Discussion:
Farage’s long game and The Brexit Party’s true goals
(too old to reply)
Stephen Cole
2019-11-02 19:05:21 UTC
Permalink
In Richard Tice’s BXP campaign launch speech, he slipped in a remark that I
suspect may inform us a little better with regards Nigel’s true intent
behind his impossible offer to the Tories. Amongst the usual doom and
gloom, anti-EU spiel, Tice did go off on a rant about Britain’s electoral
system and its inherent unfairness to minor/new parties. He said that
millions of voters would be disenfranchised and their votes would not
matter, and that proportional representation would be an aim of The Brexit
Party. To be honest, he has a point; First Past The Post is a ludicrous and
broken system that needs to be scrapped wholesale. In 2015, UKIP took 12.5%
of the national vote (nearly 4 million votes) but only secured one seat.
Whatever you think of UKIP, that is an outrage for democracy. UKIP and
Farage went mental about it at the time and loudly demanded proportional
representation but obviously nothing changed.

But with Tice seeding that concept into his launch speech and Farage
setting up a confrontation with the Tories that is almost custom-made to
frustrate the Brexit that millions of people want, I expect to hear much
more about proportional representation following the election result on
13th December. It might well turn out that Farage is happy to lose the
prize of Brexit Now in exchange for PR Later and the almost certainty of
subsequent BXP seats in the Commons, from which he can then attack for his
favoured catastrophic Brexit in the early to mid 2020s. You heard it here
first, folks!
--
M0TEY // STC
www.twitter.com/ukradioamateur
R. Mark Clayton
2019-11-02 20:39:41 UTC
Permalink
Post by Stephen Cole
In Richard Tice’s BXP campaign launch speech, he slipped in a remark that I
suspect may inform us a little better with regards Nigel’s true intent
behind his impossible offer to the Tories. Amongst the usual doom and
gloom, anti-EU spiel, Tice did go off on a rant about Britain’s electoral
system and its inherent unfairness to minor/new parties. He said that
millions of voters would be disenfranchised and their votes would not
matter, and that proportional representation would be an aim of The Brexit
Party. To be honest, he has a point; First Past The Post is a ludicrous and
broken system that needs to be scrapped wholesale. In 2015, UKIP took 12.5%
of the national vote (nearly 4 million votes) but only secured one seat.
Whatever you think of UKIP, that is an outrage for democracy. UKIP and
Farage went mental about it at the time and loudly demanded proportional
representation but obviously nothing changed.
But with Tice seeding that concept into his launch speech and Farage
setting up a confrontation with the Tories that is almost custom-made to
frustrate the Brexit that millions of people want, I expect to hear much
more about proportional representation following the election result on
13th December. It might well turn out that Farage is happy to lose the
prize of Brexit Now in exchange for PR Later and the almost certainty of
subsequent BXP seats in the Commons, from which he can then attack for his
favoured catastrophic Brexit in the early to mid 2020s. You heard it here
first, folks!
--
M0TEY // STC
www.twitter.com/ukradioamateur
Even AV (supported by Farage) but sadly resoundly rejected by voters, would produce a fairer result than FPTP, without letting in minnow parties.

Whilst any more proportional system would probably work to BP advantage, the real beneficiaries would be those in the centre rather than the extremes.
Pamela
2019-11-02 22:07:07 UTC
Permalink
In Richard Tice’s BXP campaign launch speech, he slipped in a remark
that I suspect may inform us a little better with regards Nigel’s true
intent behind his impossible offer to the Tories. Amongst the usual doom
and gloom, anti-EU spiel, Tice did go off on a rant about Britain’s
electoral system and its inherent unfairness to minor/new parties. He
said that millions of voters would be disenfranchised and their votes
would not matter, and that proportional representation would be an aim
of The Brexit Party. To be honest, he has a point; First Past The Post
is a ludicrous and broken system that needs to be scrapped wholesale. In
2015, UKIP took 12.5% of the national vote (nearly 4 million votes) but
only secured one seat. Whatever you think of UKIP, that is an outrage
for democracy. UKIP and Farage went mental about it at the time and
loudly demanded proportional representation but obviously nothing
changed.
But with Tice seeding that concept into his launch speech and Farage
setting up a confrontation with the Tories that is almost custom-made to
frustrate the Brexit that millions of people want, I expect to hear much
more about proportional representation following the election result on
13th December. It might well turn out that Farage is happy to lose the
prize of Brexit Now in exchange for PR Later and the almost certainty of
subsequent BXP seats in the Commons, from which he can then attack for
his favoured catastrophic Brexit in the early to mid 2020s. You heard it
here first, folks!
Sadly the "Alternative Vote" referendum a few years ago showed the public are
not much interested in alternatives to first past the post.
Ian Jackson
2019-11-03 08:03:13 UTC
Permalink
Post by Pamela
Sadly the "Alternative Vote" referendum a few years ago showed the public are
not much interested in alternatives to first past the post.
Then I guess we'll be forever doomed to accept TWOTP.
--
Ian
Pamela
2019-11-03 10:27:19 UTC
Permalink
Post by Ian Jackson
Post by Pamela
Sadly the "Alternative Vote" referendum a few years ago showed the
public are not much interested in alternatives to first past the post.
Then I guess we'll be forever doomed to accept TWOTP.
Sadly too often FPTP is not the will of most of the people.

One key benefit is FPTP creates a stable government, albeit at the cost of
minor parties. When it fails to do even that things get messy, especially as
Westminster seems congenitally opposed to coalition governments.
Keema's Nan
2019-11-03 10:45:21 UTC
Permalink
Post by Pamela
Post by Ian Jackson
Post by Pamela
Sadly the "Alternative Vote" referendum a few years ago showed the
public are not much interested in alternatives to first past the post.
Then I guess we'll be forever doomed to accept TWOTP.
Sadly too often FPTP is not the will of most of the people.
One key benefit is FPTP creates a stable government, albeit at the cost of
minor parties. When it fails to do even that things get messy, especially as
Westminster seems congenitally opposed to coalition governments.
And yet coalition oppositions which try everything to frustrate governments,
seem to be welcomed with open arms at Westminster.
abelard
2019-11-03 10:58:25 UTC
Permalink
On Sun, 03 Nov 2019 10:45:21 +0000, Keema's Nan
Post by Keema's Nan
Post by Pamela
Post by Ian Jackson
Post by Pamela
Sadly the "Alternative Vote" referendum a few years ago showed the
public are not much interested in alternatives to first past the post.
Then I guess we'll be forever doomed to accept TWOTP.
Sadly too often FPTP is not the will of most of the people.
One key benefit is FPTP creates a stable government, albeit at the cost of
minor parties. When it fails to do even that things get messy, especially as
Westminster seems congenitally opposed to coalition governments.
And yet coalition oppositions which try everything to frustrate governments,
seem to be welcomed with open arms at Westminster.
left wing voters will be desperate to support farago...

they will work to make farage look viable, as that is the only hope
agent cob has
--
www.abelard.org
Pamela
2019-11-03 19:33:43 UTC
Permalink
Post by Keema's Nan
Post by Pamela
Post by Ian Jackson
Post by Pamela
Sadly the "Alternative Vote" referendum a few years ago showed the
public are not much interested in alternatives to first past the post.
Then I guess we'll be forever doomed to accept TWOTP.
Sadly too often FPTP is not the will of most of the people.
One key benefit is FPTP creates a stable government, albeit at the cost
of minor parties. When it fails to do even that things get messy,
especially as Westminster seems congenitally opposed to coalition
governments.
And yet coalition oppositions which try everything to frustrate
governments, seem to be welcomed with open arms at Westminster.
That's British democracy working as intended. Leavers know their vitory was
wafer thin and that by now it have vanished, so they are left to moan and
carp about democracy in a way which supports their undemocratic wishes.
Keema's Nan
2019-11-04 16:59:08 UTC
Permalink
Post by Pamela
Post by Keema's Nan
Post by Pamela
Post by Ian Jackson
Post by Pamela
Sadly the "Alternative Vote" referendum a few years ago showed the
public are not much interested in alternatives to first past the post.
Then I guess we'll be forever doomed to accept TWOTP.
Sadly too often FPTP is not the will of most of the people.
One key benefit is FPTP creates a stable government, albeit at the cost
of minor parties. When it fails to do even that things get messy,
especially as Westminster seems congenitally opposed to coalition
governments.
And yet coalition oppositions which try everything to frustrate
governments, seem to be welcomed with open arms at Westminster.
That's British democracy working as intended.
Maybe, but the point you deliberately chose to miss - was that Westminster is
opposed to coalition governments, but welcomes coalition oppositions.

