are some other examples of authors "not seeing the truck"?
Plenty of authors seem to have come up with pocket computers,
pervasive surveillance, etc., without getting anywhere close to social
networks or modern smartphones, but who comes achingly close without
making the seemingly obvious leap?
-GAWollman
The introduction was about having an engaging conversation with a
fellow writer (IIRC it was Lester del Rey) while walking the streets
of Manhattan. Asimov is obliviously nattering away while crossing the
street, and almost gets hit by a truck. His interlocutor asks if he
didn't see the truck, and Asimov responds, "What truck?" The actual
content of the essay is about SF authors at the turn of the 20th
century, writing about voyages to the moon and other planets,
who completely failed to pick up on the idea of rockets -- they come
up with all sorts of fanciful, physically impractical modes of
propulsion, but they either don't think of rockets or they dismiss
them out of some misunderstanding of physics.
I was thinking of this the other day because of Julian May's _Saga of
Pliocene Exile_. Here we have a very well educated author (she wrote
thousands of encyclopedia articles on scientific subjects) in the
early 1980s, and she comes up with rejuvenation therapy, the subspace
translator, and the cerebroenergetic enhancer, but pamphlets,
periodicals, and computer printouts are delivered on fixed-function
"plaques", one per document, from a vending machine, which must be
returned to the vendor in order to display something else. The notion
of a flexible e-reader, downloading content from a communications
network, seems to have totally escaped her, despite getting *so*
close. (Her notion of human-computer interaction seems also very much
stuck in the early 1980s -- even the supposedly obsolete computers
smuggled through the Pliocene time-gate have an interaction style
suited better for 1978 than 2008, never mind 2038.)
What are some other examples of authors "not seeing the truck"?
Plenty of authors seem to have come up with pocket computers,
pervasive surveillance, etc., without getting anywhere close to social
networks or modern smartphones, but who comes achingly close without
making the seemingly obvious leap?
-GAWollman
--
Garrett A. Wollman | "Act to avoid constraining the future; if you can,
***@bimajority.org| act to remove constraint from the future. This is
Opinions not shared by| a thing you can do, are able to do, to do together."
my employers. | - Graydon Saunders, _A Succession of Bad Days_ (2015)
Garrett A. Wollman | "Act to avoid constraining the future; if you can,
***@bimajority.org| act to remove constraint from the future. This is
Opinions not shared by| a thing you can do, are able to do, to do together."
my employers. | - Graydon Saunders, _A Succession of Bad Days_ (2015)