Why do you think that is?
Pamela
2019-11-04 18:42:48 UTC
Permalink
Post by Keema's Nan
Post by Pamela
Post by Keema's Nan
Post by Pamela
Post by Ian Jackson
Post by Pamela
Sadly the "Alternative Vote" referendum a few years ago showed
the public are not much interested in alternatives to first
past the post.
Then I guess we'll be forever doomed to accept TWOTP.
Sadly too often FPTP is not the will of most of the people.
One key benefit is FPTP creates a stable government, albeit at the
cost of minor parties. When it fails to do even that things get
messy, especially as Westminster seems congenitally opposed to
coalition governments.
And yet coalition oppositions which try everything to frustrate
governments, seem to be welcomed with open arms at Westminster.
That's British democracy working as intended.
Maybe, but the point you deliberately chose to miss - was that
Westminster is opposed to coalition governments, but welcomes coalition
oppositions.
Why do you think that is?
How do you know it was deliberate?
Keema's Nan
2019-11-04 19:07:56 UTC
Permalink
Post by Pamela
Post by Keema's Nan
Post by Pamela
Post by Keema's Nan
Post by Pamela
Post by Ian Jackson
Post by Pamela
Sadly the "Alternative Vote" referendum a few years ago showed
the public are not much interested in alternatives to first
past the post.
Then I guess we'll be forever doomed to accept TWOTP.
Sadly too often FPTP is not the will of most of the people.
One key benefit is FPTP creates a stable government, albeit at the
cost of minor parties. When it fails to do even that things get
messy, especially as Westminster seems congenitally opposed to
coalition governments.
And yet coalition oppositions which try everything to frustrate
governments, seem to be welcomed with open arms at Westminster.
That's British democracy working as intended.
Maybe, but the point you deliberately chose to miss - was that
Westminster is opposed to coalition governments, but welcomes coalition
oppositions.
Why do you think that is?
How do you know it was deliberate?
Because my statement concerning coalition oppositions being accepted, whereas
coalition governments being congenitally opposed by Westminster; returned the
reply about British democracy working as intended,

Do you see that as accidental?
Pamela
2019-11-05 12:14:04 UTC
Permalink
Post by Keema's Nan
Post by Pamela
Post by Keema's Nan
Post by Pamela
Post by Keema's Nan
On 08:03 3 Nov 2019, Ian
Post by Ian Jackson
Post by Pamela
Sadly the "Alternative Vote" referendum a few years ago
showed the public are not much interested in alternatives
to first past the post.
Then I guess we'll be forever doomed to accept TWOTP.
Sadly too often FPTP is not the will of most of the people.
One key benefit is FPTP creates a stable government, albeit at
the cost of minor parties. When it fails to do even that things
get messy, especially as Westminster seems congenitally opposed
to coalition governments.
And yet coalition oppositions which try everything to frustrate
governments, seem to be welcomed with open arms at Westminster.
That's British democracy working as intended.
Maybe, but the point you deliberately chose to miss - was that
Westminster is opposed to coalition governments, but welcomes
coalition oppositions.
Why do you think that is?
How do you know it was deliberate?
Because my statement concerning coalition oppositions being accepted,
whereas coalition governments being congenitally opposed by Westminster;
returned the reply about British democracy working as intended,
Do you see that as accidental?
You are being presumptious.
Fredxx
2019-11-03 11:03:42 UTC
Permalink
Post by Pamela
Post by Ian Jackson
Post by Pamela
Sadly the "Alternative Vote" referendum a few years ago showed the
public are not much interested in alternatives to first past the post.
Then I guess we'll be forever doomed to accept TWOTP.
Sadly too often FPTP is not the will of most of the people.
One key benefit is FPTP creates a stable government, albeit at the cost of
minor parties. When it fails to do even that things get messy, especially as
Westminster seems congenitally opposed to coalition governments.
It's the best system there is. If a minority party draws votes away from
a majority party on a key issue, that issue is taken on board by one or
both major parties. Its a very effective system that keeps minority
parties out of contention yet the issues they raise get taken on board.

The exception where things get messy is where major parties go against
the will of the people or worst still underestimate the will of the
people and call a referendum that returns the wrong result.
Pamela
2019-11-03 19:37:05 UTC
Permalink
Post by Fredxx
Post by Pamela
Post by Ian Jackson
Post by Pamela
Sadly the "Alternative Vote" referendum a few years ago showed the
public are not much interested in alternatives to first past the post.
Then I guess we'll be forever doomed to accept TWOTP.
Sadly too often FPTP is not the will of most of the people.
One key benefit is FPTP creates a stable government, albeit at the cost
of minor parties. When it fails to do even that things get messy,
especially as Westminster seems congenitally opposed to coalition
governments.
It's the best system there is. If a minority party draws votes away from
a majority party on a key issue, that issue is taken on board by one or
both major parties. Its a very effective system that keeps minority
parties out of contention yet the issues they raise get taken on board.
The exception where things get messy is where major parties go against
the will of the people or worst still underestimate the will of the
people and call a referendum that returns the wrong result.
All very true but many other countries have some form of PR and it works well
enough for us not to be afraid of it.
abelard
2019-11-04 10:11:35 UTC
Permalink
Post by Pamela
Post by Fredxx
Post by Pamela
Post by Ian Jackson
Post by Pamela
Sadly the "Alternative Vote" referendum a few years ago showed the
public are not much interested in alternatives to first past the post.
Then I guess we'll be forever doomed to accept TWOTP.
Sadly too often FPTP is not the will of most of the people.
One key benefit is FPTP creates a stable government, albeit at the cost
of minor parties. When it fails to do even that things get messy,
especially as Westminster seems congenitally opposed to coalition
governments.
It's the best system there is. If a minority party draws votes away from
a majority party on a key issue, that issue is taken on board by one or
both major parties. Its a very effective system that keeps minority
parties out of contention yet the issues they raise get taken on board.
The exception where things get messy is where major parties go against
the will of the people or worst still underestimate the will of the
people and call a referendum that returns the wrong result.
All very true but many other countries have some form of PR and it works well
enough for us not to be afraid of it.
cannibalism has worked well for many societies

fptp has worked better
--
www.abelard.org
Vidcapper
2019-11-04 15:07:45 UTC
Permalink
Post by abelard
Post by Pamela
All very true but many other countries have some form of PR and it works well
enough for us not to be afraid of it.
cannibalism has worked well for many societies
Strawman
Post by abelard
fptp has worked better
But not recently...
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham
abelard
2019-11-04 17:28:21 UTC
Permalink
Post by Vidcapper
Post by abelard
Post by Pamela
All very true but many other countries have some form of PR and it works well
enough for us not to be afraid of it.
cannibalism has worked well for many societies
Strawman
Post by abelard
fptp has worked better
But not recently...
and your version of 'recently' is?

and then you can try 'not better'
--
www.abelard.org
Wor Kevin Keegan
2019-11-03 17:26:38 UTC
Permalink
Post by Pamela
Post by Ian Jackson
Post by Pamela
Sadly the "Alternative Vote" referendum a few years ago showed the
public are not much interested in alternatives to first past the post.
Then I guess we'll be forever doomed to accept TWOTP.
Sadly too often FPTP is not the will of most of the people.
Since when do you care about the will of most of the people?
--
Quis custodiet ipsos custodes?
abelard
2019-11-02 22:12:50 UTC
Permalink
On 2 Nov 2019 19:05:21 GMT, Stephen Cole
Post by Stephen Cole
. You heard it here
first, folks!
'we' hear it every time a small party is losing support

proportional rep is for idiots and losers...literally
--
www.abelard.org
The Natural Philosopher
2019-11-03 10:01:46 UTC
Permalink
Post by abelard
On 2 Nov 2019 19:05:21 GMT, Stephen Cole
Post by Stephen Cole
. You heard it here
first, folks!
'we' hear it every time a small party is losing support
proportional rep is for idiots and losers...literally
Indeed. Why would any party that has got into power with FPTP want it?
--
All political activity makes complete sense once the proposition that
all government is basically a self-legalising protection racket, is
fully understood.
Vidcapper
2019-11-04 07:05:19 UTC
Permalink
Post by The Natural Philosopher
Indeed. Why would any party that has got into power with FPTP want it?
The Tories may well be in need of it in the years ahead. If they're still
around at all that is.
What makes you think they won't be?
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham
Cursitor Doom
2019-11-04 15:46:43 UTC
Permalink
Post by Vidcapper
Post by The Natural Philosopher
Indeed. Why would any party that has got into power with FPTP want it?
The Tories may well be in need of it in the years ahead. If they're
still around at all that is.
What makes you think they won't be?
Because Brexit has proved to be something of a Tory Party breaker. The
logical thing for Boris to do would be to accept that pact that Nigel
offered, but that would disenfranchise half their MPs and Boris doesn't
want a meaningful Brexit anyway, partly for the same reason: to keep the
Party together. He'll have to live with that decision now and the voters
will let us all know what they think of it.
--
Leave first - THEN negotiate!
Cursitor Doom
2019-11-03 18:47:35 UTC
Permalink
He said that millions of voters would be disenfranchised and their votes
would not matter
Which is precisely what the Lib-Dems are promising if they get in. Why
anyone would vote for such a party that promises to scupper what the
electorate want, and considers such betrayal a virtue, is beyond me. :/
--
Leave first - THEN negotiate!
Ian Jackson
2019-11-03 19:31:38 UTC
Permalink
In message <qpn7c7$vo6$***@dont-email.me>, Cursitor Doom <***@noreply.com>
writes
Post by Cursitor Doom
He said that millions of voters would be disenfranchised and their votes
would not matter
Which is precisely what the Lib-Dems are promising if they get in. Why
anyone would vote for such a party that promises to scupper what the
electorate want, and considers such betrayal a virtue, is beyond me. :/
What they are promising is not difficult to understand. They are
promising that if they are elected, they will revoke A50. That's a main
point in their election manifesto. If they win, it will be by a
democratic decision of majority of the Dec 2019 electorate - and by
revoking A50, they will simply be doing what they promised they would do
in their manifesto.

Do you have a problem with that?
--
Ian
Grik-basstardo®™
2019-11-03 20:20:17 UTC
Permalink
On Sun, 3 Nov 2019 19:31:38 +0000, Ian Jackson
Post by Ian Jackson
writes
Post by Cursitor Doom
He said that millions of voters would be disenfranchised and their votes
would not matter
Which is precisely what the Lib-Dems are promising if they get in. Why
anyone would vote for such a party that promises to scupper what the
electorate want, and considers such betrayal a virtue, is beyond me. :/
What they are promising is not difficult to understand. They are
promising that if they are elected, they will revoke A50. That's a main
point in their election manifesto. If they win, it will be by a
democratic decision of majority of the Dec 2019 electorate - and by
revoking A50, they will simply be doing what they promised they would do
in their manifesto.
Do you have a problem with that?
The problem is obvious. The Lib Dems are unelectable as a party.
Therefore such 'promises' are meaningless.
Peeler
2019-11-03 20:42:13 UTC
Permalink
On Sun, 03 Nov 2019 12:20:17 -0800, clinically insane, pedophilic, serbian
bitch Razovic, the resident psychopath of sci and scj and Usenet's famous
sexual cripple, making an ass of herself as "Grik-basstardo®™", farted
Post by Grik-basstardo®™
Post by Ian Jackson
Do you have a problem with that?
The problem is obvious.
YOUR problem is obvious, you clinically insane pedophilic gay nazoid!
--
Pedophilic dreckserb Razovic answering a question whether there
is any "meaningful" debate to lower the age of consent:
"If there isn't, there should be."
MID: <ZAMUE.174724$***@usenetxs.com>
Stephen Cole
2019-11-04 07:40:35 UTC
Permalink
Post by Grik-basstardo®™
On Sun, 3 Nov 2019 19:31:38 +0000
Post by Ian Jackson
Post by Cursitor Doom
He said that millions of voters would be disenfranchised and their
votes would not matter
Which is precisely what the Lib-Dems are promising if they get in.
Why anyone would vote for such a party that promises to scupper what
the electorate want, and considers such betrayal a virtue, is beyond
me. :/
What they are promising is not difficult to understand. They are
promising that if they are elected, they will revoke A50. That's a
main point in their election manifesto. If they win, it will be by a
democratic decision of majority of the Dec 2019 electorate - and by
revoking A50, they will simply be doing what they promised they would
do in their manifesto.
Do you have a problem with that?
Yes, because it isn't a two-way decision. If the LDs were to form a
government, it would not be likely to be on the basis of more than 40%
of the votes cast, which could well be far fewer than the number who
voted to invoke Article 50.
It would be utterly immoral for them to revoke unless they received
more votes than 17.4 million, and it's a long time since a party
managed that in a GE.
Just FYI; there’s no such thing as morals. All there is is the law, and
nowhere in the law does it say that the referendum result of 2016 was the
absolute last word on the matter. Indeed, the law actually states that the
referendum was merely advisory, so can quite properly be completely
ignored.
--
M0TEY // STC
www.twitter.com/ukradioamateur
Joe
2019-11-04 09:05:24 UTC
Permalink
On 4 Nov 2019 07:40:35 GMT
Post by Stephen Cole
Just FYI; there’s no such thing as morals.
Don't be silly: morals are the survival behaviour of a culture,
therefore one of the first things denigrated when trying to kill a
culture.
--
Joe
Brian Reay
2019-11-04 09:19:40 UTC
Permalink
Post by Joe
On 4 Nov 2019 07:40:35 GMT
Post by Stephen Cole
Just FYI; there’s no such thing as morals.
Don't be silly: morals are the survival behaviour of a culture,
therefore one of the first things denigrated when trying to kill a
culture.
Steve wants to kill a culture where those who work, take responsibility for
theirselves and their families, act responsibly etc and replace it with
his view of utopia- where the lazy under achievers are rewarded. Why do
you think he supports Corbyn?
Stephen Cole
2019-11-04 09:45:01 UTC
Permalink
Post by Brian Reay
Post by Joe
On 4 Nov 2019 07:40:35 GMT
Post by Stephen Cole
Just FYI; there’s no such thing as morals.
Don't be silly: morals are the survival behaviour of a culture,
therefore one of the first things denigrated when trying to kill a
culture.
Steve wants to kill a culture where those who work, take responsibility for
theirselves and their families, act responsibly etc and replace it with
his view of utopia- where the lazy under achievers are rewarded. Why do
you think he supports Corbyn?
Change is coming, Brian. Brace yourself for Land Value Tax, OM! Oof!
--
M0TEY // STC
www.twitter.com/ukradioamateur
Stephen Cole
2019-11-04 09:45:01 UTC
Permalink
Post by Joe
On 4 Nov 2019 07:40:35 GMT
Post by Stephen Cole
Just FYI; there’s no such thing as morals.
Don't be silly: morals are the survival behaviour of a culture,
therefore one of the first things denigrated when trying to kill a
culture.
Don’t be soft in the head. Morals are a human construct rather than
immutable laws of the Universe. They don’t exist, in any tangible way. The
law does, though, and the law says that the 2016 referendum result is
legally meaningless. HTH.
--
M0TEY // STC
www.twitter.com/ukradioamateur
Ian Jackson
2019-11-04 10:54:47 UTC
Permalink
Post by Stephen Cole
Post by Joe
On 4 Nov 2019 07:40:35 GMT
Post by Stephen Cole
Just FYI; there’s no such thing as morals.
Don't be silly: morals are the survival behaviour of a culture,
therefore one of the first things denigrated when trying to kill a
culture.
Don’t be soft in the head. Morals are a human construct rather than
immutable laws of the Universe. They don’t exist, in any tangible way. The
law does, though, and the law says that the 2016 referendum result is
legally meaningless. HTH.
Not only legally meaningless, but arguably to some extent morally - as a
lot of Leavers voted mainly to express their dissatisfaction with their
lot in life, much of which has little to do with our EU membership.

I still keep hearing Brexit in-phoners complaining about the
Conservative's programme of austerity, and general lack of support for
the deprived areas in 'The North'. I have a feeling that they will
continue to be taken in by all that money that's suddenly become
available under Boris's administration - but I guess that this is
essentially dependent on him retaining his premiership in December.
--
Ian
Incubus
2019-11-04 11:05:43 UTC
Permalink
Post by Ian Jackson
Post by Stephen Cole
Post by Joe
On 4 Nov 2019 07:40:35 GMT
Post by Stephen Cole
Just FYI; there’s no such thing as morals.
Don't be silly: morals are the survival behaviour of a culture,
therefore one of the first things denigrated when trying to kill a
culture.
Don’t be soft in the head. Morals are a human construct rather than
immutable laws of the Universe. They don’t exist, in any tangible way. The
law does, though, and the law says that the 2016 referendum result is
legally meaningless. HTH.
Not only legally meaningless, but arguably to some extent morally - as a
lot of Leavers voted mainly to express their dissatisfaction with their
lot in life, much of which has little to do with our EU membership.
So you suppose, claiming the abiliy to divine what people were thinking or
being unduly influenced by silly radio (rental) 'phone ins.
Post by Ian Jackson
I still keep hearing Brexit in-phoners complaining about the
Conservative's programme of austerity, and general lack of support for
the deprived areas in 'The North'. I have a feeling that they will
continue to be taken in by all that money that's suddenly become
available under Boris's administration - but I guess that this is
essentially dependent on him retaining his premiership in December.
What did New Labour do for deprived areas in the North of England besides flood
them with competition for jobs and housing?
The Natural Philosopher
2019-11-04 09:54:04 UTC
Permalink
Post by Joe
On 4 Nov 2019 07:40:35 GMT
Post by Stephen Cole
Just FYI; there’s no such thing as morals.
Don't be silly: morals are the survival behaviour of a culture,
therefore one of the first things denigrated when trying to kill a
culture.
Wot he said.

Morals are the rules by which a successful culture survives.

Encapsulated in religious or emotional claptrap.
--
"Women actually are capable of being far more than the feminists will
let them."
abelard
2019-11-04 10:22:17 UTC
Permalink
Post by Joe
On 4 Nov 2019 07:40:35 GMT
Just FYI; there’s no such thing as morals.
Don't be silly: morals are the survival behaviour of a culture,
therefore one of the first things denigrated when trying to kill a
culture.
indeed, people like cole and agent cob are trying to kill culture
because they know better...

they believe they are 'scientific'...it is often called 'scientism'
to distinguish it from the genuine article


“These tactics are based on an accurate estimation of human frailties
and must lead to success, with almost mathematical certainty.”
[An attitude typical of the psychopath] [41]]
Mein Kampf, p.34
--
www.abelard.org
abelard
2019-11-04 10:07:56 UTC
Permalink
On 4 Nov 2019 07:40:35 GMT, Stephen Cole
Post by Grik-basstardo®™
On Sun, 3 Nov 2019 19:31:38 +0000
Post by Ian Jackson
Post by Cursitor Doom
He said that millions of voters would be disenfranchised and their
votes would not matter
Which is precisely what the Lib-Dems are promising if they get in.
Why anyone would vote for such a party that promises to scupper what
the electorate want, and considers such betrayal a virtue, is beyond
me. :/
What they are promising is not difficult to understand. They are
promising that if they are elected, they will revoke A50. That's a
main point in their election manifesto. If they win, it will be by a
democratic decision of majority of the Dec 2019 electorate - and by
revoking A50, they will simply be doing what they promised they would
do in their manifesto.
Do you have a problem with that?
Yes, because it isn't a two-way decision. If the LDs were to form a
government, it would not be likely to be on the basis of more than 40%
of the votes cast, which could well be far fewer than the number who
voted to invoke Article 50.
It would be utterly immoral for them to revoke unless they received
more votes than 17.4 million, and it's a long time since a party
managed that in a GE.
Just FYI; there’s no such thing as morals.
i can see that is true for you and for any socialist

just as enjoying eating crap, is true for dung beetles

it's all about your relatives
--
www.abelard.org
Vidcapper
2019-11-04 15:11:08 UTC
Permalink
Post by Stephen Cole
Post by Grik-basstardo®™
On Sun, 3 Nov 2019 19:31:38 +0000
It would be utterly immoral for them to revoke unless they received
more votes than 17.4 million, and it's a long time since a party
managed that in a GE.
Just FYI; there’s no such thing as morals. All there is is the law, and
nowhere in the law does it say that the referendum result of 2016 was the
absolute last word on the matter. Indeed, the law actually states that the
referendum was merely advisory, so can quite properly be completely
ignored.
No politician with any realistic hope of actual power says that. Unlike
you, they can foresee the probable consequences of ignoring democracy!
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham
Ian Jackson
2019-11-04 15:57:53 UTC
Permalink
Post by Vidcapper
Post by Stephen Cole
Post by Grik-basstardo®™
On Sun, 3 Nov 2019 19:31:38 +0000
It would be utterly immoral for them to revoke unless they received
more votes than 17.4 million, and it's a long time since a party
managed that in a GE.
Just FYI; there’s no such thing as morals. All there is is the law, and
nowhere in the law does it say that the referendum result of 2016 was the
absolute last word on the matter. Indeed, the law actually states that the
referendum was merely advisory, so can quite properly be completely
ignored.
No politician with any realistic hope of actual power says that. Unlike
you, they can foresee the probable consequences of ignoring democracy!
But fortunately, some MPs can also foresee the consequences of blindly
ploughing ahead with 'democracy' without first at least checking with
the voters that they are fully aware of what is likely to happen as a
result of their 'democratic' decision.
--
Ian
Incubus
2019-11-04 16:19:13 UTC
Permalink
Post by Ian Jackson
Post by Vidcapper
Post by Stephen Cole
Post by Grik-basstardo®™
On Sun, 3 Nov 2019 19:31:38 +0000
It would be utterly immoral for them to revoke unless they received
more votes than 17.4 million, and it's a long time since a party
managed that in a GE.
Just FYI; there’s no such thing as morals. All there is is the law, and
nowhere in the law does it say that the referendum result of 2016 was the
absolute last word on the matter. Indeed, the law actually states that the
referendum was merely advisory, so can quite properly be completely
ignored.
No politician with any realistic hope of actual power says that. Unlike
you, they can foresee the probable consequences of ignoring democracy!
But fortunately, some MPs can also foresee the consequences of blindly
ploughing ahead with 'democracy' without first at least checking with
the voters that they are fully aware of what is likely to happen as a
result of their 'democratic' decision.
All the concerns, some real and others imagined, were put to the public before
the rerendum. This isn't Word for Windows where the user has to be asked to
confirm their choice.
Ian Jackson
2019-11-04 16:52:12 UTC
Permalink
Post by Incubus
Post by Ian Jackson
Post by Vidcapper
Post by Stephen Cole
Post by Grik-basstardo®™
On Sun, 3 Nov 2019 19:31:38 +0000
It would be utterly immoral for them to revoke unless they received
more votes than 17.4 million, and it's a long time since a party
managed that in a GE.
Just FYI; there’s no such thing as morals. All there is is the law, and
nowhere in the law does it say that the referendum result of 2016 was the
absolute last word on the matter. Indeed, the law actually states that the
referendum was merely advisory, so can quite properly be completely
ignored.
No politician with any realistic hope of actual power says that. Unlike
you, they can foresee the probable consequences of ignoring democracy!
But fortunately, some MPs can also foresee the consequences of blindly
ploughing ahead with 'democracy' without first at least checking with
the voters that they are fully aware of what is likely to happen as a
result of their 'democratic' decision.
All the concerns, some real and others imagined, were put to the public before
the rerendum. This isn't Word for Windows where the user has to be asked to
confirm their choice.
A better analogy would be if the Word For Windows confirmation message
said "Select OK to proceed with your choice. If you do select OK, your
C-drive will also be re-formatted".
--
Ian
Incubus
2019-11-04 16:56:33 UTC
Permalink
Post by Ian Jackson
Post by Incubus
Post by Ian Jackson
Post by Vidcapper
Post by Stephen Cole
Post by Grik-basstardo®™
On Sun, 3 Nov 2019 19:31:38 +0000
It would be utterly immoral for them to revoke unless they received
more votes than 17.4 million, and it's a long time since a party
managed that in a GE.
Just FYI; there’s no such thing as morals. All there is is the law, and
nowhere in the law does it say that the referendum result of 2016 was the
absolute last word on the matter. Indeed, the law actually states that the
referendum was merely advisory, so can quite properly be completely
ignored.
No politician with any realistic hope of actual power says that. Unlike
you, they can foresee the probable consequences of ignoring democracy!
But fortunately, some MPs can also foresee the consequences of blindly
ploughing ahead with 'democracy' without first at least checking with
the voters that they are fully aware of what is likely to happen as a
result of their 'democratic' decision.
All the concerns, some real and others imagined, were put to the public before
the rerendum. This isn't Word for Windows where the user has to be asked to
confirm their choice.
A better analogy would be if the Word For Windows confirmation message
said "Select OK to proceed with your choice. If you do select OK, your
C-drive will also be re-formatted".
That's not a remotely accurate analogy. Your filesystem has obviously become
excessively fragmented.
The Todal
2019-11-05 10:41:43 UTC
Permalink
Post by Incubus
Post by Ian Jackson
Post by Incubus
Post by Ian Jackson
Post by Vidcapper
Post by Stephen Cole
Post by Grik-basstardo®™
On Sun, 3 Nov 2019 19:31:38 +0000
It would be utterly immoral for them to revoke unless they received
more votes than 17.4 million, and it's a long time since a party
managed that in a GE.
Just FYI; there’s no such thing as morals. All there is is the law, and
nowhere in the law does it say that the referendum result of 2016 was the
absolute last word on the matter. Indeed, the law actually states that the
referendum was merely advisory, so can quite properly be completely
ignored.
No politician with any realistic hope of actual power says that. Unlike
you, they can foresee the probable consequences of ignoring democracy!
But fortunately, some MPs can also foresee the consequences of blindly
ploughing ahead with 'democracy' without first at least checking with
the voters that they are fully aware of what is likely to happen as a
result of their 'democratic' decision.
All the concerns, some real and others imagined, were put to the public before
the rerendum. This isn't Word for Windows where the user has to be asked to
confirm their choice.
A better analogy would be if the Word For Windows confirmation message
said "Select OK to proceed with your choice. If you do select OK, your
C-drive will also be re-formatted".
That's not a remotely accurate analogy. Your filesystem has obviously become
excessively fragmented.
A better analogy would be when you use a reliable Windows computer and
you are offered a free upgrade to Windows 10. You are told that the
benefits will be great, even if some programs might no longer work. You
proceed with the upgrade, optimistic that it will be worthwhile. Various
programs that you know and like and that are no longer marketed, then
stop working or work erratically. You find that there are no sound
drivers for your machine that work with Windows 10. You then spend your
time trying to find workarounds, and eventually have to decide whether
to uninstall Windows 10.

The analogy makes sense inasmuch as the sales people who marketed Leave
were sure that they had an excellent product, but they do not know how
it will affect each and every industry, employer or individual or each
and every city throughout the nation. They simply trust that there are
enough clever people to solve any problems that might arise. Solving the
problems isn't the job of Boris Johnson or Jacob Rees Mogg or Nigel
Farage. They are merely salesmen.
Vidcapper
2019-11-05 07:00:14 UTC
Permalink
Post by Ian Jackson
Post by Vidcapper
Post by Stephen Cole
Post by Grik-basstardo®™
On Sun, 3 Nov 2019 19:31:38 +0000
It would be utterly immoral for them to revoke unless they received
more votes than 17.4 million, and it's a long time since a party
managed that in a GE.
Just FYI; there’s no such thing as morals. All there is is the law, and
nowhere in the law does it say that the referendum result of 2016 was the
absolute last word on the matter. Indeed, the law actually states that the
referendum was merely advisory, so can quite properly be completely
ignored.
No politician with any realistic hope of actual power says that.
Unlike you, they can foresee the probable consequences of ignoring
democracy!
But fortunately, some MPs can also foresee the consequences of blindly
ploughing ahead with 'democracy' without first at least checking with
the voters that they are fully aware of what is likely to happen as a
result of their 'democratic' decision.
At least with a 2nd referendum, some legitimacy can be claimed - unlike
Mr Cole's 'I don't want Brexit so fuck what the electorate decided'
attitude...
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham
Ian Jackson
2019-11-05 07:55:46 UTC
Permalink
Post by Vidcapper
Post by Ian Jackson
Post by Vidcapper
Post by Stephen Cole
Post by Grik-basstardo®™
On Sun, 3 Nov 2019 19:31:38 +0000
It would be utterly immoral for them to revoke unless they received
more votes than 17.4 million, and it's a long time since a party
managed that in a GE.
Just FYI; there’s no such thing as morals. All there is is the law, and
nowhere in the law does it say that the referendum result of 2016 was the
absolute last word on the matter. Indeed, the law actually states that the
referendum was merely advisory, so can quite properly be completely
ignored.
No politician with any realistic hope of actual power says that.
Unlike you, they can foresee the probable consequences of ignoring
democracy!
But fortunately, some MPs can also foresee the consequences of blindly
ploughing ahead with 'democracy' without first at least checking with
the voters that they are fully aware of what is likely to happen as a
result of their 'democratic' decision.
At least with a 2nd referendum, some legitimacy can be claimed - unlike
Mr Cole's 'I don't want Brexit so fuck what the electorate decided'
attitude...
I don't think that that is his attitude at all. I've never heard any of
the Remain persuasion simply wanting to ignore the result of the
referendum. It's always been "It's a bad result that's wrong for the UK
- and many of the voters based their decision on incorrect and
misleading information - and sometimes on downright lies. As we now know
far more about the real pros and cons, the electorate should be allowed
to reconsider their original decision, and to vote in a second
referendum".
--
Ian
Grikbassturdo®™
2019-11-05 13:42:40 UTC
Permalink
On Tue, 5 Nov 2019 07:55:46 +0000, Ian Jackson
Post by Ian Jackson
Post by Vidcapper
Post by Ian Jackson
Post by Vidcapper
Post by Grik-basstardo®™
On Sun, 3 Nov 2019 19:31:38 +0000
It would be utterly immoral for them to revoke unless they received
more votes than 17.4 million, and it's a long time since a party
managed that in a GE.
Just FYI; there’s no such thing as morals. All there is is the law, and
nowhere in the law does it say that the referendum result of 2016 was the
absolute last word on the matter. Indeed, the law actually states that the
referendum was merely advisory, so can quite properly be completely
ignored.
No politician with any realistic hope of actual power says that.
Unlike you, they can foresee the probable consequences of ignoring
democracy!
But fortunately, some MPs can also foresee the consequences of blindly
ploughing ahead with 'democracy' without first at least checking with
the voters that they are fully aware of what is likely to happen as a
result of their 'democratic' decision.
At least with a 2nd referendum, some legitimacy can be claimed - unlike
Mr Cole's 'I don't want Brexit so fuck what the electorate decided'
attitude...
I don't think that that is his attitude at all. I've never heard any of
the Remain persuasion simply wanting to ignore the result of the
referendum.
That has ALWAYS been the attitude of Remain MPs in Parliament.
Post by Ian Jackson
It's always been "It's a bad result that's wrong for the UK
- and many of the voters based their decision on incorrect and
misleading information - and sometimes on downright lies. As we now know
far more about the real pros and cons, the electorate should be allowed
to reconsider their original decision, and to vote in a second
referendum".
What would be the point? When the Conservatives are re-elected with a
large majority, they will simply ignore the result.
Peeler
2019-11-05 14:33:05 UTC
Permalink
On Tue, 05 Nov 2019 05:42:40 -0800, clinically insane, pedophilic, serbian
bitch Razovic, the resident psychopath of sci and scj and Usenet's famous
Post by Grikbassturdo®™
Post by Ian Jackson
I don't think that that is his attitude at all. I've never heard any of
the Remain persuasion simply wanting to ignore the result of the
referendum.
That has ALWAYS been the attitude of Remain MPs in Parliament.
ONLY in your psychopathic head, serb peasant!
Post by Grikbassturdo®™
Post by Ian Jackson
It's always been "It's a bad result that's wrong for the UK
- and many of the voters based their decision on incorrect and
misleading information - and sometimes on downright lies. As we now know
far more about the real pros and cons, the electorate should be allowed
to reconsider their original decision, and to vote in a second
referendum".
What would be the point? When the Conservatives are re-elected with a
large majority, they will simply ignore the result.
ONLY in your psychopathic head, serb peasant!
--
Pedophilic dreckserb Razovic arguing in favour of pedophilia, again:
"That [referring to the term "consenting adults"] is just an outdated legal
construct. Are you telling me that a 13-year old who spends 15 hours a day
on Facebook is incapable of consent?"
MID: <Og0VE.1298131$***@usenetxs.com>
Cursitor Doom
2019-11-04 15:51:24 UTC
Permalink
Post by Stephen Cole
Just FYI; there’s no such thing as morals. All there is is the law, and
nowhere in the law does it say that the referendum result of 2016 was
the absolute last word on the matter. Indeed, the law actually states
that the referendum was merely advisory, so can quite properly be
completely ignored.
Another straw-clutcher.
--
Leave first - THEN negotiate!
Roger Hayter
2019-11-04 16:35:47 UTC
Permalink
Post by Cursitor Doom
Just FYI; there's no such thing as morals. All there is is the law, and
nowhere in the law does it say that the referendum result of 2016 was
the absolute last word on the matter. Indeed, the law actually states
that the referendum was merely advisory, so can quite properly be
completely ignored.
Another straw-clutcher.
Not at all. The old referendum result simply doesn't have the deep
mystical significance some people seem to give it. Granted as a
political gesture to the extreme right of the Tory party, advisory in
nature, borderline result on an average turnout. And more than three
years old. It's history. Not a central part of Our Island History.
Not immutable, or even very important. Not central to our
constitutional form of government. We all make mistakes.
--
Roger Hayter
abelard
2019-11-04 17:34:28 UTC
Permalink
Post by Roger Hayter
Post by Cursitor Doom
Just FYI; there's no such thing as morals. All there is is the law, and
nowhere in the law does it say that the referendum result of 2016 was
the absolute last word on the matter. Indeed, the law actually states
that the referendum was merely advisory, so can quite properly be
completely ignored.
Another straw-clutcher.
Not at all. The old referendum result simply doesn't have the deep
mystical significance some people seem to give it.
the alternate being the 'mysticism' that drives revolutions
Post by Roger Hayter
Granted as a
political gesture to the extreme right of the Tory party, advisory in
nature, borderline result on an average turnout. And more than three
years old. It's history. Not a central part of Our Island History.
Not immutable, or even very important. Not central to our
constitutional form of government. We all make mistakes.
--
www.abelard.org
nightjar
2019-11-03 19:48:36 UTC
Permalink
Post by Cursitor Doom
He said that millions of voters would be disenfranchised and their votes
would not matter
Which is precisely what the Lib-Dems are promising if they get in. Why
anyone would vote for such a party that promises to scupper what the
electorate want, and considers such betrayal a virtue, is beyond me. :/
The electorate stopped wanting it around mid 2017 and the majority view
now is that voting to leave was a mistake.
--
Colin Bignell
abelard
2019-11-03 19:59:03 UTC
Permalink
Post by nightjar
Post by Cursitor Doom
He said that millions of voters would be disenfranchised and their votes
would not matter
Which is precisely what the Lib-Dems are promising if they get in. Why
anyone would vote for such a party that promises to scupper what the
electorate want, and considers such betrayal a virtue, is beyond me. :/
The electorate stopped wanting it around mid 2017 and the majority view
now is that voting to leave was a mistake.
cwadimene
--
www.abelard.org
Vidcapper
2019-11-04 06:53:49 UTC
Permalink
Post by abelard
Post by nightjar
The electorate stopped wanting it around mid 2017 and the majority view
now is that voting to leave was a mistake.
cwadimene
Huh?
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham
nightjar
2019-11-04 12:12:14 UTC
Permalink
Post by abelard
Post by nightjar
Post by Cursitor Doom
He said that millions of voters would be disenfranchised and their votes
would not matter
Which is precisely what the Lib-Dems are promising if they get in. Why
anyone would vote for such a party that promises to scupper what the
electorate want, and considers such betrayal a virtue, is beyond me. :/
The electorate stopped wanting it around mid 2017 and the majority view
now is that voting to leave was a mistake.
cwadimene
Which means what?
--
Colin Bignell
charles
2019-11-03 20:36:13 UTC
Permalink
Post by nightjar
Post by Cursitor Doom
He said that millions of voters would be disenfranchised and their
votes would not matter
Which is precisely what the Lib-Dems are promising if they get in. Why
anyone would vote for such a party that promises to scupper what the
electorate want, and considers such betrayal a virtue, is beyond me. :/
The electorate stopped wanting it around mid 2017 and the majority view
now is that voting to leave was a mistake.
even if the electorate wanted it - we all want things that are necessarily
good for us.
--
from KT24 in Surrey, England
"I'd rather die of exhaustion than die of boredom" Thomas Carlyle
Al
2019-11-03 23:32:40 UTC
Permalink
Post by nightjar
The electorate stopped wanting it around mid 2017 and the majority view
now is that voting to leave was a mistake.
You could have fooled me! IME it's gone the other way - certainly in the
last year or so anyway and I've not met one single solitary person who's
gone from Leave to Remain.
I've had it with Labour and the Tories. I've always voted Labour but have
only recently realised what a mug I've been. I'm going to give the Brexit
Party my vote this time cos Nigel truly believes in Britain - and that
makes for a very refreshing change from all the others.
Rod Speed
2019-11-04 03:00:06 UTC
Permalink
Post by Al
Post by nightjar
The electorate stopped wanting it around mid 2017 and the majority view
now is that voting to leave was a mistake.
You could have fooled me! IME it's gone the other way - certainly in the
last year or so anyway and I've not met one single solitary person who's
gone from Leave to Remain.
I've had it with Labour and the Tories. I've always voted Labour but have
only recently realised what a mug I've been. I'm going to give the Brexit
Party my vote this time cos Nigel truly believes in Britain - and that
makes for a very refreshing change from all the others.
You're wasting your vote because there is no chance that TBP will
get even one MP elected and you are increasing the chance of
getting one a Labour or LD getting elected because most leavers
will be voting Tory this time around.
Peeler
2019-11-04 09:51:34 UTC
Permalink
On Mon, 4 Nov 2019 14:00:06 +1100, cantankerous trolling geezer Rodent
Post by Rod Speed
You're wasting your vote because there is no chance that TBP will
It's NONE of yours what he will vote; nor is ANY of this topic ANY of yours,
you obnoxious, cretinous, trolling senile pest from Australia!
--
FredXX to Rot Speed:
"You are still an idiot and an embarrassment to your country. No wonder
we shipped the likes of you out of the British Isles. Perhaps stupidity
and criminality is inherited after all?"
Message-ID: <plbf76$gfl$***@dont-email.me>
nightjar
2019-11-04 12:18:02 UTC
Permalink
Post by Al
Post by nightjar
The electorate stopped wanting it around mid 2017 and the majority view
now is that voting to leave was a mistake.
You could have fooled me! IME it's gone the other way - certainly in the
last year or so anyway...
Then you haven't been following the polls.

...
Post by Al
I've had it with Labour and the Tories. I've always voted Labour but have
only recently realised what a mug I've been. I'm going to give the Brexit
Party my vote this time
The only thing TBP is likely to do is to make it much less likely that
the Conservatives form the next government, which is not a bad thing
IMO, as any of the others might stop Brexit.
Post by Al
cos Nigel truly believes in Britain - and that
makes for a very refreshing change from all the others.
Nigel believes in whatever keeps Nigel in the news.
--
Colin Bignell
Vidcapper
2019-11-04 06:53:21 UTC
Permalink
Post by charles
Post by nightjar
Post by Cursitor Doom
He said that millions of voters would be disenfranchised and their
votes would not matter
Which is precisely what the Lib-Dems are promising if they get in. Why
anyone would vote for such a party that promises to scupper what the
electorate want, and considers such betrayal a virtue, is beyond me. :/
The electorate stopped wanting it around mid 2017 and the majority view
now is that voting to leave was a mistake.
even if the electorate wanted it - we all want things that are necessarily
good for us.
We are *not* children, so the choice must be ours, not that of a few
hundred MP's!
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham
abelard
2019-11-04 10:12:47 UTC
Permalink
Post by Vidcapper
Post by charles
Post by nightjar
Post by Cursitor Doom
He said that millions of voters would be disenfranchised and their
votes would not matter
Which is precisely what the Lib-Dems are promising if they get in. Why
anyone would vote for such a party that promises to scupper what the
electorate want, and considers such betrayal a virtue, is beyond me. :/
The electorate stopped wanting it around mid 2017 and the majority view
now is that voting to leave was a mistake.
even if the electorate wanted it - we all want things that are necessarily
good for us.
We are *not* children, so the choice must be ours, not that of a few
hundred MP's!
that's all very well, but dictatorial cults like socialism wants
children....they are easier to control
--
www.abelard.org
Vidcapper
2019-11-04 06:50:32 UTC
Permalink
Post by nightjar
Post by Cursitor Doom
He said that millions of voters would be disenfranchised and their votes
would not matter
Which is precisely what the Lib-Dems are promising if they get in. Why
anyone would vote for such a party that promises to scupper what the
electorate want, and considers such betrayal a virtue, is beyond me. :/
The electorate stopped wanting it around mid 2017 and the majority view
now is that voting to leave was a mistake.
Is that your opinion, or did we have another referendum that I missed? :p
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham
nightjar
2019-11-04 12:10:59 UTC
Permalink
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Cursitor Doom
He said that millions of voters would be disenfranchised and their votes
would not matter
Which is precisely what the Lib-Dems are promising if they get in. Why
anyone would vote for such a party that promises to scupper what the
electorate want, and considers such betrayal a virtue, is beyond me. :/
The electorate stopped wanting it around mid 2017 and the majority view
now is that voting to leave was a mistake.
Is that your opinion, or did we have another referendum that I missed? :p
It is what the poll show:

https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/brexit-news-latest-britain-against-leaving-eu-as-poll-of-polls-says-most-now-want-to-stay-a4257476.html

https://whatukthinks.org/eu/questions/in-highsight-do-you-think-britain-was-right-or-wrong-to-vote-to-leave-the-eu/

https://whatukthinks.org/eu/questions/if-a-second-eu-referendum-were-held-today-how-would-you-vote/
--
Colin Bignell
Vidcapper
2019-11-04 15:14:31 UTC
Permalink
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Cursitor Doom
He said that millions of voters would be disenfranchised and their votes
would not matter
Which is precisely what the Lib-Dems are promising if they get in. Why
anyone would vote for such a party that promises to scupper what the
electorate want, and considers such betrayal a virtue, is beyond me. :/
The electorate stopped wanting it around mid 2017 and the majority view
now is that voting to leave was a mistake.
Is that your opinion, or did we have another referendum that I missed? :p
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/brexit-news-latest-britain-against-leaving-eu-as-poll-of-polls-says-most-now-want-to-stay-a4257476.html
https://whatukthinks.org/eu/questions/in-highsight-do-you-think-britain-was-right-or-wrong-to-vote-to-leave-the-eu/
https://whatukthinks.org/eu/questions/if-a-second-eu-referendum-were-held-today-how-would-you-vote/
Opinion polls based on a few thousand do not measure up against a
referendum asking the entire electorate!
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham
nightjar
2019-11-04 17:03:07 UTC
Permalink
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Cursitor Doom
He said that millions of voters would be disenfranchised and their votes
would not matter
Which is precisely what the Lib-Dems are promising if they get in. Why
anyone would vote for such a party that promises to scupper what the
electorate want, and considers such betrayal a virtue, is beyond me. :/
The electorate stopped wanting it around mid 2017 and the majority view
now is that voting to leave was a mistake.
Is that your opinion, or did we have another referendum that I missed? :p
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/brexit-news-latest-britain-against-leaving-eu-as-poll-of-polls-says-most-now-want-to-stay-a4257476.html
https://whatukthinks.org/eu/questions/in-highsight-do-you-think-britain-was-right-or-wrong-to-vote-to-leave-the-eu/
https://whatukthinks.org/eu/questions/if-a-second-eu-referendum-were-held-today-how-would-you-vote/
Opinion polls based on a few thousand do not measure up against a
referendum asking the entire electorate!
Statistical sampling is just as accurate as 100% sampling. In some
cases, it is even better. However, I wouldn't object to asking the
electorate again.
--
Colin Bignell
Incubus
2019-11-04 17:11:09 UTC
Permalink
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Cursitor Doom
He said that millions of voters would be disenfranchised and their votes
would not matter
Which is precisely what the Lib-Dems are promising if they get in. Why
anyone would vote for such a party that promises to scupper what the
electorate want, and considers such betrayal a virtue, is beyond me. :/
The electorate stopped wanting it around mid 2017 and the majority view
now is that voting to leave was a mistake.
Is that your opinion, or did we have another referendum that I missed? :p
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/brexit-news-latest-britain-against-leaving-eu-as-poll-of-polls-says-most-now-want-to-stay-a4257476.html
https://whatukthinks.org/eu/questions/in-highsight-do-you-think-britain-was-right-or-wrong-to-vote-to-leave-the-eu/
https://whatukthinks.org/eu/questions/if-a-second-eu-referendum-were-held-today-how-would-you-vote/
Opinion polls based on a few thousand do not measure up against a
referendum asking the entire electorate!
Statistical sampling is just as accurate as 100% sampling. In some
cases, it is even better.
That's patently untrue because polling got the result of the referendum wrong.
Post by nightjar
However, I wouldn't object to asking the
electorate again.
Of course you wouldn't but not for any reasons concerned with accuracy.
nightjar
2019-11-04 19:49:12 UTC
Permalink
Post by Incubus
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Cursitor Doom
He said that millions of voters would be disenfranchised and their votes
would not matter
Which is precisely what the Lib-Dems are promising if they get in. Why
anyone would vote for such a party that promises to scupper what the
electorate want, and considers such betrayal a virtue, is beyond me. :/
The electorate stopped wanting it around mid 2017 and the majority view
now is that voting to leave was a mistake.
Is that your opinion, or did we have another referendum that I missed? :p
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/brexit-news-latest-britain-against-leaving-eu-as-poll-of-polls-says-most-now-want-to-stay-a4257476.html
https://whatukthinks.org/eu/questions/in-highsight-do-you-think-britain-was-right-or-wrong-to-vote-to-leave-the-eu/
https://whatukthinks.org/eu/questions/if-a-second-eu-referendum-were-held-today-how-would-you-vote/
Opinion polls based on a few thousand do not measure up against a
referendum asking the entire electorate!
Statistical sampling is just as accurate as 100% sampling. In some
cases, it is even better.
That's patently untrue because polling got the result of the referendum wrong.
They showed a very close contest and, while most suggested that remain
was more likely to win, the number of undecided was always more than
enough to swing it either way.
Post by Incubus
Post by nightjar
However, I wouldn't object to asking the
electorate again.
Of course you wouldn't but not for any reasons concerned with accuracy.
If it still the will of the majority to leave, then now is the time to
prove it.
--
Colin Bignell
The Marquis Saint Evremonde
2019-11-04 20:22:18 UTC
Permalink
Post by nightjar
Post by Incubus
That's patently untrue because polling got the result of the
referendum wrong.
They showed a very close contest and, while most suggested that remain
was more likely to win,
In other words, they were wrong.
--
Evremonde
Rod Speed
2019-11-04 20:16:16 UTC
Permalink
Post by Incubus
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Cursitor Doom
He said that millions of voters would be disenfranchised and their votes
would not matter
Which is precisely what the Lib-Dems are promising if they get in. Why
anyone would vote for such a party that promises to scupper what the
electorate want, and considers such betrayal a virtue, is beyond me. :/
The electorate stopped wanting it around mid 2017 and the majority view
now is that voting to leave was a mistake.
Is that your opinion, or did we have another referendum that I missed? :p
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/brexit-news-latest-britain-against-leaving-eu-as-poll-of-polls-says-most-now-want-to-stay-a4257476.html
https://whatukthinks.org/eu/questions/in-highsight-do-you-think-britain-was-right-or-wrong-to-vote-to-leave-the-eu/
https://whatukthinks.org/eu/questions/if-a-second-eu-referendum-were-held-today-how-would-you-vote/
Opinion polls based on a few thousand do not measure up against a
referendum asking the entire electorate!
Statistical sampling is just as accurate as 100% sampling. In some
cases, it is even better.
That's patently untrue because polling got the result of the referendum wrong.
They showed a very close contest and, while most suggested that remain was
more likely to win, the number of undecided was always more than enough to
swing it either way.
Just as true of the current polls you wave around.
Post by Incubus
Post by nightjar
However, I wouldn't object to asking the electorate again.
Of course you wouldn't but not for any reasons concerned with accuracy.
If it still the will of the majority to leave, then now is the time to
prove it.
Nope, that was proven already. With such a difficult policy to implement,
its never going to be feasible to have another referendum every fucking
week.
Peeler
2019-11-04 21:24:26 UTC
Permalink
On Tue, 5 Nov 2019 07:16:16 +1100, cantankerous trolling geezer Rodent
Speed, the auto-contradicting senile sociopath, blabbered, again:

<FLUSH the trolling senile Ozzie pest's latest trollshit>

Shut your senile gob and jump back into your roo's pouch you escaped from,
senile Rodent!
--
***@down.the.farm about senile Rot Speed:
"This is like having a conversation with someone with brain damage."
MID: <ps10v9$uo2$***@gioia.aioe.org>
Vidcapper
2019-11-05 07:05:14 UTC
Permalink
Post by nightjar
Post by Incubus
That's patently untrue because polling got the result of the
referendum wrong.
They showed a very close contest and, while most suggested that remain
was more likely to win, the number of undecided was always more than
enough to swing it either way.
Were they actually undecided, or 'don't give a shit either way'... :p
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham
nightjar
2019-11-05 09:07:25 UTC
Permalink
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Incubus
That's patently untrue because polling got the result of the
referendum wrong.
They showed a very close contest and, while most suggested that remain
was more likely to win, the number of undecided was always more than
enough to swing it either way.
Were they actually undecided, or 'don't give a shit either way'... :p
Evidently not, or the result would have been to remain. However, it
seems that there are far fewer undecided people today. One recent poll
gave the result that, if there were to be another referendum, 51% would
vote remain, 46% would vote leave with only 3% undecided. Unlike the
2015 polls, the undecided there are less than the difference between the
two options.
--
Colin Bignell
Rod Speed
2019-11-05 09:44:55 UTC
Permalink
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Incubus
That's patently untrue because polling got the result of the referendum wrong.
They showed a very close contest and, while most suggested that remain
was more likely to win, the number of undecided was always more than
enough to swing it either way.
Were they actually undecided, or 'don't give a shit either way'... :p
Evidently not, or the result would have been to remain. However, it seems
that there are far fewer undecided people today. One recent poll gave the
result that, if there were to be another referendum, 51% would vote
remain, 46% would vote leave with only 3% undecided.
Pity about the other polls.
Unlike the 2015 polls, the undecided there are less than the difference
between the two options.
Pity about the other polls.
Peeler
2019-11-05 10:14:11 UTC
Permalink
On Tue, 5 Nov 2019 20:44:55 +1100, cantankerous trolling geezer Rodent
Post by Rod Speed
Pity about the other polls.
Pity about you being a filthy troll!
--
Keema Nam addressing nym-shifting senile Rodent:
"You are now exposed as a liar, as well as an ignorant troll."
"MID: <***@news.giganews.com>"
Vidcapper
2019-11-05 15:48:55 UTC
Permalink
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Incubus
That's patently untrue because polling got the result of the referendum wrong.
They showed a very close contest and, while most suggested that remain
was more likely to win, the number of undecided was always more than
enough to swing it either way.
Were they actually undecided, or 'don't give a shit either way'... :p
Evidently not, or the result would have been to remain. However, it
seems that there are far fewer undecided people today. One recent poll
gave the result that, if there were to be another referendum, 51% would
vote remain, 46% would vote leave with only 3% undecided. Unlike the
2015 polls, the undecided there are less than the difference between the
two options.
I think we're getting 'undecided' confused with 'abstainers' here.
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham
nightjar
2019-11-05 18:58:41 UTC
Permalink
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Incubus
That's patently untrue because polling got the result of the referendum wrong.
They showed a very close contest and, while most suggested that remain
was more likely to win, the number of undecided was always more than
enough to swing it either way.
Were they actually undecided, or 'don't give a shit either way'... :p
Evidently not, or the result would have been to remain. However, it
seems that there are far fewer undecided people today. One recent poll
gave the result that, if there were to be another referendum, 51% would
vote remain, 46% would vote leave with only 3% undecided. Unlike the
2015 polls, the undecided there are less than the difference between the
two options.
I think we're getting 'undecided' confused with 'abstainers' here.
Nope. The percentages given are for those people who say they would
vote. Would not vote is a separate category which is not normally included.
--
Colin Bignell
Rod Speed
2019-11-05 19:28:49 UTC
Permalink
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Incubus
That's patently untrue because polling got the result of the referendum wrong.
They showed a very close contest and, while most suggested that remain
was more likely to win, the number of undecided was always more than
enough to swing it either way.
Were they actually undecided, or 'don't give a shit either way'... :p
Evidently not, or the result would have been to remain. However, it
seems that there are far fewer undecided people today. One recent poll
gave the result that, if there were to be another referendum, 51% would
vote remain, 46% would vote leave with only 3% undecided. Unlike the
2015 polls, the undecided there are less than the difference between the
two options.
I think we're getting 'undecided' confused with 'abstainers' here.
Nope. The percentages given are for those people who say they would vote.
Would not vote is a separate category which is not normally included.
And that’s another reason why polls are so hopeless
at predicting referendum and election results.
Peeler
2019-11-05 19:52:58 UTC
Permalink
On Wed, 6 Nov 2019 06:28:49 +1100, cantankerous trolling geezer Rodent
Post by Rod Speed
And that’s another reason why polls are so hopeless
at predicting referendum and election results.
NO poll is as utterly hopeless as you are, you nym-shifting, trolling piece
of senile Ozzie shit!
--
FredXX to Rot Speed:
"You are still an idiot and an embarrassment to your country. No wonder
we shipped the likes of you out of the British Isles. Perhaps stupidity
and criminality is inherited after all?"
Message-ID: <plbf76$gfl$***@dont-email.me>
pensive hamster
2019-11-05 08:48:18 UTC
Permalink
[...]
Post by Incubus
Post by nightjar
However, I wouldn't object to asking the
electorate again.
Of course you wouldn't but not for any reasons concerned with accuracy.
While it may be accurate to say that 51.9% of voters supported
Brexit 3 and a bit years ago, there appears to be no data about
what percentage of voters currently support Brexit, nor much data
about what Brexit actually is, nor about what percentage of voters
might support an opportunity to state their current view on Brexit.

If you have old data, why on earth would you want accurate current
data?
abelard
2019-11-04 17:32:24 UTC
Permalink
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Cursitor Doom
He said that millions of voters would be disenfranchised and their votes
would not matter
Which is precisely what the Lib-Dems are promising if they get in. Why
anyone would vote for such a party that promises to scupper what the
electorate want, and considers such betrayal a virtue, is beyond me. :/
The electorate stopped wanting it around mid 2017 and the majority view
now is that voting to leave was a mistake.
Is that your opinion, or did we have another referendum that I missed? :p
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/brexit-news-latest-britain-against-leaving-eu-as-poll-of-polls-says-most-now-want-to-stay-a4257476.html
https://whatukthinks.org/eu/questions/in-highsight-do-you-think-britain-was-right-or-wrong-to-vote-to-leave-the-eu/
https://whatukthinks.org/eu/questions/if-a-second-eu-referendum-were-held-today-how-would-you-vote/
Opinion polls based on a few thousand do not measure up against a
referendum asking the entire electorate!
Statistical sampling is just as accurate as 100% sampling. In some
cases, it is even better.
statements so obviously ridiculous as to seen you back a year or two
Post by nightjar
However, I wouldn't object to asking the
electorate again.
that's because you lost and are probably a member of an extremist cult
--
www.abelard.org
Chris
2019-11-04 23:36:28 UTC
Permalink
Post by abelard
that's because you lost and are probably a member of an extremist cult
He's just one of our regular trolls; ignore him.
abelard
2019-11-05 12:47:21 UTC
Permalink
Post by Chris
Post by abelard
that's because you lost and are probably a member of an extremist cult
He's just one of our regular trolls; ignore him.
remembering them all is a task and a trial
--
www.abelard.org
Rod Speed
2019-11-04 17:49:44 UTC
Permalink
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Cursitor Doom
He said that millions of voters would be disenfranchised and their votes
would not matter
Which is precisely what the Lib-Dems are promising if they get in. Why
anyone would vote for such a party that promises to scupper what the
electorate want, and considers such betrayal a virtue, is beyond me. :/
The electorate stopped wanting it around mid 2017 and the majority view
now is that voting to leave was a mistake.
Is that your opinion, or did we have another referendum that I missed? :p
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/brexit-news-latest-britain-against-leaving-eu-as-poll-of-polls-says-most-now-want-to-stay-a4257476.html
https://whatukthinks.org/eu/questions/in-highsight-do-you-think-britain-was-right-or-wrong-to-vote-to-leave-the-eu/
https://whatukthinks.org/eu/questions/if-a-second-eu-referendum-were-held-today-how-would-you-vote/
Opinion polls based on a few thousand do not measure up against a
referendum asking the entire electorate!
Statistical sampling is just as accurate as 100% sampling.
Must be why the polls got the referendum result so wrong.
Post by nightjar
In some cases, it is even better.
Not even possible.
Post by nightjar
However, I wouldn't object to asking the electorate again.
And again and again when it isnt the result you want.
Peeler
2019-11-04 18:28:27 UTC
Permalink
On Tue, 5 Nov 2019 04:49:44 +1100, cantankerous trolling geezer Rodent
Post by Rod Speed
And again and again when it isnt the result you want.
And, again again: nobody wants YOU around! NEITHER on Usenet NOR in real
life!
--
***@down.the.farm about senile Rot Speed:
"This is like having a conversation with someone with brain damage."
MID: <ps10v9$uo2$***@gioia.aioe.org>
Vidcapper
2019-11-05 07:03:07 UTC
Permalink
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Opinion polls based on a few thousand do not measure up against a
referendum asking the entire electorate!
Statistical sampling is just as accurate as 100% sampling. In some
cases, it is even better.
I disagree - that's why opinion polls always quote a margin of error.

However, I wouldn't object to asking the
Post by nightjar
electorate again.
And a 3rd time if the result still goes the 'wrong' way?
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham
kat
2019-11-05 08:44:25 UTC
Permalink
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Opinion polls based on a few thousand do not measure up against a
referendum asking the entire electorate!
Statistical sampling is just as accurate as 100% sampling. In some
cases, it is even better.
I disagree - that's why opinion polls always quote a margin of error.
I can't even work out how a sample poll can be more accurate than the real result!
--
kat
Post by Vidcapper
^..^<
pensive hamster
2019-11-05 08:54:12 UTC
Permalink
Post by kat
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Opinion polls based on a few thousand do not measure up against a
referendum asking the entire electorate!
Statistical sampling is just as accurate as 100% sampling. In some
cases, it is even better.
I disagree - that's why opinion polls always quote a margin of error.
I can't even work out how a sample poll can be more accurate than the real result!
Maybe because sample polls can be more up to date?

People's opinions can sometimes change.
kat
2019-11-05 11:36:55 UTC
Permalink
Post by pensive hamster
Post by kat
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Opinion polls based on a few thousand do not measure up against a
referendum asking the entire electorate!
Statistical sampling is just as accurate as 100% sampling. In some
cases, it is even better.
I disagree - that's why opinion polls always quote a margin of error.
I can't even work out how a sample poll can be more accurate than the real result!
Maybe because sample polls can be more up to date?
People's opinions can sometimes change.
The statement is

"Statistical sampling is just as accurate as 100% sampling. In some
cases, it is even better."

Changed minds years later have nothing to do with that.
--
kat
Post by pensive hamster
^..^<
pensive hamster
2019-11-05 12:51:45 UTC
Permalink
Post by kat
Post by pensive hamster
Post by kat
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Opinion polls based on a few thousand do not measure up against a
referendum asking the entire electorate!
Statistical sampling is just as accurate as 100% sampling. In some
cases, it is even better.
I disagree - that's why opinion polls always quote a margin of error.
I can't even work out how a sample poll can be more accurate than the real result!
Maybe because sample polls can be more up to date?
People's opinions can sometimes change.
The statement is
"Statistical sampling is just as accurate as 100% sampling. In some
cases, it is even better."
Changed minds years later have nothing to do with that.
Do they not? Then what does "In some cases" mean?

If I was doing market research, I might prefer current poll data
to 3-year old sales figures. The possibility of changed minds
over the years has everything to do with that.
Grikbassturdo®™
2019-11-05 13:38:00 UTC
Permalink
On Tue, 5 Nov 2019 04:51:45 -0800 (PST), pensive hamster
Post by pensive hamster
Post by kat
Post by pensive hamster
Post by kat
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Opinion polls based on a few thousand do not measure up against a
referendum asking the entire electorate!
Statistical sampling is just as accurate as 100% sampling. In some
cases, it is even better.
I disagree - that's why opinion polls always quote a margin of error.
I can't even work out how a sample poll can be more accurate than the real result!
Maybe because sample polls can be more up to date?
People's opinions can sometimes change.
The statement is
"Statistical sampling is just as accurate as 100% sampling. In some
cases, it is even better."
Changed minds years later have nothing to do with that.
Do they not? Then what does "In some cases" mean?
Not much. Nothing, in fact.
Post by pensive hamster
If I was doing market research, I might prefer current poll data
to 3-year old sales figures. The possibility of changed minds
over the years has everything to do with that.
Then you're not comparing like with like, are you?
Rod Speed
2019-11-05 09:41:08 UTC
Permalink
Post by kat
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Opinion polls based on a few thousand do not measure up against a
referendum asking the entire electorate!
Statistical sampling is just as accurate as 100% sampling. In some
cases, it is even better.
I disagree - that's why opinion polls always quote a margin of error.
I can't even work out how a sample poll can be more accurate than the real result!
Yeah, he's completely off with the fucking fairys.

Maybe he meant that a poll might in theory give a more
accurate result than the referendum because it doesn’t
involve those who didn’t bother to vote because they
assumed that the result would be to remain, but that’s
even sillier given the massive don’t know percentage,
Peeler
2019-11-05 10:15:41 UTC
Permalink
On Tue, 5 Nov 2019 20:41:08 +1100, cantankerous trolling geezer Rodent
Post by Rod Speed
Yeah, he's completely off with the fucking fairys.
...says the clinically insane sociopathic Ozzietard who gets up EVERY NIGHT
between 1 and 4 am, just so he got someone to pester on Usenet with his
idiotic senile trolling!
--
Cursitor Doom about Rot Speed:
"I'm not the least surprised. The man is a conspicuous and unashamed
ignoramus."
MID: <pgbeg9$bv4$***@dont-email.me>
Ian Jackson
2019-11-05 13:40:16 UTC
Permalink
Post by kat
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Opinion polls based on a few thousand do not measure up against a
referendum asking the entire electorate!
Statistical sampling is just as accurate as 100% sampling. In some
cases, it is even better.
I disagree - that's why opinion polls always quote a margin of error.
I can't even work out how a sample poll can be more accurate than the real result!
For some, it's obviously "more accurate" when its result is one you
agree with.

When its result is not the one you agree with, then it's often a case of
"opinion polls are always inaccurate, and are usually wrong".

However, a sample opinion poll taken today could well be a lot more
accurate about the present situation than a 100% poll taken over three
years ago.
--
Ian
abelard
2019-11-05 13:48:53 UTC
Permalink
On Tue, 5 Nov 2019 13:40:16 +0000, Ian Jackson
Post by Ian Jackson
Post by kat
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Opinion polls based on a few thousand do not measure up against a
referendum asking the entire electorate!
Statistical sampling is just as accurate as 100% sampling. In some
cases, it is even better.
I disagree - that's why opinion polls always quote a margin of error.
I can't even work out how a sample poll can be more accurate than the real result!
For some, it's obviously "more accurate" when its result is one you
agree with.
When its result is not the one you agree with, then it's often a case of
"opinion polls are always inaccurate, and are usually wrong".
However, a sample opinion poll taken today could well be a lot more
accurate about the present situation than a 100% poll taken over three
years ago.
and it could be worserer
--
www.abelard.org
Tim Lamb
2019-11-05 09:02:02 UTC
Permalink
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Opinion polls based on a few thousand do not measure up against a
referendum asking the entire electorate!
Statistical sampling is just as accurate as 100% sampling. In some
cases, it is even better.
I disagree - that's why opinion polls always quote a margin of error.
However, I wouldn't object to asking the
Post by nightjar
electorate again.
And a 3rd time if the result still goes the 'wrong' way?
Depends a bit on the choice. I think a second advisory referendum should
settle the issue now there has been so much discussion of the
propaganda and outright lies leading up to the first.

The future of our country should not be risked to prolong the life of a
single political party.

I will continue to vote remain but will not man any barricades if the
rest of the country chooses to vote otherwise.
--
Tim Lamb
nightjar
2019-11-05 09:12:26 UTC
Permalink
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Opinion polls based on a few thousand do not measure up against a
referendum asking the entire electorate!
Statistical sampling is just as accurate as 100% sampling. In some
cases, it is even better.
I disagree - that's why opinion polls always quote a margin of error.
While there is a margin of error in any statistical sample, it is fairly
small in samples of those sizes. A much bigger margin is due to the fact
that you are dealing with people, who may or may not answer accurately.
Post by Vidcapper
However, I wouldn't object to asking the
Post by nightjar
electorate again.
And a 3rd time if the result still goes the 'wrong' way?
I expect the Brexiteers would call for that if, as is likely, they lost.
However, we really do need to know that it is still the will of the
people before we leave and lose the major opt-outs that come from us
having been members for so long. If we have to reapply for memberships,
which people will be calling for as soon as we leave, we will have to
accept all the conditions that a new member faces.
--
Colin Bignell
kat
2019-11-05 11:38:17 UTC
Permalink
Post by Vidcapper
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
Opinion polls based on a few thousand do not measure up against a
referendum asking the entire electorate!
Statistical sampling is just as accurate as 100% sampling. In some
cases, it is even better.
I disagree - that's why opinion polls always quote a margin of error.
While there is a margin of error in any statistical sample, it is fairly small
in samples of those sizes. A much bigger margin is due to the fact that you are
dealing with people, who may or may not answer accurately.
Post by Vidcapper
However, I wouldn't object to asking the
Post by nightjar
electorate again.
And a 3rd time if the result still goes the 'wrong' way?
I expect the Brexiteers would call for that if, as is likely, they lost.
And Remainers can't really complain, having spent so long doing it themselves.
--
kat
^..^<
nightjar
2019-11-05 19:46:32 UTC
Permalink
...
Post by nightjar
Post by Vidcapper
And a 3rd time if the result still goes the 'wrong' way?
I expect the Brexiteers would call for that if, as is likely, they lost.
And Remainers can't really complain,  having spent so long doing it
themselves.
I doubt they would. Unlike Brexiteers, they would probably recognise
that public opinion changes and needs to be resampled from time to time.
However, unlike now, there would be no time pressure on sampling again,
as staying in does not lose us unique opt-outs.
--
Colin Bignell
Joe
2019-11-05 19:32:26 UTC
Permalink
On Tue, 5 Nov 2019 09:12:26 +0000
Post by nightjar
While there is a margin of error in any statistical sample, it is
fairly small in samples of those sizes. A much bigger margin is due
to the fact that you are dealing with people, who may or may not
answer accurately.
You're also assuming perfect sampling. This may not be the case either
by accident or design, particularly with political subjects.

And as I (nearly) said before, opinion polls with published results are
designed to affect peoples' opinions, not measure them. What is the
point of measuring them? The eventual election/referendum/whatever will
do that much more accurately.
--
Joe
Rod Speed
2019-11-05 20:44:26 UTC
Permalink
Post by Joe
On Tue, 5 Nov 2019 09:12:26 +0000
Post by nightjar
While there is a margin of error in any statistical sample, it is
fairly small in samples of those sizes. A much bigger margin is due
to the fact that you are dealing with people, who may or may not
answer accurately.
You're also assuming perfect sampling. This may not be the case either
by accident or design, particularly with political subjects.
And as I (nearly) said before, opinion polls with published results are
designed to affect peoples' opinions, not measure them. What is the
point of measuring them?
The obvious point is to see what those polled think
about the current policys and change them when it
is clear that they don't appeal to those polled.
Post by Joe
The eventual election/referendum/whatever
will do that much more accurately.
Roger Hayter
2019-11-03 19:56:53 UTC
Permalink
Post by Cursitor Doom
He said that millions of voters would be disenfranchised and their votes
would not matter
Which is precisely what the Lib-Dems are promising if they get in. Why
anyone would vote for such a party that promises to scupper what the
electorate want, and considers such betrayal a virtue, is beyond me. :/
We have a very clear-cut constitution. A party winning a Parliamentary
majority have a right to put forward their manifesto policies, and
execute them if they retain a sufficient majority. Any anomalous and
exceptional procedures like a referendum in past years, even recent, are
trumped by this long-established ocnstitutional process. Of course, if
the referendum result wasn't a fluke and people still want to leave in
the same sort of numbers then they won't get a parliamentary majority so
the problem won't arise. But the converse does apply!
--
Roger Hayter
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